I think that you are trying to shoehorn an argument that works (and I completely agree with) for a standard cable channel like ESPN into the argument for HBO. As a premium channel, it doesn't have the same issues that ESPN does.
It deals with a completely separate set of issues, like subsidized costs from the cable and satellite providers.
Why does HBO care if you subscribe through the cable company or someone else for their service as long as they are getting the same (or more) amount of money?
Because a customer using a streaming subscription plan only is substantially less valuable to them than a cable subscriber. A cable subscriber, indirectly and usually a small percentage of their cost, helps pay for the advertising and subsidized costs for HBO. Time Warner, Verizon, Comcast, AT&T....they cover a significant portion of HBO's overhead and advertising expenses, and that money comes from paying customers, whether they are subscribing to HBO or not. HBO, at this juncture, would be crazy to compete against that model.
Why does it matter how many there are? If there are 100 people that want to pay $16 for HBO GO on its own, that's just extra revenue. If they drop their cable HBO subscription, that's break even (or make slightly more depening on the cut that Apple, etc. takes.)
Very faulty logic. Doesn't not take into account the number of lost cable subscribers to streaming only subscribers. And as mentioned above, streaming subscribers are far less valuable resources than cable subscribers.
In addition, if you buy HBO a la carte, you're not buying HBO. You're buying HBO, HBO 2, HBO Signature, HBO Family, HBO Action, HBO Latino.....and that's not going to cost $15 per month. You're looking at $50+ per month.
It's the same with ESPN. You will not be able to buy ESPN a la carte. You'll have to buy ESPN, ESPN2, ESPNU, ESPNNEWS, ESPN Classic, and The Longhorn Network. They wouldn't cannibalize their non-signature offerings by offering solo channels, so they will be bundled together at a high price point. And those high price points will turn off prospective buyers.
Again, why is that bad for HBO. They potentially make more money from HBO GO direct subscribers! And they have more leverage to increase their cut from cable/sat providers.
Explained above.
Didn't seem to matter when HBO moved to satellite providers!
DirecTV and Dish still covered substantial operating costs for HBO that cable providers were also covering. Who covers those costs in a direct-to-customers model? Do you truly believe that this doesn't give cable/satellite providers leverage to decrease how much they spend promoting HBO?
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