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MacRumors
Jan 15, 2006, 06:42 PM
http://www.macrumors.com/images/macrumorsthreadlogo.gif (http://www.macrumors.com)

After each major event, MacRumors provides a wrapup of rumors to reveal the sources of the most accurate and inaccurate information. Readers are encouraged to read our Macworld Rumor Roundup (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2006/01/20060105230546.shtml) that was written prior to the actual event.

Last week, Steve Jobs took the stage the stage at Macworld San Francisco and introduced a number of new products including iLife '06 with iWeb (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2006/01/20060110141828.shtml), iWork '06 (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2006/01/20060110142618.shtml), an Intel iMac (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2006/01/20060110142730.shtml), and the new MacBook Pro (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2006/01/20060110142811.shtml).

iLife '06, iWeb

With surprising regularity, Apple itself is the inadvertent source of leaks about upcoming releases. This year, Apple's website revealed updates (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2006/01/20060105114200.shtml) to iLife '06 as well as the new iWeb application.

Intel Macs

While the first Intel Macs were widely rumored to be released at the MWSF Expo, readers should remember that Intel Macs had only been promised by June 2006 (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2005/09/20050920060503.shtml). Apple does not typically beat their estimated timeframes, but the rumors proved to be true. However, with the increased media interest in Apple, there has been an increase in speculative reports from analysts which resulted in an amalgam of disjointed rumors.

In this particular case, the first Intel Mac rumor turned out to be the most accurate. Appleinsider reported in November (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2005/11/20051112003005.shtml) that the first Intel-based Macs would make their debut at Macworld SF in January. They reported that contrary to expectations, the iMac and PowerBook would be the first Intel-based Macs to be released. The Intel iMac was accurately described as being "based largely on the design and feature set of the current iMac." Apple was also said to be working to ship a 15" Intel PowerBook "around February", complete with built-in iSight. Indeed the 15" Intel PowerBook did arrive as described, though rebranded as the "MacBook Pro (http://guides.macrumors.com/MacBook_Pro)".

The accuracy of Appleinsider's report gives further credence to other claims made in the same article. According to the same report, Apple's Intel-based Mac mini will "debut closer to the Spring" -- the same time the company revamps the iBooks with 13" widescreens.

Meanwhile, (traditionally accurate) ThinkSecret's confident reports (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2005/12/20051219123900.shtml) that the Intel iBook (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2005/11/20051117022422.shtml), Intel Mac mini (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2005/11/20051129005319.shtml), and a new iPod shuffle would be released at MWSF 2006 entirely missed their mark. These inaccuracies have then cast doubt over other details of the reports, including claims of iBook price drops, as well as the intriguing concept of a Mac mini media center with DVR capabilities, an iPod Dock, and Front Row 2.0.


One More Thing...

It wouldn't be a proper Macworld Expo keynote without the genuine hope of something outrageous and unbelievable. Prior to June 2005, "Apple switching to Intel" (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2005/06/20050605001340.shtml) frequently occupied that role. In the past, readers have also fruitlessly pined for the iWalk (http://guides.macrumors.com/Gallery_of_Apple_Mockups_and_Fake_Products#iWalk), a Mac tablet (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2003/02/20030221004455.shtml), and iHome (http://guides.macrumors.com/Gallery_of_Apple_Mockups_and_Fake_Products#iHome) products.

This year, PowerPage confidently reported on an Apple 42" and 50" Plasma Display with Viiv technology (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2006/01/20060106171732.shtml), but has since backpedaled (http://www.powerpage.org/archives/2006/01/apple_plasmas_too_good_to_be_true.html). Of course, no such technology was introduced, and as such PowerPage retains a relatively poor rumor accuracy record.

Optimistic readers, however, may choose to believe claims (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2006/01/20060112015309.shtml) that Apple did not release everything intended, and that perhaps more was originally planned.

Curiously, while Kevin Rose's 11th hour (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2006/01/20060110081233.shtml) report of a 15" Intel Macbook, iWork/iLife '06, Photocasting, iPod FM receiver, and OS X.4.4 with new Widgets was exactly on mark... he also mentioned a "New remote of some type". Most likely, this simply refers to the iPod FM receiver/remote - though it is curious that this would have been mentioned twice.

Rumors to Watch

iBook Revisions (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2006/01/20060112132457.shtml) - est. 2nd quarter 2006.
Intel Developing Next PowerMac for Apple? (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2005/12/20051227133503.shtml) - est. 3rd quarter 2006
New iPod Products from Apple (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2005/12/20051212210230.shtml) - boombox?

Intel Mac mini To Evolve Into Digital Hub? (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2005/11/20051129005319.shtml)
Final Cut Pro 6, Final Cut Extreme, Xserve RAID (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2006/01/20060104145624.shtml)

Mac Viiv at Macworld Expo 2006? (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2006/01/20060106150759.shtml)
Light-weight Stylish Mac Laptops in 2006 (http://www.macrumors.com/pages/2005/12/20051218234838.shtml)



asherman13
Jan 15, 2006, 06:47 PM
nice wrap-up; wonderfully done.

bjmorgan
Jan 15, 2006, 06:47 PM
Hopefully they'll make some announcements.

Doctor Q
Jan 15, 2006, 06:48 PM
The biggest surprise at Macworld, for me at least, was ThinkSecret's incorrect predictions.

supergod
Jan 15, 2006, 06:54 PM
I myself was really surprised Thinksecret got things so wrong. The new mac lineup doesn't really make sense, at least not until the next releases fill in the gaps.

EricNau
Jan 15, 2006, 06:56 PM
Seeing iMacs and Powerbooks instead of minis and iBooks was the biggest surprise for me.

emulator
Jan 15, 2006, 06:56 PM
I myself was really surprised Thinksecret got things so wrong. The new mac lineup doesn't really make sense, at least not until the next releases fill in the gaps.
Reading their wrap up page, it seems they did not get anything right this time. I am VERY surprised... :eek:

nagromme
Jan 15, 2006, 06:58 PM
Good work then, AppleInsider!

I always expected PowerBook to go before iBook--just look at the speed of Core Duo and you can see why. The rapid iMac shift surprised me, but then it IS a top-selling Mac model, and has pretty much become the flagship for consumer buyers.

I think the iBook and Mac Mini will wait for Core Solo (which I thought was expected soon, but maybe not). Additional MacBook models could come at any time--I bet two additional sizes (13.3" and 20" quad with dual-Duos? I know, let me dream...) will be out by end of March.

I also expect multiple MacBook names--not just "MacBook" and "MacBook Pro"--along the lines of the multiple iPod names. No need to force a division into two distinct groups.

Lastly I think the Mac Mini will remain as a low-end model, even if some OTHER variation of it (which would have a new name I'd think) were to gain home theater functions. Front Row/remote could be on the bottom Mac Mini--maybe--but nothing more costly. It IS the low-end entry point after all. (In fact, not everyone needs a 3D GPU: the Mac Mini could go with Intel integrated graphics--just so long as the price drops accordingly.)

nagromme
Jan 15, 2006, 07:07 PM
http://www.looprumors.com/index.php?so-how-did-we-do-1
I've been following LoopRumors' return, and hope they turn out to be a useful source. Most of their correct predictions this time seem like just good guesses (maybe), but even if that were so, to their credit at least they didn't predict a bunch of wrong stuff.

The most interesting thing there, for me, is that they are just about the only ones reporting detailed rumors/reports about 10.5/Leopard. (Two past reports, one more expected soon?) There's no telling yet if those reports are connected to reality, but stories of future OS X features are fun all the same!

