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Doctor Q
Jul 4, 2004, 02:04 PM
I am once again posting charts of the MacRumors Top 50 posters. The previous Top 50 Posters Extrapolated threads were July 4, 2003 and January 4, 2004.

The legend of column headings follows the chart.

The results are only estimates because members change their rate of posting, current members will join the list or drop out, and new members will appear.

I've computed the numbers just for fun and to be a point of discussion. Members should not post just to achieve a high post count. Pointless posts (spam) are against forum rules (http://forums.macrumors.com/announcement.php?s=&forumid=20), which everyone should read and follow.

Top 50 Posters as of today and estimated top 50 posters in 6 months and at the end of time

Computed by Doctor Q on July 4, 2005

.. .............. Cur.. Cur.. PR DLT | Projection.... Proj
RK Current Top 50 Posts Rate. RK RNK | January 4,2005 Posts | End of Time
-- -------------- ----- ----- -- --- | -------------- ----- | --------------
.1 Mr. Anderson.. 16765 12.49 .1 ..0 | Mr. Anderson.. 19076 | wdlove
.2 eyelikeart.... 12104 .6.76 .2 ..0 | eyelikeart.... 13354 | Mr. Anderson
.3 Rower_CPU..... 9,694 .8.89 .3 ..0 | wdlove........ 11994 | Doctor Q
.4 wdlove........ 8,794 17.30 .8 .+4 | Rower_CPU..... 11339 | bousozoku
.5 Macrumors..... 7,593 .0.02 .4 .-1 | MrMacman...... 8,181 | Rower_CPU
.6 MacBandit..... 7,048 .5.31 .7 .+1 | MacBandit..... 8,030 | jxyama
.7 jelloshotsrule 7,025 .1.30 .5 .-2 | Macrumors..... 7,596 | edesignuk
.8 jefhatfield... 6,795 .3.04 .6 .-2 | jefhatfield... 7,357 | MrMacman
.9 MrMacman...... 6,712 .7.94 .9 ..0 | jelloshotsrule 7,266 | Nermal
10 arn........... 5,398 .2.19 11 .+1 | bousozoku..... 6,537 | eyelikeart
11 shadowfax..... 5,373 .0.83 10 .-1 | edesignuk..... 6,525 | Counterfit
12 King Cobra.... 5,038 .4.05 15 .+3 | Doctor Q...... 5,812 | Sun Baked
13 edesignuk..... 5,017 .8.15 19 .+6 | arn........... 5,803 | virividox
14 scem0......... 4,993 .2.18 12 .-2 | King Cobra.... 5,787 | iGAV
15 iJon.......... 4,844 .3.53 16 .+1 | shadowfax..... 5,526 | aswitcher
16 bousozoku..... 4,787 .9.46 24 .+8 | iJon.......... 5,498 | Dont Hurt Me
17 vniow......... 4,612 .1.52 14 .-3 | scem0......... 5,396 | MacBandit
18 AlphaTech..... 4,562 .0.00 13 .-5 | Sun Baked..... 5,106 | revenuee
19 paulwhannel... 4,193 .4.81 20 .+1 | paulwhannel... 5,082 | paulwhannel
20 Doctor Q...... 4,062 .9.46 33 +13 | vniow......... 4,893 | Powerbook G5
21 krossfyter.... 4,051 .0.85 18 .-3 | iGAV.......... 4,867 | Horrortaxi
22 Backtothemac.. 4,043 .0.76 17 .-5 | Powerbook G5.. 4,764 | King Cobra
23 Sun Baked..... 3,940 .6.30 28 .+5 | AlphaTech..... 4,562 | SiliconAddict
24 Powerbook G5.. 3,883 .4.76 25 .+1 | jxyama........ 4,247 | übergeek
25 iGAV.......... 3,770 .5.93 29 .+4 | krossfyter.... 4,208 | mactastic
26 job........... 3,366 .0.80 21 .-5 | Backtothemac.. 4,184 | ~Shard~
27 teabgs.........3,267 .1.48 26 .-1 | Nermal........ 4,055 | iJon
28 Durandal7......3,145 .0.20 23 .-5 | Dont Hurt Me.. 3,778 | MacBytes
29 mac15..........3,017 .0.93 27 .-2 | teabgs........ 3,541 | applemacdude
30 cb911..........2,871 .2.81 32 .+2 | job........... 3,513 | QCassidy352
31 Dont Hurt Me...2,779 .5.40 43 +12 | Counterfit.... 3,398 | jefhatfield
32 Nermal.........2,750 .7.05 57 +25 | cb911......... 3,391 | themadchemist
33 britboy........2,704 .0.36 31 .-2 | mac15......... 3,189 | wrldwzrd89
34 jxyama.........2,696 .8.38 71 +37 | Durandal7..... 3,183 | Macmaniac
35 mischief.......2,695 .0.25 30 .-5 | virividox..... 3,133 | cb911
36 Kwyjibo........2,507 .2.53 37 .+1 | übergeek...... 3,113 | bennetsaysargh
37 übergeek.......2,401 .3.85 50 +13 | Kwyjibo....... 2,976 | Kwyjibo
38 MacAztec.......2,385 .1.14 35 .-3 | britboy....... 2,770 | Mudbug
39 Beej.......... 2,226 .0.02 34 .-5 | mischief...... 2,742 | Abstract
40 bennetsaysargh 2,172 .2.70 52 +12 | bennetsaysargh 2,672 | Flowbee
41 sparkleytone...2,160 .0.28 36 .-5 | aswitcher..... 2,611 | MacsRgr8
42 Counterfit.....2,148 .6.75 .. ... | MacAztec...... 2,596 | LethalWolfe
43 Hemingray......2,137 .1.12 40 .-3 | applemacdude.. 2,535 | arn
44 alex_ant.......2,047 .0.32 39 .-5 | Macmaniac..... 2,524 | scem0
45 mnkeybsness....2,027 .1.60 47 .+2 | mactastic..... 2,502 | howard
46 G4scott........1,987 .1.29 46 .+0 | revenuee...... 2,403 | stoid
47 virividox......1,983 .6.22 .. ... | LethalWolfe... 2,377 | Awimoway
48 mymemory.......1,980 .0.94 42 .-6 | Hemingray..... 2,343 | cubist
49 Macmaniac......1,976 .2.96 59 +10 | mnkeybsness... 2,323 | Snowy_River
50 applemacdude...1,966 .3.08 61 +11 | Mudbug........ 2,315 | idkew

