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Discussion in 'Politics, Religion, Social Issues' started by CubaTBird, Nov 1, 2004.
never post in the political forums, but:
isnt that site run by a democrat? not to say that's bad or anything though. i find it interesting that more states are strong bush than are strong kerry, but kerry has enough "weak kerry"s to be ahead. it looks like bush has more states but kerry has the bigger ones...oh well, i'm not of voting age. btw, our school held an "election simulation" today in which we had party meetings in the morning, then a debate and an election in the afternoon. kerry won with 41%, bush has in the low 30's i think and then nader was 3rd and i think socialist after that...
Wow, and you're in San Antonio, TX, too! Good sign!
Can't get through to the site. Probably being flooded with hits.
Here's another perspective from Slate magazine:
A few days ago it was skewing towards Kerry. I hope they're wrong now.
I renig on my previous statement of voting after work, going home, take a stiff drink, and going to bed. I'm going to vote after work, go home, get totally tanked and collapse on the floor. This is insane.
I think that's what the network wonks did last year!
electoral-vote doesn't have much bias. The owner, in the interest of full disclosure, expresses his leanings, but if you followed it closely, you would notice that the current electoral standing has been going back and forth. There was quite a while there, especially for weeks after swift boat, that bush was solidly in the 300's, with kerry often in the 100's. So I would say this site is one of the least biased election-predictors out there.
You can try electoral-voteX.com where X is 2-9 (maybe more now even).
Im pretty confident Kerry will win assuming Bush & Co doesn't rig this election too. Besides, these polls don't count the tens of thousands newly registered voters registered by the Democrats, and if its anything like 2000 where a canidate won by a few hundred votes, if these new voters turn out and vote for Kerry, he should win by a large margin, big enough that dubya can't even argue
Zogby, a pollster I quite admire, has the vote split 252-252, with Florida, Pennsylvania, and Virginia (!) a dead heat.
FWIW, I picked Kerry on my blog, and I don't expect it to be close.
Dead heats aside, that Ohio statistic (for Bush) is the most troubling, since we've been a nearly flawless indicator of who's eventually going to win.
zogby's updated his site with his final prediction: Kerry 311-213, with NV and CO too close to call.
Kerry wins FL, OH, PA, IA, MI, MN, NH, NM, and WI
Latest Zogby seems to show a dead heat....http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews923.html
You do know that either candidate needs 270 votes to win right? so even if its 269vs 268, neither candidate wins out right.
here is to hope!
I voted for Kerry! Hope he wins!