Object-X
Jan 15, 2006, 07:09 PM
The Thinksecret mole has been discovered through the release of misinformation. Apple gave Appleinsider the right details and fed their suspect with wrong info...he/she is so busted! :eek:

arn
Jan 15, 2006, 07:14 PM
I've been following LoopRumors' return, and hope they turn out to be a useful source. Most of their correct predictions this time seem like just good guesses (maybe), but even if that were so, to their credit at least they didn't predict a bunch of wrong stuff.


Well, their iWork/iLife report claimed it would include a Remote, Front Row bundled and a Spreadsheet, so I don't consider that to be a "correct" prediction.

arn

runninmac
Jan 15, 2006, 07:22 PM
The biggest surprise at Macworld, for me at least, was ThinkSecret's incorrect predictions.

I agree with that. Last year they were spot on with everything... shame shame you know your name. Appleinsider on the other hand 2 thumbs up!

mccoma
Jan 15, 2006, 07:27 PM
I was thinking that the iBook would convert when the ULV version of the Core is available.

iamfiremansam
Jan 15, 2006, 07:40 PM
Hey does anyone know for sure if the price for the upcoming ibook/macbook will be dropped a bit? Or kept the same price? Or dare I say it more expensive:(

EricNau
Jan 15, 2006, 07:43 PM
Hey does anyone know for sure if the price for the upcoming ibook/macbook will be dropped a bit? Or kept the same price? Or dare I say it more expensive:(
I'm hoping for less expensive, but I don't think Apple could be stupid enough to make it MORE expensive.

asherman13
Jan 15, 2006, 07:46 PM
with regards to the link to the tablet mac page, on that page it says that one of the rumors had something about a 8" ipod-like tablet mac. now, if i'm not mistaken, didn't sj mention something about an 8"-screen ipod in his MWSF podcast?;) i'll leave it up you all of you...

iamfiremansam
Jan 15, 2006, 07:46 PM
I'm hoping for less expensive, but I don't think Apple could be stupid enough to make it MORE expensive.

Yea apple seems to have a good reputation of bringing out the newer version of somthing and keeping the same price as the old one. Fingers crossed that it's cheaper but ill still be happy if it's the same price.

SiliconAddict
Jan 15, 2006, 07:51 PM
One thing that pretty much had me dumping my huggies was that it was 1:29 minutes after the start of the keynote when jobs did the one more thing. I thought the keynote was scheduled for 90 minutes as such about was buffing the barrel of my shotgun to go on a homicidal rampage at work.

thedude110
Jan 15, 2006, 07:53 PM
I'm glad the wrap-up isn't dismissive of a Mac/media hub. So maybe a 50" Mac was a fantasy ... but God, from a consumer's point of view, a 50" Mac is a great idea! :p

WeBleed4Real
Jan 15, 2006, 08:06 PM
Whatever happened to that "Asteroid" rumor that ThinkSecret got in trouble for a while ago?

JDOG_
Jan 15, 2006, 08:21 PM
Whatever happened to that "Asteroid" rumor that ThinkSecret got in trouble for a while ago?

My guess is they'll unveil it in the next few months along with the Shuffle revision and updates to the larger iPods at an Apple "music event." :D


Nice roundup though!

Frisco
Jan 15, 2006, 08:22 PM
I am expecting/hoping for an Apple Special Media Event soon, hopefully that will be when Apple introduces a Media Center. I hope!

bigfoot
Jan 15, 2006, 08:29 PM
I was about to pull the trigger on a new G5 power mac for me, and an imac for my daughter just before Macworld. However now that the Intel gates have been opened I will wait on the powermac. According to most reports the switch should be complete by 3rd quarter...? I would also guess that since the Intel imac is now shipping... the major programs I use (Adobe PS, GL, ID, and Protools) should all be native by the time 3Q rolls around. I see no sense in running Rosetta with the newer (native) versions that will have all the latest bells and whistles. I see a new G5 as not having the run I've with my two G4's. I would think (updates) for most current pro apps for a G5 already grinding to a halt. I'm thinking Apple now has to get the switch done as quickly as possible because of consumers thinking like me right now.

p0intblank
Jan 15, 2006, 08:30 PM
Excellent overview. You were spot-on with everything. This year's Macworld definitely taught me a lesson for the future: don't take these "rumors" too seriously; wait it out and hope for the best.

iMeowbot
Jan 15, 2006, 08:43 PM
with regards to the link to the tablet mac page, on that page it says that one of the rumors had something about a 8" ipod-like tablet mac. now, if i'm not mistaken, didn't sj mention something about an 8"-screen ipod in his MWSF podcast?;) i'll leave it up you all of you...
Heh. I though for sure that Teh Steve was taking a poke at the 50 inch iPlasmatictosh.

sblinn
Jan 15, 2006, 08:59 PM
I was pretty psyched about the MacBooks, but roadmaps show that Intel will have 64-bit mobile processors this fall. Common sense suggests that there will be Intel 64-bit Apple laptops shortly after. It just doesn't seem to make sense to buy into a platform that is already planned for obsolescence in barely half a year. Any thoughts?

Pedro.
Jan 15, 2006, 09:00 PM
This year's Macworld San Francisco was a total shame IMO ....

I mean none of the new products were THAT AMAZING !

iLife '06 and iWork '06 are so not worth buying (excepet maybe for iWeb) .

MacBook was the best announcement, however, the processor speed was not fast enough compared to other laptops using intel core duo such as Vaio FE series and Dell Inspiron E1705 (2 GHz). Plus i expected Apple to introduce a totally new design for the Macbook. It's not that i don't like the powerbook design but we could use some change after all these years !

I have to say that i was disappointed ...

anyone agrees with me ?

shawnce
Jan 15, 2006, 09:09 PM
anyone agrees with me ? No :D

colinp
Jan 15, 2006, 09:18 PM
I'm surprised nobody seems to mention the built in iSight in the MacBook Pro (it's going to take a bit to get used to writing that... what a strange name!). I, personally, find that to be a pretty damn sweet upgrade. I wonder whether the 12" PB will have an iSight... Damn. I WISH my 12" PB had an iSight built in!

Guess we'll have to wait and see, but I'm keeping my fingers crossed.

Macmaniac
Jan 15, 2006, 09:21 PM
I am actually pretty surprised at how accurate the rumors sites were. Although this years release was a little bit more predictable. We got the usual crazy rumor from left field with the TV idea. It would be nice if one of these left field rumors turns out to be true. It would be pretty cool. Now that MWSF is over even more exciting Tuesdays are to come.

DHagan4755
Jan 15, 2006, 09:25 PM
I am actually pretty surprised at how accurate the rumors sites were.
Make that rumor site. AppleInsider was the ONLY rumor site to accurately predict what was to come.

AidenShaw
Jan 15, 2006, 09:55 PM
I was pretty psyched about the MacBooks, but roadmaps show that Intel will have 64-bit mobile processors this fall. Common sense suggests that there will be Intel 64-bit Apple laptops shortly after. It just doesn't seem to make sense to buy into a platform that is already planned for obsolescence in barely half a year. Any thoughts?
It's hard to make a recommendation, since Apple has said nothing about plans for 64-bit on Intel. It's almost like a Soviet-era history rewrite - "64-bit" seems to have never happened.

Unlike PowerPC - Intel 64-bit ("x64") is actually faster than 32-bit. This is because the x64 architecture has some fundamental improvements over the x86 32-bit architecture.