Columns:
RK = Rank (1 to 50).

Current Top 50 = members with the 50 currently highest post counts.

Cur Posts = # of posts by that member.

Cur Rate = average # posts per day by that member over the last 6 months, or for the length of their membership, whichever is smaller.

PR RK = Previous Rank, as of January 4, 2004 (six months ago); blank for those who are new to the Top 50.

DLT RNK = Delta Rank (# of slots +higher or -lower in rank since 6 months ago).

Projection January 4, 2005 = 6-month projected ranking based on displayed post rate.

Proj Posts = 6-month projected # of posts based on current post rate.

End of Time = projected ranking at the end of time, i.e., the ranking approached as time advances to infinity.



Doctor Q
Jul 4, 2004, 02:05 PM
--- General Observations ---

Rather than use post rates averaged over each member's entire membership, I used post rates averaged over the last 6 months. This assumes that members will continue to post at current rates, which of course isn't always the case, but it may be more accurate than preditions based on long-term rates, since some members were registered but inactive and only began to post more recently. I think the method I used will improve accuracy for the extrapolations 6 months into the future, but probably wasn't a fair way to predict the "End of Time" rankings.

Statistics about the length of membership of the current Top 50: [with numbers from 6 months ago in square brackets]: average 28.3 months [23.2], standard deviation 8.3 [6.7], minimum 10.5 (Counterfit) [6.4], maximum 47.8 (jefhatfield) [41.8]. MacRumors and arn re-registered in April 2001, otherwise they would be oldest Top 50 members.

