Shipments of Retina iPad Mini Likely to Double in Q1 2014 as Shortages Ease

MacRumors · Nov 13, 2013

Shipments of the supply-constrained iPad mini with Retina display are likely to double in Q1 2014, according to market research firm IHS iSuppli (via CNET) and KGI Securities analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, with both stating that the estimated shipment of 2 million Retina iPad mini tablets in the current quarter will grow to a total shipment of about 4.5 million devices in the first three months of next year.

Rhoda Alexander, director of Tablet and Monitor Research at IHS iSuppli, stated the following about the supply constraints surrounding the tablet:

Rhoda Alexander told CNET on Tuesday that she expects production of about 2 million Mini Retina tablets in the fourth calendar quarter.

"When you think about some of the releases where they sold that many iPads in a weekend," that's not a lot, she said.

Meanwhile, Ming-Chi Kuo stated his estimates for a production boost of the tablet, stating that shipments of the Retina iPad mini will increase due to an improvement in manufacturer yield:

We maintain our iPad mini R shipments forecast of around 2.2mn units for 4Q13. Considering production yield improvement at the supply chain, we forecast shipments will grow 102% QoQ in 1Q14 to 4.5mn units. But marked shipments growth given the low base in 4Q13 can't make up for overall iPad shipments in 1Q14.

In something of a surprise move, Apple began accepting orders for the Retina iPad mini in the United States and several other countries yesterday, with the device's quiet launch potentially due to constrained supplies. Currently however, availability through Apple's online store appears to be holding up for the time being, with the company's U.S. stores showing the same shipping estimates seen at the time orders went live: 1-3 business days for 16 and 32 GB Wi-Fi models and 5-10 business days for all other models.

Previous rumors have suggested that available quantities of the mini are extremely low due to display production issues, with Apple turning to Samsung to help with production. Apple did also launch its Personal Pickup option for the Retina iPad mini yesterday, with stores seeing quick sellouts of many models. Walk-in sales of the device will apparently not be offered until supplies improve.

Article Link: Shipments of Retina iPad Mini Likely to Double in Q1 2014 as Shortages Ease

newdeal · Nov 13, 2013

This seems to be the story over and over again. Too bad there is likely not much money in manufacturing displays or Apple could just take on their own manufacturing for displays.

Santabean2000 · Nov 13, 2013

Like printing money. With a broken printer. Frustrating little?

lewisd25 · Nov 13, 2013

When is the new high-gamut iPad mini being released??

Locoboof · Nov 13, 2013

Did anyone get or even see a cellular model yesterday?

japanime · Nov 13, 2013

Locoboof said:
Did anyone get or even see a cellular model yesterday?

Yes, in a Softbank store in Saitama City (Japan). I stopped in to check out the iPad air, and was pleasantly surprised to find the retina Mini cellular model on display.

dynamojoe · Nov 13, 2013

Locoboof said:
Did anyone get or even see a cellular model yesterday?

I've been watching a very busy thread at another forum and I haven't seen anyone report it yet. I'm waiting for Best Buy to get the cell models in stock but their site still lists "coming soon". The wifi-only versions are "in-store only" (I'm in Miami,FL)

ElectronGuru · Nov 13, 2013

Locoboof said:
Did anyone get or even see a cellular model yesterday?

Seems like they prebuilt only the basic models (16/32 wifi) and let customers map out demand for everything else. They were surprised last time and are being more cautious this time around.

Locoboof · Nov 13, 2013

japanime said:
Yes, in a Softbank store in Saitama City (Japan). I stopped in to check out the iPad air, and was pleasantly surprised to find the retina Mini cellular model on display.

Nice! Was it available for purchase? I haven't seen one in the states yet.

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dynamojoe said:
I've been watching a very busy thread at another forum and I haven't seen anyone report it yet. I'm waiting for Best Buy to get the cell models in stock but their site still lists "coming soon". The wifi-only versions are "in-store only" (I'm in Miami,FL)

Lol! That's funny...I'm waiting for best buy too so I can get the rewards points. I'm a elite plus member,but the fact that this may be a hard to get item I'm thinking I should just get it from the apple store when available.

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ElectronGuru said:
Seems like they prebuilt only the basic models (16/32 wifi) and let customers map out demand for everything else. They were surprised last time and are being more cautious this time around.

If that's true I just hope we don't have to wait too long for the cellular ones

bpcookson · Nov 13, 2013

I had been wanting a grey 32GB T-Mo mini. Because there is no availability of cellular models, I saved $130. Thanks Apple!

TheAppleFairy · Nov 13, 2013

japanime said:
Yes, in a Softbank store in Saitama City (Japan). I stopped in to check out the iPad air, and was pleasantly surprised to find the retina Mini cellular model on display.

You're near Tokyo, so not too surprising it's a large market.

I went to my Apple Store in Albany NY yesterday and they had no retina mini's on display at all, but they did have non-cellular versions in stock. I already ordered my cellular version, but I am keeping an eye out at my store if they become available I will be cancelling my online order and picking up in store.

bpcookson · Nov 13, 2013

Locoboof said:
If that's true I just hope we don't have to wait too long for the cellular ones

I believe the wait is just 5-10 business days, right?

TheAppleFairy · Nov 13, 2013

bpcookson said:
I had been wanting a grey 32GB T-Mo mini. Because there is no availability of cellular models, I saved $130. Thanks Apple!

You want exactly what I ordered. If you really wanted to cellular version you should probably just order it and wait. It might be a couple of weeks, but at least you will have what you want.

JonneyGee · Nov 13, 2013

Locoboof said:
Did anyone get or even see a cellular model yesterday?

I've been checking the stock at the local store here (Nashville) every hour or so on the Apple Store app, in hopes that I can beat the 5-10 day wait by getting it in person. If none show up today though, I'll probably cave in and order online.

