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Smartass

macrumors 65816
Dec 18, 2012
1,450
1,701
From this discussion it seems you don't know the difference between an invention and innovation. An invention is the lightbulb or the first transistor. An innovation is the use of fingerprint sensors in the home button of a cellphone or the retina screen in a laptop. Also the Fusion drive is an innovation by R&D definitions.

So, Apple has introduced many innovations over the years (as did other companies), and they probably made a few small inventions too, but we would only get to know these once they are ready to be patented and implemented into a product.

yeah i undeliberately mixed innovation and invention, my bad.
Yes, they made ipad mini, thinner iphone and macbook with retina display. But can this be really considered as an "innovation"? it's more an evolution of a product than an innovation.
 

Rocketman

macrumors 603
I think a major source of cost increases for Apple is Chinese labor rates which have been increasing at over 15% a year relative to the Dollar. Apple has partner factories in that jurisdiction for displays, boards, assembly, and other logistics and materials layers. As I understand it Apple is responsible for employment of almost one million people, at least a big part of their year of work. This trend is continuing and at some point Apple will have incentive to do manufacturing at home again.

Rocketman
 

Chupa Chupa

macrumors G5
Jul 16, 2002
14,835
7,396
And yet Steve Jobs felt Cook was the right man to replace him.

He did. Edsel Ford thought the Edsel was a good idea too. Smart people aren't 100% 100% of the time. Jobs made missteps, but he was genius at correcting them. Cook, not so much from what we've seen with his hiring choices, product release strategies, and, of course, prematurely ditching Google Maps for Apple Maps.


I'm sure if your God jobs was still here apple would taking in a trillion in revenue

That's a silly non-sequitur. First I only have one Gd, and he is not on this earth. Jobs was human. A brilliant one, but still human.

Obviously it's impossible to know what shape Apple would be in if Jobs were still alive. But Jobs did have a stellar record in his 2nd stint at Apple. Cook OTOH has been embroiled in goof up after goof up. So I think it's entirely fair to be critical of Cook based solely on his CEO performance to date.
 

69650

Suspended
Mar 23, 2006
3,367
1,876
England
Jeff Williams is SVP of Operations. Is he performing the COO function? I agree they need to do something with the cash their hoarding. What are they saving this $137B for?

I agree. They should be using that cash to expand into new products/markets so they are not so reliant on the iPhone. For example they seem to have all but abandoned any serious software development and any acquisitions have been very minor. I don't understand why. Software has always been a high margin business.

Where is the product diversification? Innovative new products like an iWatch or wearable devices. It's like they have simply run out out of ideas so they make a slightly smaller/bigger version of their existing products. As far as I can remember the iPad was the last new invention back in 2010. Even iOS has changed little since it was launched in 2007.

I'd love an Apple Television but that simply isn't going to contribute a whole lot to their bottom line. They would have to sell it at a high price if it's going to be the best TV on the planet which means a limited potential target market.

The iPhone doesn't have the allure it once did. Most of my friends who have one complain endlessly about it's battery life, call quality, etc. The other phone manufacturers are now churning out better phones at lower prices. If the iPhone sales ever start to slide then heaven help Apple stock.
 

xofruitcake

macrumors 6502a
Mar 15, 2012
632
9
Your comparison is foolish because Apple's rise to power in the late 1990's/2000's had far more to do than increasing market share. Everyone knows that its rise was due to truly innovative products (iPod, iPhone, iPad) that competing firms couldn't replicate.

Right now, Apple is in a lull. They are offering extensions of current products that competitors are very able to not only replicate, but surpass (say what you want about iOS vs. Android, but on sheer hardware alone, the Galaxy S III is a better phone than the iPhone 5). There is nothing particularly special about Apple's product offerings; their only new products since the iPad have been new versions of the same stuff they've had available for many years.

The market has caught up to Apple, and Apple cannot differentiate itself enough, so it competes with the market on somebody else's terms (the different iPads, the likely different iPhones....).

