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mentaluproar

macrumors 68000
May 25, 2010
1,762
209
Ohio, USA
I don't know how widely this will ever be used. Firewire was originally intended for high speed data transmission, and USB for standard one-connector-for-most-things. We all know how that went. USB got faster and cheaper, and eve though firewire 800 was faster, USB 2 was the go-to connector.

Unless thunderbolt turns into a one-cable-to-rule-them all (and aside from power it looks like it will get there) it's not going to take off the way USB did. It needs to be cheaper and easier to use. Thunderbolt only has one of those points covered.
 

SDAVE

macrumors 68040
Jun 16, 2007
3,574
601
Nowhere
I don't know how widely this will ever be used. Firewire was originally intended for high speed data transmission, and USB for standard one-connector-for-most-things. We all know how that went. USB got faster and cheaper, and eve though firewire 800 was faster, USB 2 was the go-to connector.

Unless thunderbolt turns into a one-cable-to-rule-them all (and aside from power it looks like it will get there) it's not going to take off the way USB did. It needs to be cheaper and easier to use. Thunderbolt only has one of those points covered.

Firewire was popular because of digital video (DV) devices like camcorders...This is the reason FW800 never took off, even though it's faster than USB 2.0. Nowadays digital video camcorders either record to SD cards or internal hard drives and the data is copied to the computer via USB2.0.

FW800 is dying, unfortunately. I'm glad some of my external FW800 also have a USB3.0 port :D
 

AidenShaw

macrumors P6
Feb 8, 2003
18,667
4,676
The Peninsula
The new Intel chip has embedded support for Thunderbolt, so Windows computers will be able to have these ports without spending so much on Thunderbolt.

The Ivy Bridge chipsets do not support T-Bolt - but they do support USB 3.0. Discrete T-Bolt controllers are still needed.


On a somewhat unrelated note, I guess this would mean the death (or at least non-use) of Firewire 1600/3200? I remember seeing rumors of them in development, but it seems pointless what with USB3/TB.

Wouldn't 1394 at 1600/3200 have to have been born in order to die?

It was a vapor spec that never materialized, and now never will.
 

3282868

macrumors 603
Jan 8, 2009
5,281
0
I know this is a silly point of contention, but I dislike the name "Thunderbolt". "Light Peak" seemed perfect, especially marketing; following "FireWire", "LightPeak" or "LP" devices.

Thank God Jobs never got his wish in naming the "iPhone" the "Magic Phone".
 

MagnusVonMagnum

macrumors 603
Jun 18, 2007
5,193
1,442
Actually, given how strong Thunderbolt seems to be, I think it could easily be an industry standard if they could drop the price.
Picture this: in the year 2015, the ONLY ports on most computers are USB 3.0 and Thunderbolt. You no longer have a need for VGA, DVI, HDMI, FireWire, or even Ethernet. All of those could be run through Thunderbolt and suddenly it's much easier to connect devices to computers. Yes, it would certainly take a long time to adopt the technology like that, but it sounds like a convenient world once fully adopted, doesn't it?

Thunderbolt like FW is daisy-chained. All I can say is that daisy-chaining sucks big time for removable devices, especially if the "monitor" must be the last device on the chain. Want to unplug that hard drive? Time to play musical chairs with all your peripherals! People don't realize how MUCH it sucks until they're actually in a situation where they have to do it regularly. And just TRY to find a reasonably priced multi-port hub for Thunderbolt. Try to find a reasonable priced ANYTHING for Thunderbolt. The whole system is a major FAIL since inception for these very reasons and the sad thing is that it was SO EASY to see its failings from Day 1 because it's Firewire all over again. It was plain to see USB3 would be dirt cheap and used by default given its backward compatible nature with USB 2 and 1. In short, you'll NEED USB3 regardless so of course it'll get used. It's there. It's cheap. It's everywhere. The only way to dethrone an entrenched format like that is to be not only massively better (TB is 2x faster, but that's neither hear nor there when it's a BUS format and video sucks up that bandwidth very quickly), but it also has to be both more convenient (daisy-chaining kills that) and cheaper (NOTHING and I mean NOTHING is cheap about TB; you're paying $200+ premiums for the same hard drive just to use a TB connector (and then pay $50 for a cable on top of that, so that 3TB drive then costs you $350-450 that costs $100-150 for USB3 and the same speeds since the hard drive is the limiting factor). Good luck finding one at a brick and mortar store for that matter.