On PowerPC, 64-bit programs usually run a little slower than 32-bit programs. There's no point in rewriting for 64-bit unless you really need more than 2 or 3 GiB of RAM *per application* (64-bit isn't needed for a system to support more than 4 GiB - the Intel 32-bit and G4 can support 64 GiB of physical RAM).

On x64, however, 64-bit programs run faster than 32-bit - 20% faster is a typical number. Even if you don't need more than 2 GiB of RAM, you want 64-bit if performance is important.

However, 10.4's 64-bit support is almost completely brain-damaged. Cocoa and Carbon (that is, GUI or windowed apps) can't use 64-bit. Only simple, "terminal", apps can be 64-bit. The only way to use 64-bit in a typical app is to completely rewrite it to have a 32-bit graphical user interface portion communicating with a backend 64-bit worker portion - two separate jobs in the system.

But, since Apple isn't talking about 64-bit any more, what do you do?
___________________________

Bottom line - if the slow speed of the current Powerbook/iMac is a big hassle for you, get the faster Intel systems.

If it isn't a hassle today, wait for WWDC - Apple has to address the x64 question then or it will lose all credibility.

And, if at WWDC Apple says that they do a 10.4-like 64-bit on x64 - think about switching. Note that Windows x64 is a true 64-bit port - graphical and other apps get the faster speed - while maintaining 32-bit compatibility for older apps or those that don't need the speed. Apple needs to copy Windows....

EricNau
Jan 15, 2006, 10:11 PM
I think we should expect some of the missing products on April 1st (30 year anniversary). Like the Intel Mac Minis and the iBooks. Maybe even a brand new product like a 40"+ iMac Media Edition. :)

Super Dave
Jan 15, 2006, 10:16 PM
Whatever happened to that "Asteroid" rumor that ThinkSecret got in trouble for a while ago?

It was released. It was actually a third party product that Apple helped out with. No one noticed its release, but I remember reading about it on the forum here months back. Anyone have the old link?

David :cool:

iIra
Jan 15, 2006, 10:24 PM
I see no reason to upgrade my copy of iLife. The improvements aren't very impressive. I've never used iWork simply because it isn't a complete office suite, so I don't feel like spending money for it. The Macbook Pro makes me reminisce about the G4 Powerbook.:p That new power connector is nice, but I'm not sure it should come at the expense of Firewire 800. I was surprised that it was the pro level notebook, because I thought they were going to hold out for merom for that.
I've been following LoopRumors' return, and hope they turn out to be a useful source. Most of their correct predictions this time seem like just good guesses (maybe), but even if that were so, to their credit at least they didn't predict a bunch of wrong stuff.

The most interesting thing there, for me, is that they are just about the only ones reporting detailed rumors/reports about 10.5/Leopard. (Two past reports, one more expected soon?) There's no telling yet if those reports are connected to reality, but stories of future OS X features are fun all the same!

I also liked the rumors about Leopard. It would be nice to not have to wait for an updated copy of TransparentDock every time Apple updates the OS. The animated dock icons and the screensaver/desktop wallpaper features sound nice, but I hope they don't take up too much RAM.

Indo
Jan 15, 2006, 10:31 PM
This year's Macworld San Francisco was a total shame IMO ....

I mean none of the new products were THAT AMAZING !

iLife '06 and iWork '06 are so not worth buying (excepet maybe for iWeb) .

MacBook was the best announcement, however, the processor speed was not fast enough compared to other laptops using intel core duo such as Vaio FE series and Dell Inspiron E1705 (2 GHz). Plus i expected Apple to introduce a totally new design for the Macbook. It's not that i don't like the powerbook design but we could use some change after all these years !

I have to say that i was disappointed ...

anyone agrees with me ?

i bet they're saving that 2GHz core duo for the 17" powerbook. i guess you could say the laptop is thinner...

amateurmacfreak
Jan 15, 2006, 10:39 PM
Hey does anyone know for sure if the price for the upcoming ibook/macbook will be dropped a bit? Or kept the same price? Or dare I say it more expensive:(
More expensive = business suicide. Especially for your average consumer who wants a nice looking entry-level laptop from Apple. If over $1,000 starting.... would be absolutely dumb.

suzerain
Jan 15, 2006, 10:50 PM
edited my post after re-reading the summary, as the write-up was only talking about some of his pronouncements as "exactly on mark"...I just think this Rose guy is getting too much credit for his last minute source, who was telling us stuff that other reports had already told us anyway.

arn
Jan 15, 2006, 11:05 PM
edited my post after re-reading the summary, as the write-up was only talking about some of his pronouncements as "exactly on mark"...I just think this Rose guy is getting too much credit for his last minute source, who was telling us stuff that other reports had already told us anyway.

well, it was last minute... so it's hard to get too excited about it... but there's really no doubt that it was a legitimate source. I don't think he guessed the term "MacBook" out of blue.

arn

nagromme
Jan 15, 2006, 11:11 PM
While we're on the subject of predicting WRONG... this UNIX IT consultant's article from a month ago deserves mention:
http://blogs.zdnet.com/Murphy/index.php?p=479

He said no Intel PowerBooks AT ALL until 2007!

"Intel is just not going to happen for Apple next year - no Powerbooks, no iMacs, no Workstations, and no X-Serves."

In fact, he said Yonah (Core Duo) wasn't even ready and "may simply never make it to volume production." He expected that at MWSF Apple would unveil the OLD Pentium M in an iBook or Mac Mini, and then no more Intel Mac releases for the rest of 2006 :o

He also said that Apple would have to RAISE the price of the iBook--and start using cheaper, unreliable components like Dell does--just to afford using the OLD Pentium M:

"In other words to hold the list price constant on the iBook in the face of such a massive cost increase for the CPU, they'll have to reduce both customer discounts and their own margins, take a big downstream hit on component quality, and give up on CPU level MacOS X authentication."

Meanwhile, while he says Core Duo is vaporware, he is somehow positive that IBM and Freescale have a year's worth of next-generation laptop chips that they CAN ship in quantity!

He thinks Apple is stupid not to stick with the G4 and G5 for one more year. By going with Intel, he is convinced, Apple is dooming themselves:

"Sadly, however, good sense isn't that likely to break out where personalities are on the line -instead we're more likely to see Apple spend money along with both customer and developer loyalty on building enthusiasm for Intel solutions that are virtually guaranteed to eventually gut the company financially."

What can I say? Where did all THAT come from?

Looks like Yonah is real, at any rate :D ...although quantities aren't yet proven, and delays may happen. But somehow I think Intel WILL deliver volume production. (And yes, I know G4s are cheaper. As they should be! Which does raise the question of Apple's profit margins, but I'm sure it's worth it to increase sales volume/market share. And volume, in turn, lowers the cost of other components WITHOUT having to stoop to Dell quality.)


I was pretty psyched about the MacBooks, but roadmaps show that Intel will have 64-bit mobile processors this fall.
Yes. Intel has their next generation 64-bit platform coming in the second half of this year: Merom for laptops, Conroe for desktops. I am sure Apple will use both, and I think Conroe will replace the G5 in PowerMacs. Details of the new Merom/Conroe platform seem to be scarce at this point--including a precise timeframe.

As for the decision to wait or not: there's ALWAYS something better coming. Wait for Merom and there will be something ELSE coming. Technology marches forward. Wait if you don't need a computer now. If you need one now, don't wait :)

200paul
Jan 16, 2006, 12:03 AM
I have been speculating for a long time about the Think Secret etc. lawsuits and these rumors that never come true.

