Haswell not coming before Q3 2013?

Discussion in 'MacBook Air' started by skaertus, Nov 12, 2012.

  1. macrumors 68030

    skaertus

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    #1
  2. macrumors regular

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    #2
    If they release Haswell in Q3 (which can be anything between July - September) what makes you think that Apple will have it in the next Air right when it launches?

    There might be a delay as I don't see what upgrade the MBA could get that would make it much different from the 2012 MBA.
     
  3. macrumors 603

    thekev

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    #3
    This is basically in line with what I've suggested previously. I thought it was really silly when some people expected them to skip ivy imacs and minis based on the presumption of Haswell shipping earlier.
     
  4. thread starter macrumors 68030

    skaertus

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    #4
    I don't. I'm just saying that the next Air will get released no earlier than July 2013. It may get released months after Haswell, though.

    ----------

    I thought they might ship earlier due to all the pressure Intel is suffering from ARM processors. Even Microsoft, the long time Intel partner, has released Windows for ARM...
     
  5. macrumors regular

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    #5
    1) Apple will likely not refresh the MacBook Air line without Haswell (or - and this would be shocking - some major shift to another architecture). So while the Q3 timeframe is not suggesting when exactly new Airs may be released, it's indicative that the machines will launch no earlier.

    2) The MacBook Air has retained its current design for three generations - not forever, but enough to warrant design changes if there are any available that make sense. Personally, I'd like to see a few more ports, perhaps a shift off of TN- panels, and improved resolution and/or screen size.
     
  6. thread starter macrumors 68030

    skaertus

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    #6
    Agreed. But even if Apple is thinking of switching Intel processors for ARM, I guess it won't be this time. Perhaps in a few years. However, if Haswell processors are released in Q3 2013, I guess Apple will release refreshed MacBook Airs right after, as they were last refreshed in June 2012 (after more than one year without a refresh, Apple may hurry to do that).

    I think the MacBook Air will get a redesign next time. But I don't think Apple will include more ports, sorry. It's not the way Apple is heading to. I guess Apple will make it thinner and lighter, perhaps use new materials, and may put an IPS retina display on it.
     
  7. macrumors 6502a

    southerndoc

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    #7
    Is this Q3 calendar year or fiscal year?

    Q3 fiscal year is April 1. July is Q4.
     
  8. macrumors 6502a

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    #8
    Intel's mobile processors are generally released one quarter after the desktop versions, so nothing new here. Apple will probably have first priority and will be in production soon after the release is announced. Q3 is July-September, so the refresh should be in that window as long as Intel does not have a delay.
     
  9. macrumors 6502

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    #9
    Regardless of when the redesign may be, I think they may follow the trend with the 13" rMBP.

    - A smaller footprint with smaller bezels
     
  10. macrumors regular

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    #10
    I'm not expecting more ports, but one can dream :)

    If Apple does go thinner/lighter (which, with the exception of the iPad 3/4, has been the trend), they would either have greater thermal issues on their hands or they will likely be making a shift to the 10W ultrabook-specific Haswell chips Intel has been discussing. It would be interesting, because battery life could ostensibly improve, but performance would drop. Apple's been maintaining both battery life and CPU performance either at par or slightly increased from the previous generation, so this would buck that particular trend.

    Personally, thinner is the least relevant "improvement" for me. Lighter/stronger would be interesting, battery and thermal load improvements are always welcome, and CPU/GPU speed bumps are great. But sacrifice any of those on a full-fledged laptop in order to reduce the profile by a few millimeters? No, thank you.
     
  11. thread starter macrumors 68030

    skaertus

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    #11
    Apple may have to go thinner/lighter to further differentiate between MacBook Pro and Air lines. I don't know if they will put the 10W ULV Haswell processor in the MacBook Air, though. Information is very scarce on these processors. Some sources say that these 10W processors would pack as much power as the current 17W Ivy Bridge, while others say it will be slower. I haven't seen the benchmarks yet, and I am curious. If Intel delivers the same performance, it will be a great achievement.

    I also prefer lighter/stronger than thinner, but you know Apple...
     
  12. macrumors member

    stepheneleven

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    #12
    I'm on board with fiscal. I really want a new MacBook Air by June 2013 and I don't want a 2012 model.
     
  13. macrumors member

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    #13
    IPS panels makes sense, obviously. Maybe full HD also...

    But more ports, are you crazy? Based on what? only if it's HDMI (doesn't fit.).
     
  14. macrumors 603

    thekev

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    #14
    Windows RT isn't quite the same thing. Anyway that battle is more of a long term one. I don't see a few months changing the choices for implementations. It's also a matter of how long they require to ensure a reasonably bug free release. Since the Sandy Bridge recall, they've been somewhat cautious.
     
  15. thread starter macrumors 68030

    skaertus

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    #15
    As much as I also want Haswell to be released as soon as possible, I guess the folling graph doesn't mean fiscal quarters (especially because the fiscal year in the U.S. is different from other countries, and the source is from abroad):

    [​IMG]

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    Full HD is unlikely, given the direction Apple is taking. Apple may well put retina displays on the MacBook Air.
     