Innovation and increasing market share are not mutually exclusive. There are plenty of companies which are not innovative but do well with big market share and low manufacturing cost. However if Apple does not have any innovative product coming and keep see lower and lower market share, it is a sure fire way to go out of business in a few years. Why shouldn't Apple try to expand IOS market share here until they have another blockbusting product? Get your logic straight.
 

peterdevries

macrumors 68040
Feb 22, 2008
3,146
1,135
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Yes, they made ipad mini, thinner iphone and macbook with retina display. But can this be really considered as an "innovation"? it's more an evolution of a product than an innovation.

Retina MBP: Well, it is the use of an existing technology in a new way or form that isn't yet on the market/. I would call this an innovation. Especially since other manufacturers have or are now looking into introducing this technology too.

I wouldn't call thinner myself an innovation, but the technology needed to produce the iphone is (matching of components by camera). There are different types of innovation: process innovation, product innovation and a number of other ones.

For us consumers these can all play an important part. Product innovation changes our user experience, whiole process innovation can make the products cheaper.

It's all innovation. Whether we personally like the innovation part and can use it is another matter. People that don't care about retina don't consider it innovation, whereas designers probably would.

This is what these arguments are about. Opinions and lack of knowledge about what innovation really is.

----------

I think a major source of cost increases for Apple is Chinese labor rates which have been increasing at over 15% a year relative to the Dollar. Apple has partner factories in that jurisdiction for displays, boards, assembly, and other logistics and materials layers. As I understand it Apple is responsible for employment of almost one million people, at least a big part of their year of work. This trend is continuing and at some point Apple will have incentive to do manufacturing at home again.

Rocketman

Agree, but that will take a long time, because US wages are still too high and the US can't match the manufacturing accuracy necessary.

A more worthwhile strategy for Apple is to move their production into the more rural parts of China like car manufacturers have done or go to Vietnam or Thailand where wages are still low. The problem is that here there is not yet much tech manufacturing and capabilities are on a low level.
 

C42D

macrumors newbie
Aug 24, 2010
29
0
Doomsayers

Keep tripping freaks, the sky is not falling.

iPod - changed music forever . iPhone - changed phones forever. iPad - changed tablets forever.

iTV- you can figure out the rest.

When the iTV comes out that stock price is topping 1K. You read it here first. You have my word on it.
 

Popeye206

macrumors 68040
Sep 6, 2007
3,148
836
NE PA USA
Bummed that investors weren't more positive on the results. An amazing quarter.

Nothing to do but hold out and see what happens. Apple is an amazing company and I have faith there are great things coming.
 

69650

Suspended
Mar 23, 2006
3,367
1,876
England
Keep tripping freaks, the sky is not falling.

iPod - changed music forever . iPhone - changed phones forever. iPad - changed tablets forever.

iTV- you can figure out the rest.

When the iTV comes out that stock price is topping 1K. You read it here first. You have my word on it.

I hope nobody takes your advice and loses any money in the process. It's comments like this that pushed the price up to $700 and I bet a lot of people have lost a lot of money now that the share price has come back down to $450, except the bankers of course who've probably made a killing as usual.

The iTV is going to an expensive niche product with limited sales to die hard Apple fans like us - just like the MBP Retina.
 

Squilly

macrumors 68020
Nov 17, 2012
2,260
4
PA
Does this chart say anything? Not dying any time soon.

w4FKYaz.png
 

xofruitcake

macrumors 6502a
Mar 15, 2012
632
9
According to Cathy Rubin, LG France’s Mobile division director:

Robin denies LG is selling the Nexus 4 at a loss, but says there's an agreement in place with Google to sell it at a "very attractive price."

------------------

LG wouldn't make the Nexus 4 if it is not profitable for them.

Production rate for the Nexux 4:

October: 70,000
November: 90,000
December: 210,000
January is on pace to be well over 500,000

Source: users who poke the serial number using LG database
http://forum.xda-developers.com/showthread.php?t=2055351&page=33

LG is not selling Nexus 4 at a loss, Google is. I think the way the deal work is Google buy the handset from LG and Google is free to sell the handset at any price they want in Google play store. LG sell the same handset through their regular channel at the price that LG pick. Google only buy a small number of Nexus 4 from LG and hence the shortage. But LG keep selling them at their regular channel and hence we have a situation where Google play store is out of stock but the same handset is available elsewhere at a much higher price.

