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Hurricane Dean

Mr. Anderson

Mr. Anderson

Moderator emeritus
Original poster
Nov 1, 2001
22,568
7
VA
So I'm thinking this won't be good.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/203525.shtml?5day#contents

Look at the current track and then at the archived 2004 season

2004atl.gif


I know that the weather conditions aren't going to be the same, but the chance that it slips in through the straight between Yucatan and Cuba, its going right to the US Coast.

And its already a catagory 2.

D
 
Floriduh desperately needs some rain and the local people are guessing that it could hit category 3 status with the warm water.
 
I'm in Fort Myers. Charley just missed us. I hope this one stays away. It takes a long time to get things fixed after one of these. There are still broken buildings on US41. Not sure if FEMA trailer town is still around...
 
I just really hope that this hits anywhere but the Texas coast. If we get any more rain (Erin is stressing enough), most of the state will be underwater.
 
Cooknn said:
I'm in Fort Myers. Charley just missed us. I hope this one stays away. It takes a long time to get things fixed after one of these. There are still broken buildings on US41. Not sure if FEMA trailer town is still around...
Click to expand...

I just got my Charley damage finally fixed months ago. :D

So many construction and repair companies have been so backed up because of 2004 and 2005. Now that new housing starts are down, maybe they'll be able to clean up after the above average 2007 season.
 
Mmmm... hurricane. We're not seein' 'em in North Carolina this year. Not so far.
 
4God said:
A cat. 4 storm with winds of 150 MPH. :eek: Could be a cat 5 as it
enters the Gulf. http://knbc.weatherplus.com/hurricanetracker/index.html
Click to expand...

one thing people should remember is the bigger the storm gets the greater likely hood it will kill it self.

Remember they pull their strength off the heat of the ocean. Now the bigger the storm gets the more churning up the water they do and when they get to cat 4/5 they start causing cold water to come to the surface. When that happens the storm will start to weaken very quickly.

Also the project path puts the storm in Mexico so I think the Texas cost is pretty safe.
 
Heart goes out to Jamaica (spent 3 weeks in Montego Bay a few years ago) and then the Yucatan. Gonna be a rough time for all concerned.

How soon can we expect the bogus pictures to start making the rounds on the internet... "Wow, look at these shots of Hurricane Dean a friend sent me! Unbelievable!"

I keep snopes.com on my favorites ;)

Woof, Woof - Dawg
pawprint.gif
 
Damn looks like Jamaica will get hit hard....I have a lot of friends over there...hope they are prepared. After the massacre that was 2004-2005 Island people don't take these things for joke anymore.


Really hope it hit a cold spot in the ocean before it hits land.



Bless
 
ouch. i've been tracking this storm for about a week, and it's going to be awful nasty. good thing is that it's unlikely to go to houston (it could send the world into a recession losing a large city, and many new orleans people live there, including alot of my family)

but we're in the hurricane active cycle, so it's going to be more of the same for about 10-20 years. i don't think it's due to global warming, but if you look historically, the early parts of the 20th century and the middle of the century were also in active cycles, many devastating hurricanes there.
 
Latest model run.

at200704345_model.gif


And for those wondering about how the ocean conditions affect growth, here is a chart. Basically, the warmer the color, the more the hurricane will be strenghtened.

DeachTCHP.jpg


And for those who wish to follow Dean, I found a pretty good site tracking its progress (link).
 
The latest.....
 

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Rodimus Prime said:
one thing people should remember is the bigger the storm gets the greater likely hood it will kill it self.

Remember they pull their strength off the heat of the ocean. Now the bigger the storm gets the more churning up the water they do and when they get to cat 4/5 they start causing cold water to come to the surface. When that happens the storm will start to weaken very quickly.
Click to expand...

All hurricanes cause cold water upwelling, not just the biggest ones. This leaves a trail of cooler water behind the hurricane, which can affect the strength and path of subsequent hurricanes which try to venture into the area. But there are still warm waters ahead for Dean. Enough in fact (forcasters believe) to allow himself to strengthen into a Cat 5 monster.

I hope those folks are prepared, or better yet, get the heck out of there. Things are going to get pretty ugly.
 
mexico could be in big trouble, dean's headed straight to mexico city. better hope it doesn't cross over and reform in the pacific and strike cali.
 
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