Mackerras Pendulum predicts Kerry win

Discussion in 'Politics, Religion, Social Issues' started by sorryiwasdreami, Sep 16, 2004.

  1. sorryiwasdreami macrumors 6502a

    sorryiwasdreami

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    #1
    Malcolm Mackerras, an academic psephologist and commentator on Australian and American politics, predicts a Democratic win for the U.S. 2004 presidential election.

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  2. yg17 macrumors G5

    yg17

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    #2
    i hope this guy is right. we're doomed if dubya gets another 4 years.
     
  3. masterhiggins macrumors member

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    #3
  4. takao macrumors 68040

    takao

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  5. Lyle macrumors 68000

    Lyle

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    The Wikipedia article that you linked to doesn't mention anything about his track record in predicting the outcomes of previous U.S. elections. Is there some reason why this particular study was of interest to you (other than the fact that it has your guy winning)?
     
  6. wwworry macrumors regular

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    #6
    these predictions are stupid and do none of us voters any good. I remember saying the same thing in the "Bush wins in a landside 2004" thread 2 years ago. No one could have predicted how ineptly he would have handled post war Iraq. and so here we are in a tight race. let's all vote.
     
  7. yg17 macrumors G5

    yg17

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    #7

    First of all, the 2000 presidental election proved that you can become president even if a majority of the population wants your opponent to win. Thus, those numbers don't mean much.

    Second, poll numbers change quickly. Bush has the lead this week, but who knows next week, Kerry might be kicking his ass.
     
  8. masterhiggins macrumors member

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    #8
    well, in case you didn't notice, it listed predicted ELECTORAL VOTES.
     
  9. Thomas Veil macrumors 68020

    Thomas Veil

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  10. Durandal7 macrumors 68040

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    #10
    It's always that time.
     

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