It will eventually trickle into the $1800 slot. Expect this within 2 years. They always introduce these things at the highest price points, make the highest margins on them, then as the manufacturing process evens itself out, they end up in less expensive models as well. $1800 models refurbished in basic configurations for a current generation tend to fall around 10-15% off. 15% is realistic enough, and this would give you a machine below $1700, or you may find a deal from one of the third party retailers. Given the relative pricing of the 13" Air, you may simply need a small amount of elasticity in your budget. I'm just not sure I see the 15" models dropping much lower new. The 15" models used to be more than they are today.