Knowing a few people at Apple and how they work in totally separate "pods" that never know what other teams are doing at all until sometimes the day of release, I have often speculated about a mis-information campaign being put out.

Steve and Co. want to know the source of the leaks obviously. Letting certain teams know about certain fake rumors and seeing which ones make it to the boards make for an easy way to seek out the moles.

This was done by the horrible Godzilla movie Matthew Broderick did back in the day. They didn't want partners to leak the picture of the beast so they let them have fake images to start working on their tie-in products with and then they waited to see what showed up. Hanes (Underoos) was the first to leak within days and i believe it ruined a few peoples careers and some corporate relationships. Terrorists evidentally have be doing this too to flush out moles and mess with the CIA/FBI's crappy intelligence gathering.

Whoever is feeding this information - I would be a bit more carefull. You just might be tipping your hand and setting yourself up.... but don't stop because I love the rumors!!!!

P.S. About Asteroid: I also know that that those teams work on products up until what they think is production but design and marketing materials etc get thrown away all the time for new products that just don't make the cut. Its has to be a crazy way to work.

solvs
Jan 16, 2006, 01:23 AM
It's a shame about TS, they used to have fairly good credibility, though they have gotten things wrong in the past. I hope nobody believed O'Grady. I'd believe SpyMac or DigiTimes over that site any day. But these were just rumors, so while I was hoping for a new shuffle, iBook, and mini, what was released was pretty ok. New iBook and mini in the spring sound about right. Maybe a quiet shuffle upgrade or a new lowend iPod.

And of course, Apple plasma displays next Tuesday. :p

slb
Jan 16, 2006, 01:44 AM
I was pretty psyched about the MacBooks, but roadmaps show that Intel will have 64-bit mobile processors this fall. Common sense suggests that there will be Intel 64-bit Apple laptops shortly after. It just doesn't seem to make sense to buy into a platform that is already planned for obsolescence in barely half a year. Any thoughts?

This is the concern making me hesitate purchasing the new iMac, which I really, really want. It's a powerful system, but the thought that 64-bit chips are coming this fall makes me worry I'd be obsoleted. There are 64-bit PowerPC chips already, but apps have stayed 32-bit because that's what was in the laptops and older Macs, and the incentive wasn't there.

I guess it's a question of how many years app authors plan to support the older 32-bit PowerPC and Core Duo chips. By the time a couple of years roll by and things are mostly 64-bit, it'd be time to get a new iMac anyway. But still, it sucks to worry. As I understand it, there's actually not a great amount of benefit of going to 64-bit in most applications, but I'm thinking along the lines of a future 64-bit audio engine in Logic. Cakewalk Sonar currently offers a 64-bit version of its app, but managed to make its 64-bit audio engine available in the 32-bit version as well. I hope Logic follows suit if I decide to get the new iMac.

I have to admit being uneducated on the ramifications of 64-bit on the Mac, particularly 64-bit OS X Tiger which still supports 32-bit processors. Could an app be compiled to support both 64-bit and 32-bit simultaneously? I'm okay with being a little slower than 64-bit as long as I don't lose out on binary compatibility. I'm assuming it's probably not that simple. AidenShaw's post was very informative, and I want to know more. Somebody learn me somethin'.

aswitcher
Jan 16, 2006, 03:27 AM
I think TS have correct info, but these products are just not out yet. I'll give it to April to see it work out.

I'll be watchign Dgg closely now for Apple rumours.

Hattig
Jan 16, 2006, 05:53 AM
Well done AppleInsider for that correct rumour at the beginning.

That not many people believed, because (1) the iMac had just been updated, and (2) surely the consumer machines would go intel before the pro machines.

Can Apple shave $1000 off the price of the MacBook Pro in order to make a 13" MacBook? Possibly. However I'm fairly certain it would either use an upcoming Celeron Duo type processor, or a standard Pentium M or Celeron M. It would also use integrated graphics. Other savings (cheaper materials, cheaper hard drives, cheaper RAM (DDR2-533, not DDR2-667), and so on could cut the bill of materials significantly.

paulchen
Jan 16, 2006, 06:01 AM
hey, will the new imac intel be compatible with leopard? that's an important question for me, because I want to buy one tomorrow and I want the now os, when it will be in the shops, too. I have an ibook and due to me my father has bought an imac g5 20''. I hope you can help me.

SiliconAddict
Jan 16, 2006, 06:15 AM
hey, will the new imac intel be compatible with leopard?


Yes.

paulchen
Jan 16, 2006, 06:40 AM
Yes.

Good news for me. And thank you amsn for the webcam implementation.

BornAgainMac
Jan 16, 2006, 06:48 AM
hey, will the new imac intel be compatible with leopard? that's an important question for me, because I want to buy one tomorrow and I want the now os, when it will be in the shops, too. I have an ibook and due to me my father has bought an imac g5 20''. I hope you can help me.

Upgrades are another source of revenue for Apple. It will be much larger in 2 to 3 years compared to now as the installed base grows. Universal binaries is a key component of supporting multiple CPUs including 32/64 bit programs. In the past, prior upgrades supported older hardware with no problems. You should expect the iMac to be supported for the next 10 years of new operating system upgrades.

Additional information about Leopard will probably be provided at the Developer's conference in June.

AidenShaw
Jan 16, 2006, 07:18 AM
In the past, prior upgrades supported older hardware with no problems. You should expect the iMac to be supported for the next 10 years of new operating system upgrades.
10 years is a long time... Ten years ago a typical Apple had a 1.2 GB disk. The maximum amount of RAM supported in a ten year old Powerbook is 64 MiB! (Not 64 MiB of video memory, but 64 MiB of total system memory)

The oldest supported systems for OSX 10.4 don't go back 10 years:

1999 - PM G3 (B&W)
2000 - PB G3 (Firewire)
1999 - iMac (Slot-loading)
2002 - eMac
2000 - iBook (Firewire)

http://www.apple.com/macosx/upgrade/requirements.html
http://www.apple-history.com/
_________________________________

It's safe to say, however, that the iMacIntel just released will be supported through the next couple of OSX upgrades.

More to the point, it'll probably be supported by OSX longer than you want to keep the machine. In a few years, you'll want something faster and newer, and 64-bit.

The 32-bit chip will probably be the reason you end up dragging the iMac to the trash can. In a few years you'll think that only 2 GiB (or even 4 GiB) of RAM is hopelessly small. New applications will be optimized for 64-bit, and some apps that you'll want will be 64-bit only.

The 32-bit MacIntels won't be a good long-term investment.... These are transition machines, and within 6 months or so you may see the real 64-bit laptop chips showing up. (64-bit MacIntels for Paris Expo?) How long will developers continue to focus on 32-bit - when the 32-bit systems might only be produced for a matter of months before 64-bit shows up?

If you need the speed and have the cash, go for it and have a couple of years of fun. If you don't have the cash - well, you might end up still paying off the loan after you no longer want to be using the 32-bit iMac or MacBook. :(

jacobj
Jan 16, 2006, 07:19 AM
This year's Macworld San Francisco was a total shame IMO ....

I mean none of the new products were THAT AMAZING !

iLife '06 and iWork '06 are so not worth buying (excepet maybe for iWeb) .

MacBook was the best announcement, however, the processor speed was not fast enough compared to other laptops using intel core duo such as Vaio FE series and Dell Inspiron E1705 (2 GHz). Plus i expected Apple to introduce a totally new design for the Macbook. It's not that i don't like the powerbook design but we could use some change after all these years !

