Not really...
Guys, Guys , Guys,
NONE of this matters... Warner, FOX, Disney? They're not going to decide this issue!
What really matters is what the PORN industry decides.
Not kidding....
Actually, having many friends in the porn industry, I can personally tell you that my buddies at Vivid Entertainment have chosen both formats, which was interesting to say the least. For a while, Sony wouldn't allow adult titles to be published under Blu-Ray for moral reasons. However, Sony gave in an allowed them to pay up a hefty licensing fee just to publish on a Blu-Ray disc. This is the best part... Vivid cannot do any of their own in house encoding for Blu-Ray. They have to send the final product over to Germany to get it done, as part of the agreement.
While, with HD-DVD, they didn't have to pay the royalty fees. Nor do they have to send anything anywhere to get encoded. Actually, their HD-DVD production is all done in house. So it's cheaper in the long run for Vivid, and for consumers.
Even on that note of the porn industry choosing the next format... you're forgetting the missing contender. Online distribution, my friend. And porn has already chosen it. Who wants to watch HD porn anyway, and see the pimples & razor burn in a ridiculously amazing video quality? Not me... count me out!
Blu-Ray has the cooler name. I'll give it that. "HD-DVD" sounds old and dated. We've heard the term "DVD" thrown around for more than a decade now. It's not as appealing to hear the acronym "HD-DVD" because of that. And the Blu-Ray camp advertises that it can hold up to 50GB (25GB per layer). But what makes that interesting is that the Blu-Ray format is having a hard time accessing that second layer, meaning that there realistically only utilizing 25GB. HD-DVD is having no problems using both of their layers, giving them 30GB total (15GB per layer).
Even better yet, both formats are using the same codec (h.264) with nearly the same compression... which means... similar file sizes in the end!!! So what does it matter that Blu-Ray advertises more space? It's not utilized. It's wasted, unless you're storing data on burned Blu-Ray media.
What I really want to get at is that we don't want Sony to win. We know how expensive Sony is to license anything, based upon past examples. Mini-Disc lost. Beta lost. It was expensive for anyone to license. And you know what happens to expensive media? The price gets passed onto the consumer - that's what. And guess what else Sony is involved in? Oh yeah... they're also a movie studio with competition, such as Warner, Universal, New Line, Disney, etc. It's like Apple endorsing and backing WMV. It's stupid, if you ask me. If Blu-Ray wins, you're going to pay more later, as prices WILL MOST DEFINITELY go up.
So guess how much Sony will charge studios to use Blu-Ray if they win the format war? I'll let you use your wildest imagination...
And, for the record, I work in production. When I chose to go HD at the house, I did my homework testing equipment. HD-DVD looked a hair bit better than Blu-Ray, IMHO. It may have had to do with the converters. But I saw better coloring, and smoother pans in HD-DVD. So, yes, I'm on the HD-DVD camp. It's makes better sense economically, and in quality.
That's my rant.