People keep making a big deal about this idea of using "less" connectors in the future, but it's not really true except for a docking connector. All those devices STILL have to be connected to the machine somehow (i.e. unless your hard drives are built into your monitor, you'll need a separate cable for them and for Network and everything else; the only connection that needs just one cable is the dock connector and there I'd agree it would take a few seconds less to dock your notebook than with 4 cables, but is it really worth that much more money to save a few seconds? The current all-in-one hubs cost a fortune and Apple's own built-in hub to their monitor is already outdated since it's only USB2 (and for no good reason either since USB3 was available when it came out and the cost would have been negligible but that would have meant OSX would have had to support it while Jobs was still alive and that wasn't going to happen. Steve was intelligent and creative on a lot of levels, but practicality wasn't always one of them.
 

repoman27

macrumors 6502
May 13, 2011
485
167
There are no optical T-Bolt cables at any speed. You are quoting roadmap and theoretical numbers. And "multi-path" is questionable - a T-Bolt chain is single-path.

Fail.

Are you talking about T-Bolt 2.0 or T-Bolt 3.0?

T-Bolt 1.0 does not support optical cables - but there are certain vaporware noises about connectors with Cu-Optical transceivers in the cable for longer cable runs at copper speeds - but each end is a copper connection.

This is a liability, not an asset. Daisy chains are pure suck - since you often have to shut the system down to remove or insert a device in the middle

As usual, you're wrong about everything, and have the audacity to proclaim "fail" about the statements of others.

Sumitomo makes optical Thunderbolt cables. They've been available for a while now. Sumitomo also manufactures several of the other Thunderbolt cables that have recently come to market (Elgato, Belkin), but they don't sell direct in the US. Yes the optical transceiver is housed in the cable connector, right where it should be for a consumer device. It keeps the price of everything lower for those that don't need the range of optical, it keeps a potentially dangerous laser device out of harm's way, and doesn't require any expensive, easily damaged or contaminated lenses in the connector.

The speed of Thunderbolt is entirely determined by the controller. Thus far all controllers on the market are 10 Gbps, full-duplex, per channel. All cables are dual channel, and thus multi-path.

The copper implementation of Thunderbolt is actually twice the bandwidth of the optical versions that were demoed as Light Peak. Those only offered a single 10 Gbps channel, rather than the two that are standard with Thunderbolt. Short of silicon photonics, there is always an electrical/optical boundary, and your semantical arguments about the significance of where this boundary lies are pointless. For now, economics and practicality will determine where they are.

Also, the requirement of Thunderbolt devices to be hot-pluggable means that daisy chaining isn't much of a liability, unless you are silly enough to boot off of a device that isn't at or near the beginning of the chain. But then again, you're welcome to voice your opinion that daisy chains suck. At least that isn't patently false, like most of the other troll-bait claims you make.
 

Lancer

macrumors 68020
Jul 22, 2002
2,217
147
Australia
Now all we need is some less expensive stuff to plug it in to...

1+

Why would the average Mac or PC user now looking at USB3 want to pay more for TB for storage?

OT - plugging a USB2 HDD into a USB3 computer will it be faster? I'm not talking about USB3 speed but will there be less of a bottleneck with the faster connecting if you have a number of HDDs running off the same bus or hub?
 

kiljoy616

macrumors 68000
Apr 17, 2008
1,795
0
USA
Nope. Still a dinosaur.

Hands up how many of you own a Thunderbolt peripheral >2 years since launch?