There are two Top 50 members who have been members less than a year: Counterfit, and virividox, both members 10.5 months. In fact, Counterfit registered the day after virividox!

I chose to exclude banned members from the Top 50 list. If I had not, tazo would have been 28th (just before Durandal7) and Phil of Mac would have been 45th (just before alex_ant).

--- Current Top 50 ---

There are 7 new Top 50 members: virividox, Counterfit, bennetsaysargh, Nermal, Macmaniac, applemacdude, and jxyama.

Five members are off the Top 50: AmbitiousLemon, medea, Ensign Paris, irmongoose, and Moxiemike.

Biggest gain in rank within the Top 50: jxyama (up 37 slots), followed by Nermal (up 25 slots). übergeek and Doctor Q were each up 13 slots.

Drops were milder. Biggest drop in rank within the Top 50: mymemory (down 6 slots), with 8 other members down 5 slots each: alex_ant, sparkleytone, Beej, mischief, Durandal7, job, Backtothemac, and AlphaTech.

macfan, who was 50th on the Top 50 list a year ago, no longer posts and as a result has dropped by 1,711 slots since a year ago!

--- End of time rankings ---

These end of time rankings are based on the current post rate, and after seeing the results I'm not sure that is a fair predictor. The biggest shock is seeing that Mr. Anderson is out of the top spot.

Other surprises in the Top 10 "End of Time" members from 6 months ago: Doctor Q has moved way up (my post rate increased as a result of being given Moderator duties). shadowfax and jelloshotsrule and vniow are no longer in the Top 50.

Perhaps End of Time rankings should be based on total length of membership, since it is by nature a long-term statistic.

I await your comments and ideas. In the meantime, I'm off to a Fourth of July party!

wdlove
Jul 4, 2004, 03:33 PM
Thank you for your very diligent job Doctor Q. Your timing is very appropriate. I was just thinking about this yesterday and was going to send you a request for an update today. You are very prompt indeed.

I'm very surprised also that Mr. Anderson and eyelikeart would fall out of their top spots.

I hope that you will have a great 4th of July celebration. You certainly deserve it with all your good work.

Mr. Anderson
Jul 4, 2004, 06:09 PM
I'm very surprised also that Mr. Anderson and eyelikeart would fall out of their top spots.

I think its called getting a life :D

D

King Cobra
Jul 4, 2004, 06:46 PM
I have two comments. First, I've been trying to figure out whether or not Doctor Q. was going to do that extrapolation thing anymore since he's a mod and has to "assume" more formal duties. Second, I've also been thinking that if Doctor Q. did another one of them that I should keep the first derivative of my recent posts well up - also, I got greedy as I approached 5K - so that as opposed to the 5,9xx mark Doctor Q. calculated from last time, it would be much higher. But it's actually lower... 5,7xx. Bah, well, I do have most of the summer to change that.

Neserk
Jul 4, 2004, 09:20 PM
hmmm.....no where to be found....

job
Jul 4, 2004, 10:29 PM
I think this bi-annual recap of members and their posts is extremely helpful in figuring out who has stopped posting.

For example, 6 months ago I would have never figured vniow and shadowfax to drop out of the end of time count.

applemacdude
Jul 4, 2004, 10:56 PM
haha finally all my spamming got me into slot # 50 up 11 slots....lol

Nermal
Jul 4, 2004, 11:13 PM
Last time around I was predicted to end up at #50. Where did I end up? #32 :D

stoid
Jul 4, 2004, 11:43 PM
Yay! by the end of time, I'll finally get into the top 50!

Counterfit
Jul 5, 2004, 12:16 AM
woo, #42, to #31, then #11 when All Hell Breaks Loose :D


I think its called getting a life :D

D Are you implying something? ;)

irmongoose
Jul 5, 2004, 02:36 AM
And off I go from the Top 50. Oh well, I've got 2 months to recover my post... :p



irmongoose

Awimoway
Jul 5, 2004, 02:59 AM
Am surprised to discover that I made one of the lists -- near the bottom of the end of time list.

