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With Apple having released updated MacBook Pros yesterday, here is a look back at the some of the rumors that preceded the launch along with an assessment of their accuracy.

Winners:

- As long ago as last December, CNET reported that Apple would move even its smaller notebooks to Intel's Sandy Bridge platform, necessitating the use of Intel integrated graphics on the machines unable to utilize a discrete GPU for space reasons. Apple did just that with Sandy Bridge and with the integrated Intel HD Graphics 3000 serving as the sole graphics processor on the 13-inch model. The report also claimed that Apple would tap AMD for the graphics in the company's larger MacBook Pro, displacing NVIDIA as the GPU provider for the line, another development that did in fact occur in the update.

- Last Friday, a pair of Italian blogs, iSpazio and Slide to Mac, pinpointed Apple order numbers for the new machines, with one of them accurately claiming a release on Thursday or Friday of this week. Later that day, we confirmed that the launch would in fact take place on Thursday, Feburary 24th.

- On Sunday, CNET reported that Apple was expected to introduce a "new high-speed connection technology", referring to Intel's Light Peak standard, in the "near future". Light Peak did in fact make its debut in the new MacBook Pros under the name "Thunderbolt". Later that day, AppleInsider accurately reported that shipments were en route to resellers, with delivery set for early in the week. Best Buy also slipped its placeholder information into public-facing inventory lists.


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- On Wednesday of this week, 24 hours before official launch, fscklog and Mac4Ever posted photos of specs from the box of the new entry-level 13-inch MacBook Pro, as well as shots of the machine itself. The sources of these shots were obviously resellers who had received Apple's shipments of the new machines and opened the packages early.

Losers:

- In early February, a Best Buy inventory screenshot appeared showing a new Apple notebook with a dummy SKU and an in-stock date of March 11th, but the update actually occurred more than two weeks ahead of that date. The evidence continues to suggest that Best Buy's inventory databases are an inaccurate source of information until shipments are actually en route to stores, as the company appears to use placeholders that are simply based on circulating rumors and guesses up until that point.

- Danish blogger Kenneth Lund claimed earlier this month that a reseller had informed him of a March 1st date for MacBook Pros.


142051-intel_second_gen_core_ad.jpg

- An Intel ad published earlier this month sparked significant speculation that the notebook pictured was a leaked next-generation MacBook Pro. But as we noted at the time, the picture was simply a generic mockup and not related to any revamped MacBook Pro design.

- On Monday of this week, BGR reported that the new MacBook Pros would offer larger trackpads, a small SSD boot drive for system files, and reduced weight compared to the previous generation. None of the claims came true.

- On Tuesday, French site MacGeneration offered a list of claimed specs for the revamped MacBook Pro (repeating the hybrid SSD claim), with essentially none of these claims coming true with the exception of the "new technology" that had already been widely rumored to be coming as Light Peak/Thunderbolt.

Mixed Bag:

- In mid-December, DigiTimes predicted that Apple would update the MacBook Pro and iMac in the first half of 2011. While certainly not a stretch given that the previous update had occurred in April 2010, Apple did indeed easily meet this prediction for the MacBook Pro. The report claimed that Apple would launch "at least four" upgraded MacBook Pros, and the company did in fact introduce five standard configurations yesterday. The report also claimed, however, that the new MacBook Pros would ship with Mac OS X Lion. In addition, the report claimed that there would be a "slight change in chassis design", but the new MacBook Pros are for all intents and purposes identical to the previous generation.

Article Link: MacBook Pro Rumor Wrap-Up: Winners and Losers
 
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I think the rumors about a redesign and SSD are true, just not for this generation. Next time around that will likely be the case. Same as with the retina display rumors for the iPad. Right rumor; wrong gen.
 
what about mac rumors actual intelligence in this? I guess you can't be a winner or loser if you don't actually have any leads and information to present...

Btw, cheap shot at the Danish guy who's prediction was within the week, at least he predicted something...:rolleyes:
 
Given the predictable nature of the Apple product cycle, it's pretty easy to hurl turds at a dartboard and be right about half the time. The 16 GB SSD for booting was a really good educated guess.
 
I liked this article. It's good to recap on rumors (instead of just posting new ones) so readers can be well-informed and gauge accuracy for themselves.

Yay MacRumors! :D
 
John Gruber got it right about Engadget:

Big Fat Loser:
I could publish things I'm only half-sure about, like the iPad 2 switching from aluminum to a lightweight high-strength carbon fiber body, but I don't, because I'm only half-sure and I've only heard about it from second-hand sources who themselves are unsure about it. And even if I were to off-handedly mention such speculation, I'd do so in a footnote and take pains to emphasize the uncertain nature of the information and the second-hand status of the sources thereof. What I would never do is take a flyer and report uncertain speculation as a fact, and, if it wound up not panning out, chalk it up to Apple having changed things at the last moment rather than the report being flat-out wrong all along.
 
March 11th could still be the MBP release date (at Best Buy)

Losers:

- In early February, a Best Buy inventory screenshot appeared showing a new Apple notebook with a dummy SKU and an in-stock date of March 11th, but the update actually occurred more than two weeks ahead of that date. The evidence continues to suggest that Best Buy's inventory databases are an inaccurate source of information until shipments are actually en route to stores, as the company appears to use placeholders that are simply based on circulating rumors and guesses up until that point.


You can't really say the screenshot was inaccurate yet. Just because the screenshot said March 11 - that should not have been construed as the launch date - more so the release date at Best Buy.

March 11 is also a Friday which is one of the days that Best Buy receives shipments.

I sure hope I'm right because my BB credit card is burning a hole in my pocket! :eek:
 
Why does anyone ever pay attention to DigiTimes?
All they ever do is dish out one-billion-and-one rumours about upcoming products. Some obvious, others not. As a result they always get some right and some wrong, but there's no skill involved on their part. They're utterly useless.
 
It's been a very fast news week... I can't keep up with reading all the new rumors! I hope things quieten down now after the MBP release...

Right, moving on to iPad 2 :D
 
So when can we exactly expect a full evolvement to thunderbolt, standardization of Flash Storage, the liquidmetal redesign, and the removal of the optical drive? 2012?
 
I predict that the iPad 2 will have a dual core procesor, 512 MB RAM, a front and rear camera, and be slighly thinner and lighter.

If I'm right, you'll have to then quote me as a legitimate source for all future predictions that I make.

That's about how ridiculous the whole predicting thing has gotten. MacRumors has really been out there reporting everything from everybody lately, mostly crazy and outlandishly incorrect things. Get it together guys. Maybe it's time to assess how many of the things that YOU post HERE wind up being correct, as a basis for the validity of THIS site.

Tony
 
What is BGR's record on rumors? Seems like not so hot... at least in recent memory.

It is very obvious by now that BGR does not but throw out guesses to get traffic. I don't know why other sites even bother publishing what they say.
 
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