Hand up how many of you own Ferrari after all they only been out 2 plus years. :rolleyes:

----------

As usual, you're wrong about everything, and have the audacity to proclaim "fail" about the statements of others.

Sumitomo makes optical Thunderbolt cables.

So well written and yet no one has given you a thumb up. :Dd
 

bigwig

macrumors 6502a
Sep 15, 2005
679
0
PC manufacters have been very slow to adopt, however perhaps it will gain traction. Although it's superior I can see it taking FireWires place as 2nd to USB3.
Certainly, seeing as FireWire is on its deathbed. Big electronics retailers like Best Buy and Fry's have for the most part ceased stocking FW external drives in their stores, and only feature USB3 drives.

As for TB, every delay and grossly-overpriced product on the TB side just further entrenches USB3. I predict TB won't get close to FW in market penetration.
 

yg17

macrumors Pentium
Aug 1, 2004
15,027
3,002
St. Louis, MO
I've never seen a TB cable in the flesh, but in the pictures the connectors look huge. That strikes me as a potential problem - the further the hard section of the connector extends from the device the more easily knocked it is (and possibly damaged), the more that movement of the cable will result in movement of connected devices, and the bigger the gap you have to leave around devices. This, I imagine, will only get worse when the fibre is added. Anything that makes the connector smaller, therefore, must be a bonus, I'd have thought.


The pictures are very deceiving. Here's a pic of mine for scale, next to a USB connector, MagSafe 2 connector, headphone, and what for some reason is an unnecessarily large MDP->DVI cable. It's maybe about a centimeter longer than the USB connector, but not long enough to be a problem I don't think.

7ZbMD.jpg
 

btbeme

macrumors 6502
Jul 29, 2010
289
749
This isn't news. Simply stated, the prices HAVE to come down, because the could not be any friggin expensive to begin with.
 

MH01

Suspended
Feb 11, 2008
12,107
9,297
I did chuckle when the heading said "likely" to drop by 2013 :)
 

mrbyu

macrumors 6502
Jul 5, 2011
324
62
I have a 2011 MBA 13" and actually the only thing which I really envy from the new Airs is the USB 3.0... I really don't think we're gonna see considerably cheap Thunderbolt devices in the near future (1-2 years)... :(

USB 3.0 is "only" 5 Gbit/s but it's s till way faster than Firewire, it's a whole another category.
 

Josephiah

macrumors newbie
Mar 9, 2009
8
0
I miss the days when a cable was literally a piece of wire, and cost the same as a piece of wire. I'll switch to Thunderbolt if and when the price of a cable will be the same as the price of a USB cable. Until then, I have no problems with USB whatsoever.

Is there a good reason for all those ICs to be built into the cable?* Surely it would have been more sensible to put all the processing hardware into the computer/peripheral at the socket, leaving the cable as just that - a cable.

(*unless, the conspiracy theorist might add, you're trying to make your laptop ultra-thin and create a nice money-making scheme into the bargain...)

Its not stupid telecoms have been using active cables for years, in order for thunderbolt to achieve the 10mb speed it needs those controllers to tune the cable to get the 10 mb through put and also to multiplex the data and video streams on the fly into one stream through the cable.

Apologies if I've missed something obvious, but I still don't see the (technical) reason why all that tuning/multiplexing hardware should be built into the cable, rather than into the ports at either end...?
 

KnightWRX

macrumors Pentium
Jan 28, 2009
15,046
4
Quebec, Canada
Apple's biggest marketing blunder with Thunderbolt : making everyone think it was aimed at replacing USB. Whether intentional or not on their part, that is now what most in the Apple community think.

Thunderbolt is not a USB replacement. Never will be. It'll be a niche host based connectivity option for higher end machines and peripherals, mostly used in the prosumer world.

Enterprise is going network based connectivity (FC or IP SANs for storage, network based peripherals over GBE or 10GE), consumers are sticking with lower mass market priced peripherals (USB3).
 

