0% right now. Slightly more than 0% in the future.
0% chance for the next year or two.
Though the replacement iPads are refurbs they aren't from their "refurb stock" that is listed on the online store. It's from their "replacement stock" which they keep relatively full (if they don't have it in the store that day they will order one from another location/warehouse) so they don't ever have to give you a newer generation iPad.
Were you to have gotten warranty from Best Buy though they would be subjected to in store stock of a "comparable" model.
Replacement stock?! Wow, you'd think that wait times for the iPhone 5 or Mini would be shorter had they use their replacement stock for actual in store stock..
Thanks for the answers (kind of, haha).
What do you think are the chances that Apple will give me a new iPad 4 if I claim an Applecare replacement for my iPad 3?
Do you think the chances are greater if I do this later down the line knowing that iPad 3's aren't produced anymore?
Thanks!
Why would you do that? If you want a iPad 4 buy it don't lie.
What you are describing is fraud. It's illegal and a felony. It's the same as driving your car into the bay to get insurance money. Besides those disincentives to behave like you're describing, if you love Apple's products why would you hurt them financially to scam new units off of them?
Sell your ipad 3 if you want a new one. Resell values are good...I just sold a mint iPad 3 on Amazon and it lost under $100 in value. Use that money to go toward the new unit. You will have gotten a new iPad for only a tiny bit more, and you won't have committed felony fraud. It's a win-win for you, Apple...basically everyone.
And if you read my original post, I never intended to do this fraudulently. My iPad is chipped and the glass pieces are broken off. I didn't state it but don't judge or assume to know me. I'll refrain from making any blind assumptions about you.
Car insurance, house insurance, and medical insurance are in no way similar to an accidental damage extended warranty for a product that is valid for two years. Don't try to be a smart ass. The original poster asked a question. If you can't contribute then don't. Quit harassing him and accusing him of wanting to commit fraud.