I have to say that i was disappointed ...

anyone agrees with me ?


Unless I am missing something, Sony aren't shipping 2.0Ghz Duo's. The graphics cards is not quite as good as the X1600 and the hard drive, although large is 4,200 RPM. Plus the 1GB RAM is 2x512, the screen is 1280 x 800. I can't configure it either... I must be missing something..

The Dell does offer the 2.0 GHz model as an upgrade and a part of me thinks that it is good(ish) value for money. Fully specced the Dell comes in at roughly the same price as the MBP 1.83GHz model and so we can really say that the Dell is $200 cheaper - I'd love to be corrected on this one. So what I am getting for my $200.. OSX and iLife... I'm happy with that... actually $2499 cheaper and I'd still be happy. It's MS for God's sake.

Edit: I added the iLife equivalent software to the Dell and there is still some good stuff missing like iWeb equivalent and Disk Utility.. but hey.. Plus iLife is soooo easy to use.. now my Dell is $2,643.. what a rip off.

I forgot my conclusion. Apple rarely offer the absolute cutting edge processor. Performance/Dollar(I prefer pound ;)) is just not good enough to justify the cost.

T'hain Esh Kelch
Jan 16, 2006, 07:43 AM
Originally Posted by nagromme
I've been following LoopRumors' return, and hope they turn out to be a useful source. Most of their correct predictions this time seem like just good guesses (maybe), but even if that were so, to their credit at least they didn't predict a bunch of wrong stuff.
Me too, I find them interesting... (Except for all their annoying adds!!)

And predictions based on speculation which hits right, is actually quite good. This time and Paris last August they nailed it pretty much. They have quite a good score.

Chobit
Jan 16, 2006, 08:42 AM
However, 10.4's 64-bit support is almost completely brain-damaged. Cocoa and Carbon (that is, GUI or windowed apps) can't use 64-bit. Only simple, "terminal", apps can be 64-bit. The only way to use 64-bit in a typical app is to completely rewrite it to have a 32-bit graphical user interface portion communicating with a backend 64-bit worker portion - two separate jobs in the system.


Actually you stated the reason why this is not brain-damaged yourself earlier in your post. GUI stuff doesn't need or benefit from the 64bitness. In fact, it takes a bit of a performance hit. It would be a Bad Thing™ to make the GUI 64 bit. I agree this can be a pain for people who have existing apps, and apple should have done something about that. But for people writing new apps, this forces them to write in a way that's a bit more efficient. Especially since you want the GUI to be a separate job from the backend for most things that you would need the 64bitness.

paulchen
Jan 16, 2006, 08:52 AM
10 years is a long time... Ten years ago a typical Apple had a 1.2 GB disk. The maximum amount of RAM supported in a ten year old Powerbook is 64 MiB! (Not 64 MiB of video memory, but 64 MiB of total system memory)

The oldest supported systems for OSX 10.4 don't go back 10 years:

1999 - PM G3 (B&W)
2000 - PB G3 (Firewire)
1999 - iMac (Slot-loading)
2002 - eMac
2000 - iBook (Firewire)

http://www.apple.com/macosx/upgrade/requirements.html
http://www.apple-history.com/
_________________________________

It's safe to say, however, that the iMacIntel just released will be supported through the next couple of OSX upgrades.

More to the point, it'll probably be supported by OSX longer than you want to keep the machine. In a few years, you'll want something faster and newer, and 64-bit.

The 32-bit chip will probably be the reason you end up dragging the iMac to the trash can. In a few years you'll think that only 2 GiB (or even 4 GiB) of RAM is hopelessly small. New applications will be optimized for 64-bit, and some apps that you'll want will be 64-bit only.

The 32-bit MacIntels won't be a good long-term investment.... These are transition machines, and within 6 months or so you may see the real 64-bit laptop chips showing up. (64-bit MacIntels for Paris Expo?) How long will developers continue to focus on 32-bit - when the 32-bit systems might only be produced for a matter of months before 64-bit shows up?

If you need the speed and have the cash, go for it and have a couple of years of fun. If you don't have the cash - well, you might end up still paying off the loan after you no longer want to be using the 32-bit iMac or MacBook. :(

Sorry for my english. Your are right, but does anybody use their mac all his life? I thought about a period of 4 years max. I think that those who have bought an Imac G5 for christmas are the people who are no more satisfied. What I need is 4 years of compatibility with new software. With the new intel chip, it's like buying a pc I think. After 4 years you through it away because it only sucks. There are a lot of people waiting and waiting for a new PB, and now, they bought one and wait till february for the shipment and then? It's only transition machine. So they did better by waiting another year? I think with the Imac it's the same thing. Apple will never sell you in future a machine for the "future". They have to sell constantly new machines... With vista, it's the same thing. Those who wait to get a fast pc to use vista will learn that, once software and games installed, it needs a better pc than expected.

AidenShaw
Jan 16, 2006, 09:05 AM
GUI stuff doesn't need or benefit from the 64bitness. In fact, it takes a bit of a performance hit. It would be a Bad Thing™ to make the GUI 64 bit.
On Intel x64, the GUI would be faster in 64-bit than in 32-bit.


I agree this can be a pain for people who have existing apps, and apple should have done something about that. But for people writing new apps, this forces them to write in a way that's a bit more efficient.
True for the "pain", but bullocks for the rest.

The O/S shouldn't force the developer to partition an application into completely separate components that communicate via some arcane, home-brewed protocol.

If the work engine needs to popup a dialogue, it should simply be able to invoke the appropriate method defined in the GUI modules. The developer shouldn't have to establish a communications protocol to send the GUI a message asking it to popup the box.


Especially since you want the GUI to be a separate job from the backend for most things that you would need the 64bitness.
Why do you "want" this?

Think of a 64-bit Photoshop, able to manipulate huge images without resorting to work files and scratch disks. What would be the benefit of separating the presentation engine from the image manipulation engine?

Clean, modular programming practices would dictate keeping the presentation layer separate from the work layer. You don't have to force the developer to program using different libraries, and force her to compile and run the two pieces separately, and require her to add complexity to the solution by developing a new communications protocol for the pieces to work together.

Besides, Windows 64-bit, Unix 64-bit, Linux 64-bit and the others give a unified 64-bit environment. You can break applications into multiple pieces when it makes sense, but you're not forced to just to use a longer pointer! You can make 32-bit and 64-bit pieces, but you're not forced to.

The developers shouldn't have to completely restructure the 64-bit Windows app in order to port it to OSX.

jouster
Jan 16, 2006, 09:27 AM
Yea apple seems to have a good reputation of bringing out the newer version of somthing and keeping the same price as the old one. Fingers crossed that it's cheaper but ill still be happy if it's the same price.


Bear in mind that if it is the same dollar price, it is effectively cheaper in two ways:

1. It is a higher specced computer for the same price.
2. An item which costs $x in 2002 qnd $x in 2006 is cheaper in '06 thanks to the 4 yrs of inflation and (one hopes!) income increases over the 4 years. 2006 dollars are worth less in real terms than 2002 dollars. This may not seem like a huge difference, but go back a bit more: a 17" iMac is about the same dollar price as a 1978 Apple ][, but is, in real terms, orders of magnitude cheaper.

steve_hill4
Jan 16, 2006, 10:28 AM
While it appears that the Core Solo is some time off, and that the iBook/MacBook Express will almost certainly feature this chip rather than the Core Duo, I still have a slight suspicion that we may see some more iBooks soon. This is unlikely, but how about a final PPC speed bump to 1.5 and 1.67Ghz models, (the last processors for the PowerBooks)?