However, I don't think I'll stay on that list for long. My recent 10 months of unemployment played a big role in getting my post rate up. Now it's in decline and will likely stay that way. Alas.

Awimoway
Jul 5, 2004, 03:01 AM
hmmm.....no where to be found....

Perhaps because it doesn't count political forum posts?

WinterMute
Jul 5, 2004, 04:48 AM
Damn, fell off the End of time list, that's called having a life I suppose, although with the summer coming up I should be around a little more, I only posted a few times in the last few weeks cos of the Degree Show and end of year degree classification duties.

Back to being a lazy academic again... :D

pivo6
Jul 5, 2004, 06:18 AM
One of the reason for the big drop by Macfan was posts in the political forum no longer counted. That and he/she stopped posting.

I'll never come anywhere near this list. Oh well.

virividox
Jul 5, 2004, 06:43 AM
oh wow i didnt even notice i was posting that much; i guess this is what happens when you have too much time on your hands and are in love with your computer ;)

Doctor Q
Jul 5, 2004, 02:42 PM
I recomputed the End of Time predictions based on overall posting rates, from date of registration through the present.

Top 50 Posters at the end of time based on overall post rates

.. .............. LongT ........ Mem. Cur
RK End of Time... Rate. JoinDate Mon. RK
-- -------------- ----- -------- ---- ---
.1 Mr. Anderson.. 17.19 11/01/01 32.0 2
.2 wdlove........ 14.14 10/20/02 20.4 1
.3 Powerbook G5.. 10.33 06/23/03 12.4 20
.4 MacBandit..... 10.16 08/09/02 22.8 17
.5 Rower_CPU..... .9.67 10/05/01 32.9 5
.6 eyelikeart.... .9.47 01/02/01 42.0 10
.7 shadowfax..... .8.07 09/06/02 21.9
.8 jelloshotsrule .8.01 02/07/02 28.8
.9 scem0......... .6.95 07/16/02 23.6 44
10 Counterfit.... .6.75 08/20/03 10.4 11
11 bousozoku..... .6.48 06/25/02 24.3 4
12 Macrumors..... .6.45 04/12/01 38.7
13 vniow......... .6.44 07/18/02 23.5
14 Doctor Q...... .6.22 09/19/02 21.5 3
15 virividox..... .6.22 08/19/03 10.5 13
16 MrMacman...... .6.13 07/04/01 36.0 8
17 edesignuk..... .6.04 03/25/02 27.3 7
18 jxyama........ .5.90 04/03/03 15.0 6
19 King Cobra.... .5.90 03/02/02 28.1 22
20 aswitcher..... .5.75 010/8/03 08.8 15
21 iJon.......... .5.52 02/07/02 28.8 27
22 Sun Baked..... .5.08 05/19/02 25.5 12
23 revenuee...... .5.02 09/13/03 09.7 18
24 Dont Hurt Me.. .4.96 12/21/02 18.4 16
25 Nermal........ .4.79 12/07/02 18.9 9
26 paulwhannel... .4.75 02/02/02 29.0 19
27 jefhatfield... .4.67 07/09/00 47.8 31
28 arn........... .4.57 04/09/01 38.8 43
29 AlphaTech..... .4.55 10/04/01 33.0
30 krossfyter.... .4.49 01/13/02 29.6
31 iGAV.......... .4.45 03/09/02 27.8 14
32 Backtothemac.. .4.43 01/02/02 30.0
33 übergeek..... .4.28 12/20/02 18.4 24
34 mactastic..... .4.22 04/24/03 14.3 25
35 Horrortaxi.... .4.14 07/06/03 11.9 21
36 Kwyjibo....... .4.14 11/05/02 19.9 37
37 bennetsaysargh .4.10 01/20/03 17.4 36
38 SiliconAddict. .3.86 06/19/03 12.5 23
39 job........... .3.78 01/25/02 29.2
40 teabgs........ .3.64 01/18/02 29.5
41 ~Shard~....... .3.56 06/04/03 13.0 26
42 cb911......... .3.40 03/12/02 27.7 35
43 MacBytes...... .3.29 07/05/03 12.0 28
44 mac15......... .3.29 12/29/01 30.1
45 QCassidy352... .3.07 03/20/03 15.5 30
46 themadchemist. .3.03 01/31/03 17.1 32
47 wrldwzrd89.... .3.03 06/06/03 12.9 33
48 patrick0brien. .2.93 10/24/02 20.3
49 MacFan25...... .2.92 01/05/03 17.9
50 WinterMute.... .2.88 01/19/03 17.4

