On Day 2, the (presumed) Seer outed Queen of Spades as a WW. That's good enough for me to accept that Sythas really was the Seer.
I don't see anything helpful in the voting record for Day 1.
On Day 2, there are three kinds of players:
- Those who voted for QoS BEFORE she was outed by Sythas
- Those who voted for QoS ONLY AFTER she was outed by Sythas
- Those who did not vote for QoS at all
It's very easy for even a WW to vote for a fellow WW after the latter has been outed - it's the natural play at that point, to appear less wolf-y. So as far as I'm concerned, those three groups of people should be evaluated thusly:
Group 1 (Sythas, Scepticalscribe, Tomorrow) - Clean. No WW would have voted for a colleague blindly, with no input from a special.
Group 2 (rick snagwell, WoodNUFC, Moyank24, Don't Panic) - Suspicious. Like I said, it's easy to gang up on a colleague who has been outed.
Group 3 (Intell, Plutonius) - Mildly suspicious. Hard to read a no-vote, but with the holiday weekend, anything is possible.
It's Group 2 which I wish to dissect further, since that group is the most suspicious.
Group 2 above can be divided into two groups:
- Those who did not vote until QoS was outed
- Those who voted for someone else, then changed their vote to QoS after she was outed
The former sub-group (WoodNUFC, Don't Panic) doesn't worry me too much - after all, it would seem than anybody who checked in for the first time after QoS was outed would have voted for her, if they voted at all, so this doesn't really tell me much more than Group 3 above - these two remain Mildly suspicious to me.
The latter sub-group (rick snagwell, Moyank24) actually voted for someone (trying to lynch an innocent, perhaps?), then changed their vote after QoS was identified. I find these two the most suspicious for that reason.
Which brings us to Day 3 voting - rick voted for Plutonius, and Moyank24 didn't vote. And a vote for someone I don't greatly suspect worries me more than no vote at all.
In the end, I'm back where I was on Day 3 -
rick snagwell.