I'm starting to doubt that the PS3 and Wii will be released this fall. Software for both was running on developers units at e3, the hardware specs have yet to be finalized for either machine, and Sony apparently has massive overheating issues to overcome. Mario (arguably Nintendo's biggest title) won't be finished in time for a fall launch, nor will any of Sony's big named titles. Even if all the hardware issues were solved soon, it's doubtful either company could produce enough units by the fall for a worldwide launch. So, if past history is any indication, I'd expect both units to be delayed until the spring, at least in America... with perhaps a limited launch in Japan before Christmas. That's the best case scenario... worst case, Japan in the Spring, the rest of the world Fall 2007. Who would the winners and losers be if this happens? Obviously this would be good for Microsoft, as they'd have no competition this Christmas. But I think Sony would benefit from a staggered release as well, as economies of scale may help them to lower the price of the PS3 substantially by the America launch (this happened with the original Playstation). Nintendo would be the real loser... as they'd lose all the mindshare and good will they generated during e3. I hope this doesn't happen, but I'm afraid it might.