iTMS New Projection

Discussion in 'Community' started by jxyama, Jan 20, 2005.

  1. jxyama macrumors 68040


    Apr 3, 2003
    Not sure if this was done after the keynote, but Jobs gave 230 million as another data point for iTMS history on Jan. 12...

    230 million on 1/12/05 exceeds the projection based on prior data of ~210 million.

    between the last two data points, 12/16/04, when 200 millionth song was downloaded and 1/12/05, iTMS sold approximately 1.1 million songs per day. with the holiday iPod/iTMS purchases, i can easily see this figure being higher for the next few months.

    Based on the new fit, the projections are now:

    312 million on april 28, 2005, two year anniversary of iTMS
    380 million around early july, WWDC '05
    580 million by the end of 2005

    my personal feeling is that iTMS will probably surpass 500 million by WWDC.
  2. jxyama thread starter macrumors 68040


    Apr 3, 2003
    here's a plot with a quadratic fit...

    Attached Files:

  3. PlaceofDis macrumors Core

    Jan 6, 2004
    500 million by WWDC may be pushing it a bit too much, but surely 350-400 million is a possibility by that time, but then again if there is another sweepstakes with pepsi that might bump the figure up a bit more, this year a lot more people know and use iTunes so it could be more profitable this time around

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