I think he is missing the boat on this one. Except on the Gold Model... and possibly on the availability of bands to purchase separately.
The WSJ has said Apple is speculated to produce 5-6 million of these devices for launch. 5-6 MILLION.
Think about it. Apple typically builds not enough devices for launch.... to create demand. So they are expecting to sell out of 5-6 million at launch.. and then sell millions more of the rest of the year.
People are not going to be being 5-6+ million of these things at the prices Gruber is quoting. This isn't a utility device that people use all day long like an iPhone... people are not going to be able to justify it for a watch... especially in a world where most iPhone users are wearing Fossil price range watches. The market isn't there.
I think it will be $350 to $700 for the Sport and Stainless models.. all band types. Maybe $1000 max for the best stainless with the best band... but even that sounds crazy to me. Who knows, or cares for that matter, what the Gold Models will be.
Look at how Apple Marketed it at the announcement and on their website. Average people wearing these things... It can't be at the price points gruber is talking about. Apple is not stupid enough to think a bunch of people are going to buy the base model with a rubber wrist band and wear it to an office and think it is "ok" for business wear of most of the middle class.
He missed this boat on price.
The thing is that if you buy a $10K designer watch in 10 years it will have deprecated very little and may have even gained in value.
A $10K piece of technology in 10 years is generally worth very little.
So don't know what merging of the two will bring.
I am going to buy the Watch with the cheapest strap option, and then I will buy a nicer strap from a third party manufacturer once there are some good offers.
I want a leather strap, but after the disaster with the iPhone 6 Plus case made from "high-quality leather" that didn't even last for six weeks of normal use, I am not going to buy another leather product from Apple.
The Apple Watch Edition isn't for people who think like you. It's for big spenders who want a smart watch that is also a luxury watch, that says "I'm better than you." It doesn't sound nice, but it's the mentality of people who are willing to drop $10k on a time piece.
There is already an after market that takes iPhones and swaps out the covers for high end materials: gold, platinum, etc. If the Watch Edition does well, I could see future iPhones being offered with luxury options.
And look at the auto market. Lamborghini doesn't sell a lot of cars each year. But they make a killing on the ones they do. Most Apple Watch sales will be around the $350 price point, but the Watch Edition will have a killer profit margin.
Only somebody with more money than sense would pay $20k for an Apple Watch, the market size would be tiny. Apple would be rightly ridiculed.
'But top level watches cost that much' I hear you cry. The big difference is that a $20k watch from a reputable brand lasts 50 years. The Apple Watch has an effective life span of one year until the next model comes out.
If i do end up buying a watch from Apple it'll be because they've broke the mould and done something different. It would be a shame if they designed a groundbreaking watch and then applied the same old tired sales logic found in the current watch industry. I doubt they will do this.
$10,000 is a bargain if you don't think about it.
Short version: I know nothing, so I'll just randomly guess with no real logic behind it.
Remember back when people were SWEARING up and down that the iPad would be $1200 to start? They ended up looking like total fools.
Will apple come up with solid gold link strap and make a decent profit? I hope they sell a lot of top end watches to subsidize Macs![]()
For anything even close to $7,000.... I'd buy a Rolex. There is no way I'd ever pay thousands of dollars for a smart watch.
Only somebody with more money than sense would pay $20k for an Apple Watch, the market size would be tiny. Apple would be rightly ridiculed.
'But top level watches cost that much' I hear you cry. The big difference is that a $20k watch from a reputable brand lasts 50 years. The Apple Watch has an effective life span of one year until the next model comes out.