McDonald's has higher share of visitors than Bottom line. Samsung is Britney and McDonald's, Apple is Callas and El Bulli.
When people will stop making those absurd analogies?
McDonald's has higher share of visitors than Bottom line. Samsung is Britney and McDonald's, Apple is Callas and El Bulli.
No but the fact you are saying "Samsung will probably have 30% marketshare" is what I was referring to. Comparing the tablet marketplace to the smartphone marketplace is probably the biggest mistake you can make. You have entirely different subsets of consumers buying each device and a much wider range of pricing.
Also, I still hold that the Nexus 10 had a big part in Samsung's tablet success this year - do we know if they will be tapped for another Nexus tablet? No. What if the N10 was an Asus machine?
My point is, even at its simplest, you can't use year-over-year numbers to predict future success. Samsung was able to gain the dominant smartphone marketshare, in large part to their throwing everything at the wall to see what stuck. While they have since refined their strategy, they didn't start that way in tablets - nor could they have.
I'm not saying Samsung won't grow - but no tablet has shown any signs of truly competing with the iPad (with the Nexus 10/7 being the top on the android side imo) - and with the Surface Pro being released and other companies like Acer, Amazon and Asus continuing to refine their tablet strategies - the race for 2nd in the tablet market is a lot more crowded than in smartphones.
Percentage growth is incredibly deceiving - Apple sold roughly 7 million MORE tablets than they did last year, compared to Samsung's growth of roughly 5 million units.
I could take a $1 company and grow it to $10 and have 1000% growth year over year. Meanwhile, Billy Bob has a $1 billion company he takes to $2 billion and his growth is only 100%......yet he made a crap ton more than I did....
There was a time when no other smart phones were competing with the iPhone.
Android is maturing while iOS is stuck.
One rather important thing for a tablet OS, when will iOS get multiple user accounts? A tablet isn't personal like the smart phone.
----------
You should really talk about deceiving...
The difference in growth between Apple and Samsung is 1.7 million, which in no way is close to your example of $1->$10 and $1 billion->$2 billion.
Also, between 2011Q3 and 2012Q3, Samsung's growth in tablets was 1 million more than Apple's growth.
One rather important thing for a tablet OS, when will iOS get multiple user accounts? A tablet isn't personal like the smart phone.
Um...the real factual information is that El Bulli's (Apple) is not only taking in the biggest profits, it's also selling more then McDonalds (Samsung)
This is a matter of opinion in most cases. I don't stare at my home screen - for me, the apps are where the content lies and that's (one of the reasons) why I still prefer iOS to Android - especially on a tablet.
Proves my point - you can't take the data you are taking and predict that Samsung's marketshare will increase to 30% by Q4 2013. Especially when Samsung's marketshare DECRESED Q3 - Q4 2012.....
Like I said - no way these numbers prove anything really.
Apple going below 50% market share needs to be a serious concern.
Tablets are now a commodity, not a luxury, and prices need to be adjust to reflect that reality.
Even though even Android uses lament at the low quality build of the Nexus and Fires, they are incredibly popular. To many, it is "good enough" for them.
Drop the price enough to increase demand, enough to maintain a 51% market share. Simple enough.
Really? Try touching my mini without my permission and see how long it takes for you to recant that statement. ;-)
On a serious note, I wonder if Apple thinks that allowing multiple user accounts in iOS might translate into fewer tablet sales, because they want us to believe the tablet is just as personal an item as our phones are. What do you think?
I get sick of hearing about how Apple is always losing market share to Android. It's like hearing how Porsche is getting beaten to death by Toyota, Mitsubishi and Nissan. Apple's iPads are the only devices using iOS while Android tablets are made by easily dozens of companies of all sizes at every price point imaginable.
Samsung had a 260% increase in sales? Impressive.
I need to find this magical warehouse where non-Apple tablets/phones go to, they must be super stocked!
I saw Samsung tablets sitting on Costco shelves.
So what is the result of Android having all that market share?
It's increase is 260% in SHIPMENTS - not sales. So they made a lot more last quarter than the period before. Shipment is NOT = Sales. The more crap you make doesn't make it any less crappier...
"Its the ecosystem, stupid."
Not that this is a good analogy but it reminds me of Dell in the late 80s and early 90s. Really nice boxes and they commanded a price premium and did it not matter. With commoditization of the PC industry, we know how that turned out...
Can you explain how a company can increase quarter after quarter its shipments and not sell them? Is there a warehouse filled with smartphones, tablets, etc?
And exactly what is crap?
Hmmmm.... so since Android has 5 TIMES the smartphone market share of the iPhone.... developers must prefer Android, right?
Not that I've seen.
Ah... so maybe accessory makers are now throwing themselves at Android's 75% market share.
I haven't seen that either... far from it actually.
Ok... well then the Google Play Music Store must the be largest retailer of online music. With Android phones having such a HUGE share of the market... they must be buying more music.
Nope.
Well crap. How about movies? There are zillions of Android devices out there. They gotta be renting more movies.
Not even close. iTunes has 45% of the online rental market... with Amazon a distant 18%... (Google isn't even listed)
What was that about Android's ecosystem? And how their HUGE market share is somehow a benefit?
Everyone, including the android users who swear by it, know that market share means nothing. It's just a talking point for them.
Great post!
IDC exaggerating Samsung's performance again in their estimates.
I went to Disneyland for New Years and people were standing in line for rides playing with iPads.
I never see a Galaxy Tab. In fact, the last time I saw a Galaxy Tab that was not on a store shelf or being offered as a free promotion with a Samsung TV was over a year ago.
There is no way Galaxy Tab is out-selling the Nexus 7 or Amazon Kindle Fire. These estimates for Samsung are insanely high.