That depends on the size and performance you want.
An Ivy Bridge set to 7W can be used in a passive setting if one really wants too. rifle the backplate made of some metal and it should dissipate enough.
Given that usual heat at normal low load may get as low as 4W with a Haswell Single SoC you could also go passive.
I don't think they will do it though. The iPad runs ARM and the notebooks will continue to use higher TDP higher performance chips. Maybe some passive Air is possible.
A 15" will always be big and there is very little you gain from going passive. It limits a lot the performance that you can put in. Even in 4 years it will simply be much faster but still actively cooled. Battery is still big and the SSD and logicboard. There is little space one would actually save with passive cooling and the noise at 2000 rpm is barely noticeable even in quite settings.