Again, I say this is unlikely and I expect to see the iBook go Core Solo next, but if there is indeed a time frame issue, perhaps we will see some final PPC based iBooks this Spring and then the first Intel based models about the time of the WWDC, maybe in time for the holiday season.

Hattig
Jan 16, 2006, 10:53 AM
While it appears that the Core Solo is some time off, and that the iBook/MacBook Express will almost certainly feature this chip rather than the Core Duo, I still have a slight suspicion that we may see some more iBooks soon. This is unlikely, but how about a final PPC speed bump to 1.5 and 1.67Ghz models, (the last processors for the PowerBooks)?

Again, I say this is unlikely and I expect to see the iBook go Core Solo next, but if there is indeed a time frame issue, perhaps we will see some final PPC based iBooks this Spring and then the first Intel based models about the time of the WWDC, maybe in time for the holiday season.

Core Solo isn't going far, the fact that Intel have one Core Solo, at 1.66GHz, and not at 1.83GHz or 2.0GHz tells us where that line is going.

However it looks very likely that Intel will release a Celeron M based upon a single Yonah core. Expect a single cored processor with 1MB of L2 cache - possibly by April or May. This is the processor that I'd expect an intel based iBook to be based upon.

Ah! http://www.theregister.co.uk/2006/01/16/intel_mobile_roadmap_q1_06/

The Core Solo will form the basis for the next generation of Celeron M chips, which are expected to retain the old-style branding. The Celeron M 410, 420 and 430 are all 65nm parts and clocked to 1.46GHz, 1.60GHz and 1.73GHz, respectively. There's also a Low-Voltage 65nm Celeron M, the 423, in the works. It's clocked at 1.06GHz. All four chips use a 533MHz FSB.

A Celeron M 390 - a 1.7GHz 'Dothan'-core part - is also on the cards for a Q1 appearance.

No pricing information yet, but hopefully they'll be around the $100 mark, give or take. Including a chipset (Centrino) it should cost half the price of a 1.66GHz Core Duo + chipset.

I don't think the next generation iBook / MacBook nonPro will look anywhere near as attractive (compared to the equivalent professional line) as the current line. Still, a 1.46 Celeron M should outperform a 1.33GHz G4 in most, if not all, tasks. It depends on how competitive Apple want to make the next iBook ... hard when a lot of value is in the free bundled applications and OS that is never considered.

MacinDoc
Jan 16, 2006, 11:16 AM
Good work then, AppleInsider!

I always expected PowerBook to go before iBook--just look at the speed of Core Duo and you can see why. The rapid iMac shift surprised me, but then it IS a top-selling Mac model, and has pretty much become the flagship for consumer buyers.

I think the iBook and Mac Mini will wait for Core Solo (which I thought was expected soon, but maybe not). Additional MacBook models could come at any time--I bet two additional sizes (13.3" and 20" quad with dual-Duos? I know, let me dream...) will be out by end of March.

I also expect multiple MacBook names--not just "MacBook" and "MacBook Pro"--along the lines of the multiple iPod names. No need to force a division into two distinct groups.

Lastly I think the Mac Mini will remain as a low-end model, even if some OTHER variation of it (which would have a new name I'd think) were to gain home theater functions. Front Row/remote could be on the bottom Mac Mini--maybe--but nothing more costly. It IS the low-end entry point after all. (In fact, not everyone needs a 3D GPU: the Mac Mini could go with Intel integrated graphics--just so long as the price drops accordingly.)
I agree, for the most part, but I'm not sure about the 20" MacBook.

You are right, the Mac Mini has to remain an entry model at entry prices, so will have few, if any, added features. Even to keep the current price points, with the price difference between even the single core Yonahs and the G4, Apple will probably have to to with the Intel integrated graphics. There could be a media center Mac, but it will be in a larger form factor at a higher price.

Chobit
Jan 16, 2006, 11:19 AM
On Intel x64, the GUI would be faster in 64-bit than in 32-bit.

I'm sorry, I misunderstood your first post. You are, of course, completely right for intel x64. And I hope (and believe) Apple will have full 64 bit support by the time they have intel x64 chips in macs. I was merely talking about on the G5.

Apple, at least in part, wanted to restrict people from moving all their apps to 64 bit as most apps would suffer a bit of a performance hit. Scientific applications and non real-time rendering engines are the main things that would need, and improve, with the 64 bit support for the moment. From my experience, scientific apps tend to be command-line anyway, often time with a gui slapped on top of it. This way, the people who needed the 64 bit support, got it, and no one else used it without due cause.

Whistleway
Jan 16, 2006, 11:58 AM
It's hard to make a recommendation, since Apple has said nothing about plans for 64-bit on Intel. It's almost like a Soviet-era history rewrite - "64-bit" seems to have never happened.

Unlike PowerPC - Intel 64-bit ("x64") is actually faster than 32-bit. This is because the x64 architecture has some fundamental improvements over the x86 32-bit architecture.

On PowerPC, 64-bit programs usually run a little slower than 32-bit programs. There's no point in rewriting for 64-bit unless you really need more than 2 or 3 GiB of RAM *per application* (64-bit isn't needed for a system to support more than 4 GiB - the Intel 32-bit and G4 can support 64 GiB of physical RAM).

On x64, however, 64-bit programs run faster than 32-bit - 20% faster is a typical number. Even if you don't need more than 2 GiB of RAM, you want 64-bit if performance is important.

However, 10.4's 64-bit support is almost completely brain-damaged. Cocoa and Carbon (that is, GUI or windowed apps) can't use 64-bit. Only simple, "terminal", apps can be 64-bit. The only way to use 64-bit in a typical app is to completely rewrite it to have a 32-bit graphical user interface portion communicating with a backend 64-bit worker portion - two separate jobs in the system.

But, since Apple isn't talking about 64-bit any more, what do you do?
___________________________

Bottom line - if the slow speed of the current Powerbook/iMac is a big hassle for you, get the faster Intel systems.

If it isn't a hassle today, wait for WWDC - Apple has to address the x64 question then or it will lose all credibility.

And, if at WWDC Apple says that they do a 10.4-like 64-bit on x64 - think about switching. Note that Windows x64 is a true 64-bit port - graphical and other apps get the faster speed - while maintaining 32-bit compatibility for older apps or those that don't need the speed. Apple needs to copy Windows....

Thanks for the brilliant post, AidenShaw.

fixyourthinking
Jan 16, 2006, 12:00 PM
Both sites were off because they share rumors with each other ... the respective owners are good friends

I believe that these two sites were FED RUMORS this time around ... which may prove to be interesting to see who exactly at Apple is feeding rumors to websites.

My personal belief is that Apple may be testing its employees with information and development ideas - only to integrate their work into other projects ... therefore ... if you are an Apple employee - you may think you are working on a media center plasma - but really you're just working on iLife 06 or Front Row 2.0 ... you just have a beta mac/w plasma screen to test it on ... so ... if any person in this dept leaks to a website ... it can be narrowed down to whom the leak came from.

O'Grady's resume worsens.

VanNess
Jan 16, 2006, 01:01 PM
Well, since it's about winners and losers...

Winners:

Powerbook fans. After a long drought of barely incremental updates to the Powerbook lineup, Apple is a rainmaker now with the MacBook Pro. The only caveat at the moment is software. If you rely on Apple's suite of pro apps, life is good, but if your Powerbook is a currently a haven for mostly third party pro apps, then it's more mist than rain at the moment.