LG will make money on the handset they sold to Google. But I don't think LG are happy about the situation. Selling 500K hand set is a money losing proposition. The design cost, marketing cost, testing cost with carrier, regulatory cost to get the handset approved for sale in a particular country and corporate overhead etc. will erase any profit from the product .
 

pika2000

Suspended
Jun 22, 2007
5,587
4,902
Why do people keep saying Apple need to innovate? Are you saying that Apple don't? What does innovation mean? Shiny new product? Have people stopped for a while and think what's inside the iPhone 5 and how one could cram all of those components in there and yet create a lighter and more powerful phone than the previous one? Have anybody stopped and look at the retina screens? The retina Macbook Pros? Apple is innovating left and right and pushing other companies like intel, mobile chipsets, and display manufactures to innovate too, yet all people are clamoring for is an iWatch? :rolleyes:
 

oliversl

macrumors 65816
Jun 29, 2007
1,498
426
Wall Street analysts are a mafia when they speak about big companies, they are blackmailing Apple until Tim Cook start spending those 120+ Billion US$ Apple have in the bank account.

There should be a law against market speculators
 

C42D

macrumors newbie
Aug 24, 2010
29
0
I hope nobody takes your advice and loses any money in the process.

The TV is not another laptop with a hi res screen, EVERYONE OWNS ONE. And once you see how Apple is going to re-invent it, (use imagination, if possible) you will understand. Vision is the quality you lack, but Jobs didn't.

I'll see you in 18 months when the iTV comes out. Sell now then if you cant take the heat.
 

lazard

macrumors 68000
Jul 23, 2012
1,608
818
Does this chart say anything? Not dying any time soon.

Image

Jefferies & Co cut its rating on Apple's stock to "hold" from "buy" and slashed its share price target by $300 to $500. "We think Apple is losing the screen-size wars"

Deutsche Bank trimmed its price target to $575 from $800, and said Apple should start making a lower-priced iPhone to arrest the market share loss.

"We believe a lower ability to beat earnings per share expectations, and some concerns on demand, may weigh on the stock near-term," said Credit Suisse, which cut its target price by $150 to $600.


Apple is the lowest ranked stock among the marquee technology firms in the United States based on the change in analyst sentiment, or Analysts Revision Model (ARM), according to StarMine.

Apple's global ARM score of 10 is well below Google Inc's 34 and Microsoft Corp's 19 out of a possible 100. Nokia and Samsung have scores of 82 and 89, respectively.
 

Rocketman

macrumors 603
We have seen PE ratio compression since Obama was elected since his policy is increased taxes, debt, and spending. The environment a stock is priced within matters. A sort of typical PE ratio for running companies over time is around 15. Apple is around 7-10 right now. If there is a change (reduction) in the tax environment and the velocity of money (increase) in the private sector, it will increase company PE's generally independent of internal performances of those firms.

Interestingly AAPL as a stock yields more (2.1%) than a 10 year government bond (1.85%) right now. That's amazing. The bond is at the top of its principal price range and the stock is near the bottom of its price range. Inverted risk.

During the short time the market felt Romney might have been elected, PE ratio expansion started to happen in anticipation.

Two news events happened when AAPL topped in mid-late September 2012. The iPhone 5 was released and the polls started to be pretty clearly favoring Obama.

I hope I have not triggered anything by saying these facts.

Rocketman
 

rdowns

macrumors Penryn
Jul 11, 2003
27,397
12,521
Why do people keep saying Apple need to innovate? Are you saying that Apple don't? What does innovation mean? Shiny new product? Have people stopped for a while and think what's inside the iPhone 5 and how one could cram all of those components in there and yet create a lighter and more powerful phone than the previous one? Have anybody stopped and look at the retina screens? The retina Macbook Pros? Apple is innovating left and right and pushing other companies like intel, mobile chipsets, and display manufactures to innovate too, yet all people are clamoring for is an iWatch? :rolleyes:


iWatch. Lulz. A solution in search of a problem. Have we become so ****ing lazy that we need a device on our wrist to check the status of the device in our pocket? Until I have me some iGlasses to let me know if it's even worth the effort to look at my iWatch before I expend the calories to dig my phone out of my pocket.