Columns:
RK = Rank (1 to 50).

End of Time = projected ranking at the end of time, i.e., the ranking approached as time advances to infinity.

LongT Rate = long-term average # posts per day for the length of membership.

JoinDate = date of MacRumors registration (in the dopey non-sortable U.S. format).

Mem Mon = membership months.

Cur RK = End of Time rank from my earlier post (post #2 above), based on the current (recent) post rate instead of the long-term post rate.


--- Observations ---

These rankings look better to me, but that's probably because I've been watching the ranks change gradually over a year. As I mentioned in post #2, using long-term post rates skews the results one way, while using recent post rates skews them the other way. The truth is probaby in the middle, and it would be most reasonsable to treat the pair of estimates as a range, e.g., Powerbook G5 is predicted to be in the End of Time range of 3rd to 20th.

That leads me to assume that consistency correlates to accuracy.

Some members stay practically the same in the pair of rankings: Mr. Anderson, wdlove, Rower_CPU, Counterfit, Kwyjibo, bennetsaysargh, and WinterMute. Almost as consistent: virividox and King Cobra, followed by eyelikeart and jefhatfield. These members have had consistent post rates, so predictions are likely to be more accurate.

Others jump quite a bit, due to highly changed post rates. The extremes are shadowfax and jelloshotsrule, followed by Backtothemac, vniow, and krossfyter. My conclusion is that we can't make good predictions for these members this way, i.e., using these mathematical models. Of course, we could just ask them about their lives and probably get a better prediction!

Members in the Top 50 End of Time based on long-term posting rates but not based on current posting rates: shadowfax, jelloshotsrule, Macrumors, vniow, AlphaTech, krossfyter, Backtothemac, job, teabgs, mac15, patrick0brien, MacFan25, and WinterMute. These are the members who have slowed down.

Members in the Top 50 End of Time based on current posting rates but not based on long-term posting rates: Mudbug, Abstract, MacsRgr8, Flowbee, LethalWolfe, howard, stoid, Awimoway, cubist, Snowy_River, idkew, applemacdude, and Macmaniac. These are the members who have sped up.

By the way, I miss the teasing I traditionally get for doing this silly analysis instead of going to a movie or whatever normal people do with their time. :(

MrMacMan
Jul 5, 2004, 03:44 PM
Thank you very much Doctor Q.

I like very much that I will be increasing in posting rank for january even though I was kicked off my computer and have posted less them 100 posts in the last 3 months... :eek:


I also like the First End of Time ranking since I am *alot* higher on that one... :confused: :confused:


In anyrate thank you for your contribution and really wonderful achievement.

yamabushi
Jul 5, 2004, 05:22 PM
Thanks Doctor Q. If you can find the time in the future I would like to see the list grow to include perhaps the top 100. If the MR total active membership grows significantly a larger list would help to keep the proportion of top posters listed to total active users somewhere close to where it is now.

Doctor Q
Jul 5, 2004, 05:43 PM
Thanks Doctor Q. If you can find the time in the future I would like to see the list grow to include perhaps the top 100. If the MR total active membership grows significantly a larger list would help to keep the proportion of top posters listed to total active users somewhere close to where it is now.You can click here (http://forums.macrumors.com/memberlist.php?&order=DESC&sort=posts&pp=100) to view the Top 100 posters at any given time.