Losers:

iMac owners. After all of the "Special Event" hoopla last October fawning over the features of the "all new" iMac, less than 3 months later it's obsolete. It makes the recent Saturday Night Live parody of Steve Jobs look like a documentary.

Winners:

Podcasters and Bloggers. iLife O6 looks like it has some pretty nifty tools for easy creation of Podcasts and blogs

Losers:

Garageband enthusiasts. Since it's introduction in iLife 04, Garageband has seen tremendous adoption by musicians, music hobbyists, students and musically inclined consumers. And for good reason: there is nothing else like it out there. A lot of Garageband users buy iLife just for Garageband alone. Although iLife 06 adds Podcasting to Garageband, and that's a good thing for broadening it's user base and furthering it's recognition, Apple didn't even throw existing Garageband users a bone regarding new features or improvements. Virtually no incentive for them to update at all.

Well, those are the most obvious ones anyway.

quigleybc
Jan 16, 2006, 01:09 PM
the major programs I use (Adobe PS, GL, ID, and Protools) should all be native by the time 3Q rolls around.



I bet Digi Design will be very very slow in updating Protools to run Natively....very slow...

fixyourthinking
Jan 16, 2006, 02:12 PM
Well, since it's about winners and losers...


Losers:

iMac owners. After all of the "Special Event" hoopla last October fawning over the features of the "all new" iMac, less than 3 months later it's obsolete. It makes the recent Saturday Night Live parody of Steve Jobs look like a documentary.

Well, those are the most obvious ones anyway.

Obsolete ... are you serious? There's nothing obsolete about the "week ago iMacs" - they actually perform/outperform the current Macs - and will be "obsolete" in about 6 years.

An example - Wallstreet PowerBook G3s (233-300Mhz) + G3 Lombard PowerBooks (333mhz) and iMacs 233-266-333Mhz were obsoleted in May of 2005 with the introduction of Tiger - that's 6 years.

The iMac "week ago model" (G5) is a very powerful, very feature rich computer - actually it's the same thing.

Personally I would like to see Apple start to get on a 3 month (quarterly) upgrade cycle like the PC industry.

MacinDoc
Jan 16, 2006, 05:53 PM
Unless I am missing something, Sony aren't shipping 2.0Ghz Duo's. The graphics cards is not quite as good as the X1600 and the hard drive, although large is 4,200 RPM. Plus the 1GB RAM is 2x512, the screen is 1280 x 800. I can't configure it either... I must be missing something..

The Dell does offer the 2.0 GHz model as an upgrade and a part of me thinks that it is good(ish) value for money. Fully specced the Dell comes in at roughly the same price as the MBP 1.83GHz model and so we can really say that the Dell is $200 cheaper - I'd love to be corrected on this one. So what I am getting for my $200.. OSX and iLife... I'm happy with that... actually $2499 cheaper and I'd still be happy. It's MS for God's sake.

Edit: I added the iLife equivalent software to the Dell and there is still some good stuff missing like iWeb equivalent and Disk Utility.. but hey.. Plus iLife is soooo easy to use.. now my Dell is $2,643.. what a rip off.

I forgot my conclusion. Apple rarely offer the absolute cutting edge processor. Performance/Dollar(I prefer pound ;)) is just not good enough to justify the cost.
You are correct, Sony moved the PRE-ORDER date back to Jan. 24. I configured the Dell E1705 with XP Pro, a DVD burner, a 100 GB HD, a DVD burner, and the equivalent of iLife, the standard antivirus/anti-spyware packack, a remote, Bluetooth, 1 year MAIL-IN warranty, and 30 day tech service for $2697, as compared to the MacBook Pro at $2399 ($100 reduction for 2x512 MB SODIMMs). The differences are that the E1705 has a 17 inch screen and a DL DVD burner, while the MacBook Pro has a better battery, a better power connector, better drop protection, 90 day technical support, and, of course, OS X. So, I would say that both offer about the same value. Preliminary ship date for the Dell is Feb. 14.

Norse Son
Jan 16, 2006, 06:45 PM
Good work then, AppleInsider!

I always expected PowerBook to go before iBook--just look at the speed of Core Duo and you can see why. The rapid iMac shift surprised me, but then it IS a top-selling Mac model, and has pretty much become the flagship for consumer buyers.

I think the iBook and Mac Mini will wait for Core Solo (which I thought was expected soon, but maybe not). Additional MacBook models could come at any time--I bet two additional sizes (13.3" and 20" quad with dual-Duos? I know, let me dream...) will be out by end of March.

I also expect multiple MacBook names--not just "MacBook" and "MacBook Pro"--along the lines of the multiple iPod names. No need to force a division into two distinct groups.

Lastly I think the Mac Mini will remain as a low-end model, even if some OTHER variation of it (which would have a new name I'd think) were to gain home theater functions. Front Row/remote could be on the bottom Mac Mini--maybe--but nothing more costly. It IS the low-end entry point after all. (In fact, not everyone needs a 3D GPU: the Mac Mini could go with Intel integrated graphics--just so long as the price drops accordingly.)
Wow, you come across as a carbon-copy of my thoughts on the whole Intel switch - not that you're copying me... or I'm copying you... err... hmmm... We seem to share the same logic.

I did think we could possibly see one iBook at MWSF, if only because Intel listed the 1.67GHz Core Solo (single-core Yonah) on their most recent price lists, alongside the new dual-cores... But I agree, the iBook and mini will transition this Spring - when the Core Solos are released in adequate supplies. After all, that is when school districts generally make purchase decisions for the upcoming year (large audience for both machines).

And the mini DVR rumors were just too "out there" as far as I was concerned - it would have eliminated the mini's main attractions (price & size). No, I feel certain that the DVR box Apple is working on will incorporate Viiv (to some extent), with a large SATA drive, maybe a SuperDrive(?), and will use Front Row 2.0 to act as the brains for the plethora & babble of our AV system. It won't be called a mini-whatever, and will be more pizza-box shaped, in silver or black, so as to blend in with the rest of our components.

I doubt Apple will come out with 42" & 50" plasma Mac-TVs... By Fall of 2007 I could see an OLED display from Apple in those ranges, but the consumer space for flat screen TVs is just to crowded right now. Apple could not really offer enough of a difference to make it worthwhile to them.

The laptop lineup, I agree, could readily split into more than the 2 basic lines Apple has had up to now (consumer & pro). I said as much in a few posts this past December. However, I saw possible names, at that time, as iBook Jr., iBook, PowerBook and PowerBook Pro... So now, with MacBook Pro, I'm guessing the third choice of mine is gone, and likely the first & second, as well. But Apple should expand their consumer machines into 2-3 categories (10-12" subnote, regular 13" widescreen, and 15"-17" college/gamer's), and the pro line into 2, maybe even 4 models (11"-12" subnote, 15" widescreen, 17" graphics/design tablet, and 17"-19" extreme 3D/HD/DV).

As for the rapid iMac shift, I'm not totally surprised, although the "marketing issue" of dropping from 64bit G5 to a 32bit (albeit, dual-core that "spanks it!") Yonah I wasn't sure Apple would do. However, I fully expect a 23" iMac based on Viiv to "flesh out" the iMac line sometime around May. And around September the iMac will shift to the 64bit, dual-core Merom, with maybe a "low-end" model or two retaining the dual-core Yonahs.
___________________________

PS: Before MWSF '06 I, also, stated my belief that Apple would split their stock this Spring (maybe sooner!?!). And that Apple would announce a contest for the 1,000,000,000th iTMS download by sometime in April - well, if they're already past 850,000,000 it looks as though I was being conservative. But I expect the prize may be something like a $10,000 Apple Store Online Shopping Spree and a $10,000 iTMS Gift Card... I can't wait!

