I don't do predictions myself, but if only to test the reality of your comment I will note that $14.22 EPS would represent a 21% increase year-over-year. So where does this fall in the spectrum of Apple's earnings growth rates over the last few years? I don't have the numbers at my fingertips but I think at the lower end surely. Put it this way, how much stock value increase would be supported by a 21% EPS growth? In short, you are predicting that AAPL will run up at about twice the rate of EPS (and PE will jump up). Just so we know. What we don't know is why you think so.
As for the analysts, we don't know what will "disappoint" them because we have yet to see any forecasts. They will be coming in the next couple of weeks and they will be based on projected sales and margins. They will be guesses, but be based on far less "out of the air" numbers than you have ventured.
My predictions are just taken out of thin air just to be clear. Apple beat their EPS guidance by 7 and 14% the last two quarters, and by almost 40% for 12Q1. I think they they sold a ton of products hence the revenue increase, while profit margins suffered due to higher cost of introducing so many new products.
Analysts makes far more educated guesses, but at the end of the day it´s just exactly that guesses.
I would point out though, that on a personal level I don´t think there is a genuine correlation between the share price drop, and Apples current moment. There is nothing that would indicate for me that Apple has lost its way, that their products suck more now than a year ago, or that customers have stopped buying Apple products. For me Apple seem as strong as ever, and that they are just getting started. Bring on the competition.