BiggAW

macrumors 68030
Jun 19, 2010
2,563
176
Connecticut
The pictures are very deceiving. Here's a pic of mine for scale, next to a USB connector, MagSafe 2 connector, headphone, and what for some reason is an unnecessarily large MDP->DVI cable. It's maybe about a centimeter longer than the USB connector, but not long enough to be a problem I don't think.

7ZbMD.jpg

What on earth is that Monoprice cable? Is that the adapter in a new Retina Pro? I have Monoprice adapters, and none are as hideously large as that thing...
 

yg17

macrumors Pentium
Aug 1, 2004
15,027
3,002
St. Louis, MO
What on earth is that Monoprice cable? Is that the adapter in a new Retina Pro? I have Monoprice adapters, and none are as hideously large as that thing...

Yeah, it's a Monoprice Mini DisplayPort to DVI cable. I have no idea why it's so freakin' huge either. And yes, it's a retina MBP.
 

AidenShaw

macrumors P6
Feb 8, 2003
18,667
4,676
The Peninsula
As usual, you're wrong about everything, and have the audacity to proclaim "fail" about the statements of others.

Sumitomo makes optical Thunderbolt cables.

Thank you for the polite reply.

Any "optical" T-Bolt cable today is a hybrid Cu-optical cable - it has copper connectors, with the copper protocols (and speeds) bridged across an optical segment.

True optical does not exist.
 

Fortimir

macrumors 6502a
Sep 5, 2007
669
435
Indianapolis, IN
Yeah, it's a Monoprice Mini DisplayPort to DVI cable. I have no idea why it's so freakin' huge either. And yes, it's a retina MBP.

Haha... I have one of them Monoprice big boys, but fortunately it connects a second display to my iMac, so it stays hidden from view.
 

dysamoria

macrumors 68020
Dec 8, 2011
2,243
1,866
Actually, given how strong Thunderbolt seems to be, I think it could easily be an industry standard if they could drop the price.
Picture this: in the year 2015, the ONLY ports on most computers are USB 3.0 and Thunderbolt. You no longer have a need for VGA, DVI, HDMI, FireWire, or even Ethernet. All of those could be run through Thunderbolt and suddenly it's much easier to connect devices to computers. Yes, it would certainly take a long time to adopt the technology like that, but it sounds like a convenient world once fully adopted, doesn't it?

I remember when USB was announced and described nearly exactly the same way... One of these days I'd like to see the hype fulfilled on some magical new technology.
 

WestonHarvey1

macrumors 68030
Jan 9, 2007
2,773
2,191
So, the optical signal (the light pulses) won't be coming from the computer, but rather generated by the cable? So there will not only be 2 freaking microcomputers in each cable (one at each end), but also a whole light generating/receiving thingy?

Wouldn't it be easier to just put an LED in the computer (cheap as hell) that simply blinks the 1s and the 0s and a transparent cable relays them? I mean, I'm not an engineer, but this is how optical audio works today, it costs nothing and it's a working way to relay lots of information. Why can't Thunderbolt do this?

When optical TB becomes more prevalent, they'll probably move the hardware back into the port controller. Then there will be cheaper cables, but it will establish a fragmented legacy cable market. Perhaps we might also see a transducer dongle adapter.

All this putting chips in cables does sound perverse, but we live in an age where things have become so small and so cheap there's really no reason not to put intelligence inside the most mundane things.
 

Eidorian

macrumors Penryn
Mar 23, 2005
29,190
386
Indianapolis
I remember when USB was announced and described nearly exactly the same way... One of these days I'd like to see the hype fulfilled on some magical new technology.
Hot-swapping without a restart and a whopping 12 Mbit/s in the age of floppies and serial cables. I had few serial mice... You really needed USB 2.0 once flash drives over 256 MB rolled out.

Get back to me when I can get a Thunderbolt cable in a cereal box. Which you might be able to do with a USB cable, today.
 
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