I think the BSOD *might* be a good talking point with desktops mostly, to a MUCH smaller degree with laptops, and not at all with tablets. Why? Because tablets have non interchangeable hardware, and a driver set provided by the manufacturer with an alternate basic driver set from Microsoft. This provides a level of stability above what's already a well documented rock solid stability of not only windows 8, but also windows 7.
I get it though, I'm not totally disagreeing with you. Windows on a tablet theoretically brings a higher degree of tech know how. But in reality it's fairly transparent, and you really only believe this after you use a windows tablet for some time. You set the tablet to only open in Metro mode, all the settings are there in metro mode, you only use Metro apps, you don't have any of the issues you are worried about. Sure the BSOD is a valid point, but a valid point that virtually never happens becomes a valid but incredibly unimportant point.
I still don't think the point that consumers don't want windows on a tablet has been proven. PC sales are in decline because consumers want tablets, but that's not the whole story. What motivation is there to replace a 5 year old PC? Besides gaming, or a specialized field that needs the computing power what reason is there to replace a PC? This is the same exact conundrum that smartphones are starting to get into, and why the entire low cost smartphone market is heating up just like E-machines broke the PC industry 15 years ago.
As for MS strategy, you are 100% correct, that's what's killing them. Surface RT is junk and splits the market. Surface Pro is too niche. Atom tablets are undermarketed and not really showcased by Microsoft. Windows 8 Metro, while a necessary evil, is still an evil that has to be accepted kicking and screaming by windows users. Yes it's an uphill battle, but it still doesn't prove that consumers don't want windows tablets.
As for the future, I don't think the ipad is the future, to me it's a toy of the past kind of reminding me of using a big Palm Pilot but with modern hardware/specs. Just to call Windows a remnant of the past is like calling OSx a remnant of the past. I understand that they are desktop OS', but when Microsoft tries to shift it into mobile mode everyone cries foul. They really have done a good job, people just like to stick their head in the sand and pretend they did not because it's a threat to their beloved Apple.
In the end we are different users. I feel as I've given up WAY too much functionality being forced to use iOS all these years. I think when long battery life CPU's come around, hopefully in the surface 2 we are going to see quite a difference in the market, nothing overwhelming but it will be significant. Only time will tell and we can revisit this thread when we see a long battery life surface Pro 2 and what effect it has on the market.
To be fair, I don't think any desktop OS on a tablet would cut it theses days. I think the normal use cases for tablets are:
1. Email
2. Media consumption
3. Social
When it's time for serious productivity, you need more screen size, keyboard and a mouse.
You believe the surface 2 will get it right but I think it is dead on arrival. Nobody wants the surface now and battery life has nothing to do with it. It's windows 8 that's the main issue.
I see it in the same light as Windows Phone. Look at wp7. WP8 came and its doing no better.
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