The art of the comeback... Trump back in the lead...

Discussion in 'Politics, Religion, Social Issues' started by 1458279, Aug 20, 2016.

  1. 1458279 Suspended

    1458279

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    #1
    Well, well, well... Just when you thought it was safe to pop the cork and cut the cake...

    https://www.reddit.com/r/The_Donald..._is_back_in_the_lead_the_art_of_the_comeback/

    http://redstatewatcher.com/article.asp?id=33827

    ... and we haven't even heard from WikiLeaks yet... It's looking like a landslide.
    Did she Short Circuit once again because she's out fundraising with rich while poor people are dying?
    Or was it Trump telling the truth about Hillary's policies causing so much hard to poor people?
    Or was it the Bernie supporters that Hillary cheated out of their vote?
    Or was it Hillary's health issues finally catching up to her?
     
  2. Eraserhead macrumors G4

    Eraserhead

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    #2
  3. 1458279 thread starter Suspended

    1458279

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    #3
    The link is just a bunch of other links, can't see which one you want. However, just to show how objective I am, I'm going to pre-call it a Left wing rag :D

    No, really, the link shows a bunch of other links, do you have a specific link?

    Also, are you disputing the polls I've shown and suggesting that Trump not going up in the polls? He's closed the gap already in several other polls and only seems to be climbing.
     
  4. Zenithal macrumors 68040

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    #4
  5. 1458279 thread starter Suspended

    1458279

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    #5
  6. Zenithal macrumors 68040

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    #6
    It's 3 AM on the east coast. Don't be silly. Both took their milk of magnesia at 9 PM and went to bed.
     
  7. APlotdevice macrumors 68040

    APlotdevice

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    #7
    Your source is the moron's official Reddit and some random blog? Okay then...
     
  8. Eraserhead macrumors G4

    Eraserhead

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    #8
    Look at the poll of polls on the next tab.
     
  9. 1458279 thread starter Suspended

    1458279

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    #9
    The Reddit is the discussion, the poll is the LA Times.
     
  10. APlotdevice macrumors 68040

    APlotdevice

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    #10
    Then could you please link to the LA Times so I don't have to go to that dumb POS's Reddit?
     
  11. 1458279 thread starter Suspended

    1458279

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    #11
    Ok, saw it. Looks like a trend towards a tighter race. Didn't see the margin of errors, but looks closer overall. Wondering why only one show lead/tie. It'll be interesting to see the polls over the next week or so.
    --- Post Merged, Aug 21, 2016 ---
    The second like shows the actual graph, but here's a direct:
    http://www.latimes.com/politics/
     
  12. lowendlinux Contributor

    lowendlinux

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    #12
    Reddit and 4chan are the sources for everything on the internet :D
     
  13. MadeTheSwitch macrumors 6502a

    MadeTheSwitch

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    #13
    Just keep on swimming wishing, just keep on wishing.

    I mean seriously why would he have a rise in polling? Because the campaign manager was replaced? Please. Trump's fake outreach to African Americans in front of white audiences? Please. His non-apology apology? Please.

    None of these things matter to the average voter who is busy watching the olympics or taking a vacation right now. So what spectacular new thing did Trump do to get a rise in polling according to you?
     
  14. samcraig macrumors P6

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    #14
    I thought polls didn't matter. It was all about attendance of rallies.
     
  15. rdowns macrumors Penryn

    rdowns

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    #15
    Polls - Monday, Wednesday and Friday.
    Rally size - Tuesday, Thursday and Saturday
     
  16. Herdfan macrumors 6502

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    #17
    Yes it does. But other than the LA Times poll, which has Trump up by 2, the last polling date was the 17th. The LA Times poll goes through the 20th.

    Since the 17th the following things have happened: 1)Trump made a speech in which he sort-of apologized, 2) Shook up his staff and 3) went to Baton Rouge and handed out relief supplies while Hillary went to a fundraiser and party.

    The events may be correlation, but they may also be causation. We will know here in few days.
     
  17. AlliFlowers Contributor

    AlliFlowers

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    #18
    Says who?

     
  18. appleisking macrumors 6502a

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    #19
    Only when it benefits them. When the polls show him losing its it doesn't matter his rallies are still high!
     
  19. Snoopy4 macrumors 6502a

    Snoopy4

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    #20
    The media was doing a great job for her, then they ran out of things to report on.
     
  20. unlinked macrumors 6502a

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    #21
  21. Herdfan macrumors 6502

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    #22
    Same anyone thought it possible that the polls are reflecting some amount of Bradley Effect (AKA Wilder Factor)?

    In other words, when a pollster asks a question about who someone is going to vote for, the respondent might not want to answer Trump, so they give a "safer" answer and say Clinton. Which skews the polls.

    Maybe this app maker has a better way:

    http://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/2016/08/13/app-maker---trump-win-election/88640044/
     
  22. Eraserhead macrumors G4

    Eraserhead

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    #23
    Hilary isn't popular enough to be the "safer" option. The safer option would be to say you're voting third party.
     
  23. Herdfan macrumors 6502

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  24. WarHeadz macrumors 6502a

    WarHeadz

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    #25
    Fivethirtyeight is the gold standard. The math just doesn't work in Trump's favor.
     

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