Years left in the Jobs era?

Discussion in 'Community Discussion' started by TheMonarch, Jun 19, 2006.

?

Years before Steve Jobs retires?

  1. 2 years

    4.9%
  2. 3 years

    7.3%
  3. 4 years

    3.7%
  4. 5 years

    19.5%
  5. 6 years

    2.4%
  6. 7 years

    11.0%
  7. 8 years

    6.1%
  8. 9 years

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  9. 10 years

    17.1%
  10. Until the inevitable happens

    28.0%
  1. TheMonarch macrumors 65816

    TheMonarch

    Joined:
    May 6, 2005
    Location:
    Bay Area
    #1
    Well, now that Bill Gates has decided to leave Microsoft...

    How many years do you think Steve Jobs has left in him before he steps down at Apple?
     
  2. EricNau Moderator emeritus

    EricNau

    Joined:
    Apr 27, 2005
    Location:
    San Francisco, CA
    #2
    I've thought about that very question. I don't know. :confused:

    It seems in recent years he hasn't been looking that great and I can't help but think we haven't had any special events with product releases lately because he hasn't been up to it (...or maybe it's just Apple's new marketing strategy. Who Knows?).
     
  3. Deepdale macrumors 68000

    Deepdale

    Joined:
    May 4, 2005
    Location:
    New York
    #3
    I feel 2-3 at the most before changes at the top take place.
     
  4. EricNau Moderator emeritus

    EricNau

    Joined:
    Apr 27, 2005
    Location:
    San Francisco, CA
    #4
    Knowing Apple, they'll keep Steve Jobs as CEO long after he stops contributing to the company. ...or for all we know, that's already happened! :eek:
     
  5. Shamus macrumors 6502a

    Shamus

    Joined:
    Feb 26, 2006
    #5
    Very true. Removing Steve from the Apple appeal would remove some of the great values that Apple as a company has. His effect on the company and other people views of the company is huge.

    And perhaps what you say has already happened. But even if it has, as long as he is there as the 'frontman' of the company, success is certain.

    EDIT: BTW, I voted 5 years.
     
  6. zelmo macrumors 603

    zelmo

    Joined:
    Jul 3, 2004
    Location:
    Mac since 7.5
    #6
    I truly believe Apple is in Steve's blood. He did not leave willingly last time, nor will he this time. I think he's in for life, unless by some turn of events he starts leading Apple down.
     
  7. Spanky Deluxe macrumors 601

    Spanky Deluxe

    Joined:
    Mar 17, 2005
    Location:
    London, UK
    #7
    Steve Jobs will live forever. He will never leave Apple. The Cult of Steve will spread throughout the Universe as the immortal god lives on.
     
  8. 63dot macrumors 603

    63dot

    Joined:
    Jun 12, 2006
    Location:
    norcal
    #8
    Steve Jobs seems like he could be on the short list of people to take the helm of Disney/Pixar and we would all benefit.
     
  9. iGav macrumors G3

    Joined:
    Mar 9, 2002
    #9
    He's only 50/51 isn't he?? if his health stands up... I'd say another decade.

    Retirements a crap excuse for people that don't like what they do... I'll never retire from designing for example. ;)
     
  10. 63dot macrumors 603

    63dot

    Joined:
    Jun 12, 2006
    Location:
    norcal
    #10
    Didn't you mean 5150?
     
  11. kretzy macrumors 604

    kretzy

    Joined:
    Sep 11, 2004
    Location:
    Canberra, Australia
    #11
    5 years feels about right to me for some reason. He's reinvented the company and I don't think he's quite done yet.
     
  12. w_parietti22 macrumors 68020

    Joined:
    Apr 16, 2005
    Location:
    Seattle, WA
    #12
    Jobs loves his job... I suspect that he will stay for at least another 5 years
     
  13. atari1356 macrumors 68000

    atari1356

    Joined:
    Feb 27, 2004
    #13
    I agree... Apple is Steve's baby. As long as things continue to go well with the Macintosh/iPod/iTunes brands, he'll be quite content to remain at the helm for another decade if not more.

    Gates was a greedy bum... he got his cash and now he wants out. Steve, on the other hand, is not in it for the money. He's in it for the experience of leading a company to create great products.
     
  14. aquajet macrumors 68020

    Joined:
    Feb 12, 2005
    Location:
    VA
    #14
    He was born 24 Feb 1955. I give him ten years, tops.
     
  15. Chaszmyr macrumors 601

    Chaszmyr

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2002
    #15
    1. Steve loves Apple, and I can't imagine him wanting to leave any time soon

    2. Apple has a lot of momentum right now, but I think they would instantly lose much of that momentum if Steve were to leave right now. I'm not saying the company would instantly go to hell in a hand basket, but the company would have less of a cult following, and without Steve's keynotes there wouldn't be as much press coverage of Apple.