And for those screaming for innovation and new products, do you really think any company can crank out new products every few years? For christ's sake, the iPad isn't even 3 years old yet.
 

KPOM

macrumors P6
Oct 23, 2010
18,031
7,872
Jeff Williams is SVP of Operations. Is he performing the COO function? I agree they need to do something with the cash their hoarding. What are they saving this $137B for?

He may be, but he hasn't officially been named COO and he isn't on the executive committee.

Anyway, what we may be seeing is design getting a little out of control. For all the silly talk on the Street that Jony Ive would be a better CEO than Tim Cook, it could be Jony Ive who is causing some of the supply issues by pushing the design envelope. Steve Jobs had a way of bullying engineering to pull off the seemingly impossible, but what people forget is that volumes were significantly lower than they are now. Would a Steve Jobs-led Apple have been capable of shipping 47.8 million iPhones last quarter, or would Jobs have made a last minute change that held production down even more?

People complain that the iPhone 5 and iMac aren't "different enough" from their predecessors, and that their predecessors were "thin enough." Nevertheless, these design changes did create engineering and manufacturing issues (Foxconn has said the current lineup is the most difficult they have ever manufactured for anyone).

----------

yeah i undeliberately mixed innovation and invention, my bad.
Yes, they made ipad mini, thinner iphone and macbook with retina display. But can this be really considered as an "innovation"? it's more an evolution of a product than an innovation.

By that token, is the Galaxy Note an "innovation," or just an evolution? Dell had the Streak a year earlier, but few people bought it.
 

lazard

macrumors 68000
Jul 23, 2012
1,608
818
Interestingly AAPL as a stock yields more (2.1%) than a 10 year government bond (1.85%) right now. That's amazing. The bond is at the top of its principal price range and the stock is near the bottom of its price range. Inverted risk.

Factor in that T-Bonds are exempt from state and local income taxes and the T-Bond comes out on top of Apple's paltry 2.1% yield.
 

Rogifan

macrumors Penryn
Nov 14, 2011
24,147
31,204
He did. Edsel Ford thought the Edsel was a good idea too. Smart people aren't 100% 100% of the time. Jobs made missteps, but he was genius at correcting them. Cook, not so much from what we've seen with his hiring choices, product release strategies, and, of course, prematurely ditching Google Maps for Apple Maps.
I know I'm a broken record with that comment but that's because I constantly see comments about how Steve would/wouldn't have done X, or how Y would/wouldn't be happening if Steve were around. Some of the same people that hate Cook lionize Steve.

For me the jury is still out on Tim. I think we need 2013 to see how the re-org plays out. Was Forstall holding iOS back? What kind of stuff is Mansfield's new team working on? What will Ive's impact be on software UI. We might not see all of this in 2013 but I think we'll get a feel for the direction the company is heading.
 

cmChimera

macrumors 601
Feb 12, 2010
4,273
3,762
Who is asking for lighter and thinner ?

How about a more innovative os ?
Mountain Lion improved many aspects of Lion, and also made it more stable. Personally I think the iCloud integration, Notification Center and Gatekeeper (I don't use it, but it's wonderful my mom's new mac) ARE innovative things. And they're aggressively updating Mac OS X now.

I agree. The issue here is that many people expect a completely new product or even product line each year and only call something like that "innovation". If people would know the proper definition of innovation than we wouldn't have all these arguments.
Exactly.
 

KPOM

macrumors P6
Oct 23, 2010
18,031
7,872
yeah i undeliberately mixed innovation and invention, my bad.
Yes, they made ipad mini, thinner iphone and macbook with retina display. But can this be really considered as an "innovation"? it's more an evolution of a product than an innovation.

By that token, is the Galaxy Note an "innovation," or just an evolution? Dell had the Streak a year earlier, but few people bought it.
 
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