Norse Son
Jan 16, 2006, 07:07 PM
I was pretty psyched about the MacBooks, but roadmaps show that Intel will have 64-bit mobile processors this fall. Common sense suggests that there will be Intel 64-bit Apple laptops shortly after. It just doesn't seem to make sense to buy into a platform that is already planned for obsolescence in barely half a year. Any thoughts?
In the Mac world we've grown accustomed to computers that are still "leading edge" (for a Mac) by the time the postal service has squeezed in 2-3 rate hikes. However, on the x86 side Intel (& AMD) tend to refresh their lineup of chips about every 3-6 months. So, even if you wait for Merom, the 64bit, dual-core "follow-on" (important distinction) to Yonah, in about six months from then Intel may be pushing quad-core 45nm chips out the door.

It all depends on what you need the machine for. If it's tasks that most people do everyday, such as e-mail, websurfing, writing letters & reports, etc., then Yonah's 32bits will serve you well for seeveral years to come. Heck, most software is still 32bit - and doesn't (necessarily) need to go 64bit. But if you're into heavy-lifting, like 3D and/or HD-DV, then 64bit might make more sense for you... That's if you can afford to wait until September for the hardware and until who knows when for the software...

Norse Son
Jan 16, 2006, 07:13 PM
I think we should expect some of the missing products on April 1st (30 year anniversary). Like the Intel Mac Minis and the iBooks. Maybe even a brand new product like a 40"+ iMac Media Edition. :)
Well, if it's April 1st, could we trust anything that Apple announced on that day... Well, I think I'd give them the benefit of the doubt before I'd believe anything from Think Secret, DigiTimes and/or O'Grady's...

nagromme
Jan 16, 2006, 07:13 PM
Losers: iMac owners. After all of the "Special Event" hoopla last October fawning over the features of the "all new" iMac, less than 3 months later it's obsolete. It makes the recent Saturday Night Live parody of Steve Jobs look like a documentary.
Some people object when Macs improve too quickly. Others object when Macs improve too slowly. Actually... there are ALWAYS people complaining about both, at the SAME time :D

A couple things are for sure even so:

* Computers will always improve. There's no time to buy that makes you "safe" from that "problem."

* Your iMac G5 is just as fast today as it was last week. And it's still a currently-sold model with no software questions to ask.

I think you may have to re-evaluate your definition of "obsolete" :D

Norse Son
Jan 16, 2006, 07:33 PM
hey, will the new imac intel be compatible with leopard? that's an important question for me, because I want to buy one tomorrow and I want the now os, when it will be in the shops, too. I have an ibook and due to me my father has bought an imac g5 20''. I hope you can help me.
Apple's fairly good at backwards compatibility of their OSs. I had an old PowerMac 6500/225. It came with MacOS 7.5 - and, yes, that's from the PaleoMacic era... After a couple years I sold it to a computer store, and the guy "was shocked" that I had MacOS 8.6(?) on it, because his info was that it was incompatible with my machine...

And now I'm running MacOS X v.10.4.4 on my lowly G3/400 Pismo PowerBook. Which was a feat in itself, because with the way this lemon kills DVD-ROM drives (3 of them), I had to take it to an Apple Store where they erased my drive (Panther v.10.3.9) and used FrWr Disk Mode from a PowerMac G5 to load my new Tiger... I could see how inferior my l'il G3/400MHz felt "taking its medicine" from that beast of a dual-cpu 2.7GHz G5...

However, with the anemic ATI Rage 128 and only 8MB of VRAM, I can't take advantage of any of Core Image's whiz-bang effects... And never mind trying to play h264...........

Bottomline: Any Mac you buy today, even in the past year, will be able to run most features of MacOS X v10.5 "Leopard"... And likely the same for MacOS X v10.6 "Alley Cat"... Beyond that - and we're talking sometime in 2009 - there's no guarantees... I know I wouldn't even attempt to put Leopard on my Pismo - I just couldn't break my l'il champ's heart anymore.

Norse Son
Jan 16, 2006, 07:53 PM
Well, since it's about winners and losers...
...
Losers:

iMac owners. After all of the "Special Event" hoopla last October fawning over the features of the "all new" iMac, less than 3 months later it's obsolete...

...
Losers:

Garageband enthusiasts. Since it's introduction in iLife 04, Garageband has seen tremendous adoption by musicians, music hobbyists, students and musically inclined consumers... Apple didn't even throw existing Garageband users a bone regarding new features or improvements. Virtually no incentive for them to update at all.

Well, those are the most obvious ones anyway.
If you buy a... hmm... need good comparison... BMW X5 today, then at the Detroit Auto Show they announce a new model, with 500hp Hybrid that gets 70mpg, plus all the other bells & whistles... Is your brand new BMW X5 obsolete? I just don't get why people want to have a funeral for their 3-month old iMacs, just because Apple released an Intel-based iMac at MWSF... That 2.1Ghz iMac G5 will still be a great performer in 2007... The only thing that may give it "reason to pause" (pun intended) will be the latest & greatest, must-have video games.

As for GarageBand; I thought there was something in there, related to the podcasting thingymabob, that (basically) allowed you to make your own music videos... Is that true? If it is, that sounds like a pretty cool feature. Then, again, I wouldn't know; my Pismo ate its last DVD-ROM drive in mid 2004 (3rd one!), and I can't use iDVD (no SuperDrive) or GarageBand...

MacinDoc
Jan 16, 2006, 11:38 PM
However, I fully expect a 23" iMac based on Viiv to "flesh out" the iMac line sometime around May.
Probably to be announced on April 1...
And around September the iMac will shift to the 64bit, dual-core Merom, with maybe a "low-end" model or two retaining the dual-core Yonahs.
Once Merom comes out, hopefully all Macs will switch to 64 bit, and hopefully OS X 10.5 will have a fully 64 bit version.

Maestro64
Jan 17, 2006, 08:57 AM
The Thinksecret mole has been discovered through the release of misinformation. Apple gave Appleinsider the right details and fed their suspect with wrong info...he/she is so busted! :eek:
I doubt this very much, it is not like Apple has these internal secret labs developing these things that no one in the company knows about until the products release.

Everyone who works in Cupertino knows about any and all developement project. Not like Jobs could seed bad information to employees and hope they would leak the informations out I think the employees would know if the product is real or not.

The only expections to this is some outside company they deal with or maybe one of the retail people. But the retail people would not get the information too soon since they are the last in the chain.

Maestro64
Jan 17, 2006, 09:27 AM
Whatever happened to that "Asteroid" rumor that ThinkSecret got in trouble for a while ago?

I was just think this myself, there was all this noise about this leak. At this time I figured the reason Jobs was so pissed off was it was at least a year away, because of few week leak is not big deal it hard to proved it actually hurt business.

The fact it was not released yet might be for a couple of reason, one to keep pressure on the courts to help find out who leaked the information. Two, the project has been canned, or maybe yet it was never a real project but the information was used to try and find the sources of information leak and try and shut it all down. If the last is true you can say it was a success since the rate of rumors and thier accuracy has been very low.

mac-er
Jan 17, 2006, 07:25 PM
Intel Developing Next PowerMac for Apple? - est. 3rd quarter 2006

Well, considering that the MacBook Pro is the new Powerbook, I think this rumor can be put to bed.