The email starts with "dear Customer".
Such an email is guaranteed not to come from Apple. If it started with "Dear Customer, " there would be a tiny chance. If it started with "Dear <username>, " then chances would be even better, but still not certain.
Furthermore, your Apple ID is making Apple money. There is no bloody way that Apple would close down your account "within 48 hours". Either they have some reason to close your account (like using stolen credit cards), then they'll close it immediately without warning. Or they have no reason to close it, then they'll keep it up forever.
Hmmh. I think that applies to scams where you need to convince the victim to hand over money, so when the potential victim responds, you have to invest serious time to get the goods. If they try to get AppleIDs with passwords, fully automated, then there would be no additional work involved so I would try to make it convincing.
Well, the theory is good, so for 419 scams _I_ would apply it. But I wouldn't be surprised if there are many scammers who actually create sites that are as good as they can make them, which just isn't very good at all.
Yes, I was responding generally to Ravenstar's post about the preponderance of poorly-written spam/scams, the principle is not so applicable here. I'd love to know more about this "industry"; you'd think by now there would have been some undercover exposés or whistleblowers giving us an inside view. Perhaps it's mostly so penny-ante that there's little to tell.