I realized a year ago that I could identify posters with high post counts but not those having high post rates simply because the forum software doesn't provide that information, other than by guessing which members to check. That meant that I had to gather statistics on the top N>50 members and from that look for those who would likely be in the Top 50 six months later. I picked N=75, gathering stats on the Top 75 and taking the Top 50 from the projected results. I did so again this time, but included the union of three sets: the Top 75 from a year ago, the Top 75 from 6 months ago, and the Top 75 now, ending up with stats on 113 members, projected and then reduced to the Top 50.

If I want to post predictions for the Top 100, that would mean I needed to gather stats for even more members (say 150). It would be a never-ending battle to get more data so I could sift down to more results. That's why I stuck at 50.

Flowbee
Jul 5, 2004, 06:45 PM
Members in the Top 50 End of Time based on current posting rates but not based on long-term posting rates: Mudbug, Abstract, MacsRgr8, Flowbee, LethalWolfe, howard, stoid, Awimoway, cubist, Snowy_River, vidkew[/i], applemacdude, and Macmaniac. These are the members who have sped up.

I owe my inclusion on this list to a recent couple months of unemployment. I'm working again... so I expect to drop off the list entirely next time around. I think the calculation based on date of registration thru present is probably a bit more useful (though, it was fun to see my name above Arn's on the top posters at the end of time list). :D

virividox
Jul 5, 2004, 07:34 PM
now that im in summer i dont spend as much time browsing the forums. i also noticed that there are a lot less threads about ram :) which is a good thing but a ton of threads about pbook v the ibook :) hehhe i can explain my post count by saying i love posting odd bits of news everytime i read something funny or interesting

wdlove
Jul 5, 2004, 08:00 PM
I don't think you give yourself enough credit Doctor Q. You happen to like math, each person should use his talent to best of their ability. You also wouldn't be doing this if it didn't bring you great joy of accomplishment. You shows in the detail in which you do the extrapolation. I think that you are no loner getting teased because they enjoy seeing their changes in time.

Freg3000
Jul 6, 2004, 01:13 AM
I don't think you give yourself enough credit Doctor Q. You happen to like math, each person should use his talent to best of their ability. You also wouldn't be doing this if it didn't bring you great joy of accomplishment. You shows in the detail in which you do the extrapolation. I think that you are no loner getting teased because they enjoy seeing their changes in time.

I have never made any of these posting lists, but I must say that I enjoy them tremendously. I find it incredibly interesting and admire Doctor Q for having the will to compile all the of the data and then analyze it twice a year.

Thank you for making MacRumors more enjoyable!

Awimoway
Jul 6, 2004, 02:21 AM
These are the members who have sped up.

Well golly, I wasn't even a Mac user — or a prospective Mac user, for that matter — when MacRumors began. Give me some time! :D

virividox
Jul 6, 2004, 03:25 AM
great job dr q, im just curious to know how long all these calculations take you to do?

Mr. Anderson
Jul 6, 2004, 08:36 AM
The one bad thing about the new table is that some members who aren't even around any more (AlphaTech) are still in the list :D

Maybe a modified version, just using members who are currently active? not that you need to go and do more work....:p

D

michaelrjohnson
Jul 6, 2004, 08:44 AM
You know, everytime one of these comes around it's very interesting to see where I stand. I know that Im not anywhere near the top of these lists, but its so interesting to see these names. The names of the top 50, are the people that compose MacRumors, mostly, IMHO. But what I find most interesting is that, while I haven't posted all that much (and started posting much more last fall) I have been around during almost the whole time. It's a very interesting culture we have here... Long Live MacRumors! ;)

michaelrjohnson
Jul 6, 2004, 08:47 AM
The one bad thing about the new table is that some members who aren't even around any more (AlphaTech) are still in the list :D

Maybe a modified version, just using members who are currently active? not that you need to go and do more work....:p

D

I was inactive until last fall, and only had about 70 posts to my name over a 3 year span.