TheAppleFairy · Nov 13, 2013

bpcookson said:
I believe the wait is just 5-10 business days, right?

Mine says 5 to 10 business days, I ordered on the 12th at 8am. 5 business days would be the 19th of November. Estimates on my order say November 26th to Dec 4th.

Locoboof · Nov 13, 2013

bpcookson said:
I believe the wait is just 5-10 business days, right?

5-10 business days until shipped. I was given a delivery date of 11/25-12/4. I'm thinking I can find one in a apple store before December if I keep checking the store inventory via the store pickup option. I'm hoping...

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JonneyGee said:
I've been checking the stock at the local store here (Nashville) every hour or so on the Apple Store app, in hopes that I can beat the 5-10 day wait by getting it in person. If none show up today though, I'll probably cave in and order online.

You're in the same exact boat as me. Lol

applesith · Nov 13, 2013

No supply constraints for 16GB & 32GB options so far.

bpcookson · Nov 13, 2013

TheAppleFairy said:
You want exactly what I ordered. If you really wanted to cellular version you should probably just order it and wait. It might be a couple of weeks, but at least you will have what you want.

Naah, I'm better off this way. I just wanted the cellular radio because I'm too lazy to tether from my iPhone. So I decided to buck up and just tether when necessary, which is a rare occurrence.

ElectronGuru · Nov 13, 2013

Locoboof said:
Lol! That's funny...I'm waiting for best buy too so I can get the rewards points. I'm a elite plus member,but the fact that this may be a hard to get item I'm thinking I should just get it from the apple store when available.

I have an order for custom shelving in with another company. Half way into the 8 week wait, yesterday I decide to add some accessories. Upon hearing that they too would be 8 weeks (adding 4 weeks to my total wait), I spent an hour tearing around the internet looking for a company with the particular parts in stock.

After lining up 6 candidate stores and emailing 4 and getting replies from 3, 1 relied with what I wanted. And it was naturally $40 extra, to cover the cost of keeping it around. Trapped between the two priorities, I took a deep breath and remembered that all of the importance that was causing all my stress, was my own.

Points or speed - you're in control.

Locoboof said:
If that's true I just hope we don't have to wait too long for the cellular ones

Waiting on a TMO 64 gray (should have called it slate). And going to focus on how cool the gen 1 is until it gets here.

TheAppleFairy · Nov 13, 2013

bpcookson said:
Naah, I'm better off this way. I just wanted the cellular radio because I'm too lazy to tether from my iPhone. So I decided to buck up and just tether when necessary, which is a rare occurrence.

I hear you, I hope you enjoy your mini. I find the extra $130 a little hard to swallow, but I want it for when I am in a pinch, and I want real GPS capability for in car setup.

Locoboof · Nov 13, 2013

ElectronGuru said:
I have an order for custom shelving in with another company. Half way into the 8 week wait, yesterday I decide to add some accessories. Upon hearing that they too would be 8 weeks (adding 4 weeks to my total wait), I spent an hour tearing around the internet looking for a company with the particular parts in stock.

After lining up 6 candidate stores and emailing 4 and getting replies from 3, 1 relied with what I wanted. And it was naturally $40 extra, to cover the cost of keeping it around. Trapped between the two priorities, I took a deep breath and remembered that all of the importance that was causing all my stress, was my own.

Waiting on a TMO 64 gray (should have called it slate). And going to focus on how cool the gen 1 is until it gets here.

Very insightful..... And you're correct. Lol...basically I need to relax a little. Lol

darkslide29 · Nov 13, 2013

bpcookson said:
I had been wanting a grey 32GB T-Mo mini. Because there is no availability of cellular models, I saved $130. Thanks Apple!

Same here. I was set on the T-Mobile version, but I'm too impatient to wait, and maybe it's better this way that I save $130, plus all of the data I could have bought in the next couple years+.

I've always thought that these companies should subsidize the $130, just in the hopes that you buy data. Don't even require a contract, because some (not all, but many) will occasionally buy data.
I came off an iPad 3 LTE, so I know I would probably buy data often enough that they get their investment back and then some.
After all, they shouldn't be struggling to pay the bills when they're selling a gig of data for $20 at a time anyway!

But I know well enough that it's not going to happen.

ritmomundo · Nov 13, 2013

What shortages? This is the first iPad I've ever seen that has not sold out within hours (or at least had delayed shipping times). I think Apple overestimated demand.

TimeSquareDesi · Nov 13, 2013

TheAppleFairy said:
I hear you, I hope you enjoy your mini. I find the extra $130 a little hard to swallow, but I want it for when I am in a pinch, and I want real GPS capability for in car setup.

You and me both! I have been trying to mount my 1st gen mini into the dash of my car - CHEAPLY! I sold my mini to get a retina mini and once i have my mount figured out, it's going in the car. this has to be the best possibility for a head unit ever... movies + navi + music... the UI could be a little better for in-car use but i'm certainly not complaining

jcaplan · Nov 13, 2013

darkslide29 said:
Same here. I was set on the T-Mobile version, but I'm too impatient to wait, and maybe it's better this way that I save $130, plus all of the data I could have bought in the next couple years+.

I've always thought that these companies should subsidize the $130, just in the hopes that you buy data. Don't even require a contract, because some (not all, but many) will occasionally buy data.
I came off an iPad 3 LTE, so I know I would probably buy data often enough that they get their investment back and then some.
After all, they shouldn't be struggling to pay the bills when they're selling a gig of data for $20 at a time anyway!

But I know well enough that it's not going to happen.

AT&T gives you a $100 discount if you agree to a 2 year contract.

Shipments of Retina iPad Mini Likely to Double in Q1 2014 as Shortages Ease

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