iOS 4.0.1 timing: if history is a guide...

[spblat]

iPhone (original)
Released June 29, 2007
iOS 1.0.1: Tuesday July 31, 2007
32 days, 22 weekdays

iPhone 3G
Released July 11, 2008
iOS 2.0.1: Monday August 4, 2008
24 days, 16 weekdays

iPhone 3GS
Released June 19, 2009
iOS 3.0.1: Friday Jul 31, 2009 (SMS security flaw)
42 days, 30 weekdays

Average the numbers above and you get 33 calendar days from hardware release to first software update. If history is a guide (and there are many reasons why it might not be), these numbers suggest Wednesday July 22, give or take a week or two.

Therefore I'll be surprised if we see iOS 4.0.1 this week, but mad if we don't see it by the first week of August.

 

[saxon48]

Good logic. Hopefully it does come soon.

 

[aforty]

Interesting take. You're probably right on the approximate timing. On July 2nd, Apple said the update would be released "in a few weeks" which to me means 2-3 weeks.

http://www.apple.com/pr/library/2010/07/02appleletter.html

 

[iMac0765]

And 4.1 at iPod+iTunes event... 4.1.2 first week of October and 4.1.3 first week of February.

 

[F123D]

Makes sense to me. Hopefully they do it soon so a jailbreak can be released with the update.

 

[rotobadger]

Makes sense to me. Hopefully they do it soon so a jailbreak can be released with the update.

That's the real reason I'm looking forward to the update too!

 

[macduke]

I tried to use similar logic to prove the date of the iOS4 event, and they still managed to be pretty late. They also have a whole lot of bugs to smash!