How many members are eliminated from the total number if inactive members are excluded?

(I'm recalling the charts that were produced last time)

Doctor Q
Jul 6, 2004, 10:11 AM
great job dr q, im just curious to know how long all these calculations take you to do?A few hours to gather the data. A few hours playing with spreadsheets. Maybe an hour staring at the data to see what's interesting about it. Five minutes inserting all those italic markers because I like to put member names in italics. And 1 extra minute to fix the ü in übergeek since it gets messed up when I use vi while formatting the chart.

The one bad thing about the new table is that some members who aren't even around any more (AlphaTech) are still in the listBut wouldn't you miss them if you didn't see their names? I almost left the banned members for the same reason: the surprise to see them still in the Top 50 after they stop posting, even though you know they will be dropping off the lists if you wait long enough. And you never know if a member who rarely or never posts might resurface!

jxyama
Jul 6, 2004, 10:20 AM
pretty nifty... puts more validity into my gf's claim that i often seem to like my PB more than her. :p

took a few days off from posting while traveling... though i'm kind of "fed up" with repeated posts about similar inquiries on which hardware to purchase, so i expect my post rate to drop. i stopped replying to most of those. i wish there was a large forum thread with "before you ask what you should get, read this" with a summary of all the mac hardwares and their suitability... ;)

i'll probably be spending more time on the community forum or answering genuine questions i can answer...

anyway, i find these statistical analysis quite fascinating. thanks for your work, dr. q!

CmdrLaForge
Jul 6, 2004, 03:02 PM
You can click here (http://forums.macrumors.com/memberlist.php?&order=DESC&sort=posts&pp=100) to view the Top 100 posters at any given time.


Thanks again Doctor Q. I always like your stats !!! Really interesting.

CmdrLaForge
Jul 6, 2004, 03:13 PM
But wouldn't you miss them if you didn't see their names? I almost left the banned members for the same reason: the surprise to see them still in the Top 50 after they stop posting, even though you know they will be dropping off the lists if you wait long enough. And you never know if a member who rarely or never posts might resurface!

Good that you didn't left out the banned members. I am still missing some of them, still wondering why one or the other got banned.

Cheers

teabgs
Jul 28, 2004, 03:13 PM
Just remembered about this today and had to search for it :p

Doctor Q: Why don't you just goto a movie or something? ;) ;)

This is interesting, but where are the graphs? Slacker! we now have the data to produce some CURVES right? I doubt I'll stay in the top 50 like predicted in the long term stats. I slowed down during senior year of college, and I doubt that I'll ever post that much again. Even when unemployed (like now) I'll be working on my own projects and whatnot. I don't ever even look in most of the forums anymore and just have time for the front page. But who knows :p

Glad you did this again Dr.Q. i look forward to getting to the next one a month or two late. :cool:

Doctor Q
Jul 28, 2004, 04:27 PM
Doctor Q: Why don't you just goto a movie or something?I tried that.

I'm not sure what type of graph would tell us anything useful or interesting. Ideas?

teabgs
Jul 28, 2004, 04:42 PM
I tried that.

:eek: :eek: :eek: WOW dude.


I'm not sure what type of graph would tell us anything useful or interesting. Ideas?

What about posting rate? so we can see whose posting has speed up/slowed down over however long you keep this up until you get tired of it.

Doctor Q
Jul 28, 2004, 05:42 PM
That just might be fun, teabgs. Maybe I'll play with the numbers again between the end of summer school and the start of the fall semester (a few weeks from now) and see what I can come up with. On the other hand, I'm using AppleWorks and it isn't stellar at charting.

aswitcher
Jul 28, 2004, 06:02 PM
Whoa, if I keep posting as I am I am going to make the top 50 :)
Not sure how my month away at the end of the year to Paris and the UK will impact on my rating if I can't get to reliable hotspots

Doctor Q
Sep 23, 2004, 02:02 AM
I'm gonna go waaaaaaaaaay out on a limb and predict that wdlove will make his 10,000th post today, just as Rower_CPU did recently.

