There are Swiss watchmakers and Swiss watchmakers. You can't lump them all in one category. TAG Heuer is about "avant garde", it's in their name. They branded themselves as the innovative modern brand pushing new technologies. And they totally were for the entire 20th century, compared for instance with very traditional brands such as Longines or Vacheron Constantin.
But in the past 10 years they've been unable to keep up with new technologies. They tried to catch on the smartphone train and failed, now they're trying to hop into the smart watch wagon before it's too late, and my guess is they'll fail too. That plus the recent surge in Swiss currency, and prospects are getting very gloom for "mid luxury brands".
And I say that with a lot of sympathy, I own two TAG Heuer watches.
Low cost brands such as Swatch Hamilton Timex Seiko and Citizen will continue to do well.
Very high end brands as well, such as Patek, Audemars, Jaeger, IWC or more affordable brands that focus on more conservative and historic designs such as Longines and Omega will also continue doing well.
You love Longines HUH? They haven't been a driving force in watches for almost 50 years.
What I don't get is why you pimple faced nerds even care about anything of quality, you just want it cheap and techie. the Apple watch will not even put a dent into Rolex, Patek or even Breitling for that matter, not that any self respecting watch person would covet a Breitling any more.
Even so, a Rolex buyer may buy an Apple watch for fun, but when time comes to go out somewhere nice, they will be wearing the Rollie.
Actually, Seiko,Citizen, Casio and Timex and all of the junk sub $200 watches will be besieged by the ever eroding price spiral of low end tech smart watches. It will be a race to the bottom to see how much tech they will be able to pack into the cheapest piece of crap you guys will buy.
But, if you are right, maybe the price on a stainless steel Daytona will drop back under $9000. I hate paying full retail.