  16. thread starter macrumors 68030

    skaertus

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    #16
    Yes, Windows RT is not the same thing, and ARM processors are underpowered compared to Intel. But Intel is under a serious threat here, and AMD was never as dangerous to its business as ARM is being right now.

    Intel has already taken too long to move to the mobile world. ARM is gaining ground, it practically controls the processors inside smartphones and tablets. And ARM chips are becoming increasingly more powerful, and much quicker than Intel's, while consuming the very same amounf of energy. Then, Microsoft, the long time Intel partner, releases a Windows version for ARM processors. And there are rumors of Apple moving away from Intel processors and towards ARM architecture. The transition of PCs and Macs towards a different will take time, for sure, but clearly ARM is advancing on Intel ground, and Intel must stop it quickly if it wants to survive. Well, Intel's answer is called Haswell, and its capability to deliver an energy efficient processor which trounces ARM may well determine the relevance of Intel in the future. And Intel needs it right now. As underpowered as Windows RT running on ARM is, it is already out there selling to customers who hardly know the difference between Intel and ARM, and companies are probably studying the possibility of writing software that runs on Windows RT. The transition may take time, but the path to be followed will be traced very soon.

    Have you seen the latest interviews of Paul Otellini, and Warren East, respectively, Intel and ARM CEOs? ARM is ready to take computers away from Intel (read here: http://www.technologyreview.com/news/507116/moores-law-is-becoming-irrelevant/). It's war. And it is being fought now.
     
  17. macrumors regular

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    #17
    The phrase used was "Personally, I would like..." It's literally not based on anything other than my own desires, which is precisely how it was stated.

    But specifically, I would like a third USB 3.0 port across all lines (MBA, MBP 13", rMBP 13"). And yes, while it would not fit on the current Airs as designed, we were discussing a potential redesign.
     
  18. thekev, Nov 13, 2012
    Last edited: Nov 13, 2012

    macrumors 603

    thekev

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    #18
    I'll check out the interviews right now. My point was rushing something out a couple months earlier is less important in such a war than what they release. It needs to be stable and in line with their projections more than it needs to be out in April rather than July.


    Apparently he agrees with me. The concern is leverage and development. Intel doesn't want everything new to be developed on a different architecture that leverages an ever increasing number of tasks away from them. That's why I said that it's more important what they put out than if it comes out a month or two earlier.

     
  19. macrumors 68040

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    #19
    How about thunderbolt to lightening capability...and lets just kill of usb now.
     
  20. thread starter macrumors 68030

    skaertus

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    #20
    It is definitely important to deliver the final product, with no rush. A fault such as the one that occurred during the release of Sandy Bridge last year may be deadly at this point, in the sense that the reliability of Intel may be put at risk.

    But timing is of essence too, and Intel is probably in a hurry right now because it has taken so long to realize that it needed to focus on energy efficiency and on low-power processors. The Microsoft Surface could have an Intel processor, instead of ARM, had Intel made Sandy/Ivy Bridge more power-efficient.

    ----------

    Are you nuts? Do you want to get rid of USB??? We're not ready for this yet...
     
  21. macrumors 603

    thekev

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    #21
    That is a terrible idea. The current generation of peripherals isn't set up to work seamlessly with thunderbolt, and a lot of low cost options are still sold. Thunderbolt isn't appropriate for those, even according to intel. There are a lot of things you can buy with multiple connection types. External hard drives can sometimes connect via usb, esata, or firewire. If thunderbolt displaced firewire in these kinds of devices, you could begin to see leverage. That would also require that intel push such a thing, and intel still owns the rights to every bit of it aside from the mini displayport connector. Personally I think going with mini displayport was a bad choice there, as Apple still owns it. Under normal circumstances, there is no licensing fee, yet it's not an open standard.

    It seems like our point of disagreement is on timing. I doubt they're going to lose contracts for a number of devices on this one, as long as their release cycle is predictable and consistent. In this regard meeting their shipping date predictions would be more important. This way their customers can effectively plan their own product lines. Given the moves to smaller and smaller processes, the potential is there for others to slip up too.
     
  22. macrumors 68040

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    #22
    Yeah terrible idea now but in a few years? I dont know I guess I wouldve expected some improvements to thunderbolt since its been out.
     
  23. macrumors 603

    thekev

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    #23
    There isn't anything expected until 2014 in the way of speed bumps. I was just saying that intel hasn't pushed it as such a mass market standard, and gaining such leverage would largely depend upon being added as a port to most new machines as well as a port option for more peripheral devices. I suspect it has been cost prohibitive. USB has done so well due to backwards compatibility and price. Killing USB would at least require stronger adoption rates than it's seen so far.
     
  24. macrumors 68040

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    #24
    Good point! I wonder why Apple is using something intel thinks is beta hardware.
     
  25. macrumors 603

    thekev

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    #25
    Well it worked for Apple's small selection of peripherals. They had the thunderbolt display and the promise pegasus raid, which can both run off a single port. It's just that outside of Apple's small range of peripheral devices, it's not that useful. In August of 2011, people were still complaining that Intel hadn't released an official SDK. I just don't see any sweeping changes in the near future.
     

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