We will then have four members in the 5-digit-post-number range!

edesignuk
Sep 23, 2004, 02:12 AM
I'm gonna go waaaaaaaaaay out on a limb and predict that wdlove will make his 10,000th post today, just as Rower_CPU did recently.

We will then have four members in the 5-digit-post-number range!
woah! I am member number 4465, and I am just approaching 6,000 posts. wdlove is member number 12485, and he is already about to hit 10,000 :eek:

http://upload.edesignuk.net/uploaded_data/smilies/spam.gif

;) :D

CmdrLaForge
Sep 23, 2004, 03:32 AM
Hi Doctor Q,

I am wondering if you could provide more statistics about the members. Like who is the oldest member and who is the youngest member. In terms of registration and real age. I know that could be faked, but still it would be interesting to see how old the members are in average and what the standard deviation is.

That could be interesting about the postings as well, how many posts has the average poster, whats the standard deviation and so on.

If you man have the numbers in a spreadsheet it should be a piece of cake.

Cheers
LaForge

virividox
Sep 23, 2004, 04:51 AM
i cant imagine getting to 3000

but then i didnt imagine getting to 500 when i first started

JFreak
Sep 23, 2004, 05:13 AM
i cant imagine getting to 3000
but then i didnt imagine getting to 500 when i first started

i know the feeling :D :D :D

mischief
Sep 23, 2004, 11:02 AM
I initially wondered at why I was so low in the 50.... then I saw that you've pulled out the Political posts. Now I wonder that I'm on it at all.... :p

wdlove
Sep 23, 2004, 02:03 PM
I'm gonna go waaaaaaaaaay out on a limb and predict that wdlove will make his 10,000th post today, just as Rower_CPU did recently.

We will then have four members in the 5-digit-post-number range!

I pulled you back off the limb Doctor Q. Thank you for the notice.

Actually there are just 4 members in the 5 digit post number range Mr. Anderson, eyelikeart, Rower_CPU, & wdlove. :D

Abstract
Sep 23, 2004, 05:18 PM
39 Beej.......... 2,226 .0.02 34 .-5
Abstract
40 bennetsaysargh 2,172 .2.70 52 +12
Flowbee
41 sparkleytone...2,160 .0.28 36 .-5
MacsRgr8


Sorry, but does this mean I'm 39th? 40th? Am I tied for 39th with Beej? :confused:

Anyway, nice list. Must have taken a great deal of time. :)

Doctor Q
Sep 23, 2004, 05:49 PM
Sorry, but does this mean I'm 39th? 40th? Am I tied for 39th with Beej? :confused:
Abstract: I think you need a wider browser window. The rows you are seeing are wrapping.

You were looking at the 39th place information for three different members. At the time of my first post in this thread...

* Beej was ranked 39th, with 2,226 posts, a rate of 0.02 posts/day, and having moved down 5 (from 34th place) in the rankings since 6 months before. You were not in the Top 50.

* mischief was projected to be the 39th ranked member in 6 months, with 2,742 projected posts. You were not projected to be in the Top 50 in 6 months.

* You were projected to be in 39th place at the end of time, meaning you'd keep approaching that rank as time progressed indefinitely. You would be after Mudbug (38th place at the end of time) and ahead of Flowbee (40th place at the end of time).

Of course, things have changed since that time. The numbers only represent the computations in July.

wdlove
Jan 3, 2005, 04:24 PM
I'm looking forward to your January update Doctor Q. Imagine that you are probably already busy at work crunching the new numbers. MacRumors is very fortunate to have some so gifted.

Doctor Q
Jan 3, 2005, 06:08 PM
I'm looking forward to your January update Doctor Q. Imagine that you are probably already busy at work crunching the new numbers. MacRumors is very fortunate to have some so gifted.How did you know I got gifts this year? ;)

Thanks. You must have noticed my habit of crunching numbers on January 3rd and July 3rd! I too am curious which members have joined the top posters list and which have dropped off.