    3. I don't think Steve is out of ideas just yet.

    If I were to guess, I would say in roughly 8 years Apple will introduce the next gen operating system (OS11, though i'm sure that's not what it will be called), and that's when Steve will start to transition his way out of Apple, much the way Bill Gates is doing now with Vista about to come out.
     
  16. Queso macrumors G4

    Joined:
    Mar 4, 2006
    #16
    I honestly don't think he'll be there for much longer. Over the last six months, he's been looking steadily less healthy, which really isn't a good sign. He's lost a lot of weight recently, which makes me wonder whether his cancer has returned. American posters may be able to answer this. Is it an SEC requirement to announce if your CEO is suffering from a major illness?

    Not pleasant to think about, but the evidence seems to point to it.
     
  17. celebrian23 macrumors 65816

    celebrian23

    Joined:
    Mar 12, 2006
    Location:
    Under the sun
    #17
    I give him 4-5 years. of course Jobs loves his job- he's filthy rich! Until I personally meet him, I can't say how he fills about his job. I think a change could bring in some excitment though. I have no loyalty to Steve haha :)
     
  18. MacNut macrumors Core

    MacNut

    Joined:
    Jan 4, 2002
    Location:
    CT
    #18
    His last name is "Jobs" how is he supposed to be able to retire.:rolleyes: He will work for eternity. But I give him 5 more years at Apple.

    Plus I see Steve on the Apple BOD long after he retires.
     
  19. IJ Reilly macrumors P6

    IJ Reilly

    Joined:
    Jul 16, 2002
    Location:
    Palookaville
    #19
    Five seems to be the favorite number, and it's mine too, but for somewhat different reasons. In 2011, he'll be able to say it's been 35 years since he started Apple, and it's time to move on and step down as CEO. This also gives him time to select and groom a successor and to secure his legacy. I doubt he'll ever use the "r" word, though. That would be very un-Steve-like.

    All assuming his health holds out, of course. That's a major question.
     
  20. sushi Moderator emeritus

    sushi

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2002
    Location:
    キャンプスワ&#
    #20
    I would tend to agree with this.

    Apple is Steve's passion. Passions don't die easily.

    I doubt he would be around without active participation. Steve is too type A for that to happen. Either he will be at the helm or not.

    I would not be surprised if he stayed on for another 10 years based on his passion. He makes critical decisions all the time. Significant ones such as the transition from PPC to Intel. And that was done at the very last minute.

    Health and family are more of a concern as one grows older. One of these days he will change his priorities and go down another path in life. I just hope that it is a long ways away since the current ride is so much fun.
     
  21. yellow Moderator emeritus

    yellow

    Joined:
    Oct 21, 2003
    Location:
    Portland, OR
    #21
    I voted 7.. because I feel like 5 more years is too short a time, and 10 years.. well eventually he's going to want to retire (from the Limelight). There's already been changes in Apple's hierarchy that signal the old guard moving onto retirement. It's been theorized on who some of the replacements might be fore SJ. Will it happen soon? No. The transition from PPC to Intel will be LONG over and a memory before SJ starts thinking about moving on.. assuming his health stays up.
     
  22. jdechko macrumors 68040

    Joined:
    Jul 1, 2004
    #22
    I agree, I think that 5 is too short and 10 is too long. So 7 seems like it should be a good fit. I think he will leave shortly (1-2 years) after we see the next-gen OS from Apple (OS XI). After that transition is complete, I believe he will step down as CEO and take a more advisory position in the company.
     
  23. leekohler macrumors G5

    leekohler

    Joined:
    Dec 22, 2004
    Location:
    Chicago, Illinois
    #23
    I'm gonna guess he'll do it til he's dead. Some people can't stop working and I think he's one of them.
     
  24. Thomas Veil macrumors 68020

    Thomas Veil

    Joined:
    Feb 14, 2004
    Location:
    Reality
    #24
    I say 7 years.

    Five years will go by like *that*. I think Steve will want to make sure that there is an established, sustained rise in the Mac's market share, that the Mac and iTMS become a full-fledged media system, and that OS 11 (or whatever the successor will be called) is firmly in place...and I think those things may take a little more than five years to come to fruition.
     
  25. gallagb macrumors 6502

    gallagb

    Joined:
    Apr 28, 2004
    Location:
    IN
    #25
    scene this evening from the Jobs home...

    "hon- look what those crazy mac-rumors guys have said now"
    "what on earth?"
    "ha! they expect me to retire! -- those guys... just so funny"
     

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