|Feb 10, 2013, 03:12 AM||#51|
Now, as for the chance of 32gb. Here is a cost breakdown over time:
ipad 2:512MB DRAM( $7.60)+ 16GB NAND Flash memory costs($16.80): $24.4
ipad 3: 1GB DRAM ($13.90) + 16GB NAND Flash memory costs ($16.80): $30.7
ipad mini: 512MB DRAM + 16GB NAND Flash memory: $ 15.50
Looking at that trend, we can pretty much assume the prices for memory chips have fallen drastically, an a few cues are available from the iphone 5.
16GB NAND Flash memory ($10.40) + 1 GB DRAM ($10.45) = $20.85
32GB NAND Flash memory ($20.80) + 1 GB DRAM ($10.45) = $31.25
Cost for ipad 3 - 32GB : $41.50
64GB NAND Flash memory ($41.60) + 1 GB DRAM ($10.45) = $52.25
Cost for ipad 3 - 64GB : $71.10
Display + Touchscreen on the ipad mini costed $80 and battery was $13.50, while the full-size ipad display & touchscreen costed around $127 with battery pegged at $32.
Assuming that IGZO is making an appearance, and deploying the new GF/2 manufacturing process, its going to drive down both the costs of the display+ touchscreen as well as battery ( smaller capacity is being used). assuming a cost of $115 for the display& touchscreen, and a cost of around $22 for the battery, we have already seen a cost savings of around $30 for the 32GB and $ 45-50
Assuming trends, Power Management modules will drop by about a $1, while new mechanical / electro-mechanical components should drop by about $10 (from $50) and finally the processor should see a drop by $4-$5.
3G modules should drop down from $41.50 to around $37.
In total, if you look there is a total saving of around $50 on the base model itself .
Considering that Apple makes more margin on the higher capacity models & 3G models, they can easily afford to drop the 16GB and introduce the 32GB as a base model on the ipad, without hurting their profit margin.
A difference of $100 to double the capacity and a difference of $ 130 for getting 3G/ 4G, I think a 32gb base could be on offer as an entry model.
Now its a matter of waiting to find out!
|Feb 10, 2013, 06:56 AM||#52|
G3 450 B&W, K-Lime iBook G3/466SE, PB G4 867(Ti), G4 800 DP(QS), PB G4 1.5 17 (Al), iPT 1G, 08 24 iMac, MBP 09 17, iP3Gs, iPad1&2, iP4s, '12 27 iMac, iP5s, rMBP(H) 15", Air.
|Feb 11, 2013, 03:03 AM||#53|
I would bet the 128 GB stays too. I was just asking if it was speculation like the rest of us or some inside source. In a few years I'm guessing we'll eventually have a 512 and 756GB too.
I stopped guessing when Apple released the iPad 4 unexpectedly last year.
|Feb 11, 2013, 03:28 AM||#54|
iPhone 64GB iPad 4 iMac 21.5 (2010)
|Feb 11, 2013, 04:15 PM||#55|
8 years is a long time. The drives are available, I've seen 2TB flash drives around. They are just expensive.
iPad was released April 2010. In Nov 2012 128GB was released.
The next gen iPad may already be in the works for 256GB? 512 is just a few years away I think, just my guess though. I hope 512GB isn't 8 years away, year 2021 is a long time away for 512GB.
This is why COMPETITION is healthy and great for us end users. Without Microsoft and Google and Blackberry pushing Apple.... updates would come ALOT slower I think...
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