Is there any way to anticipate the value of a 2020 13" Intel MacBook Pro once the ARM machines are released?

[myrtlebee]

I know this might be like asking someone to look into a crystal ball, but is there any way to figure out a ballpark value of what a base model 2020 Intel 13" MacBook Pro (currently priced at $1,299 by Apple) would be once the rumored ARM MacBook Pro 13" is released later this year?

Do you think selling it for $900-$1,000 would be out of the question, or do you think the value would be slashed even lower to closer to half the current price (think ~$700)?

I ask because I have a 2020 13" and there's a possibility I may decide to buy an ARM 13" if / when it's released later this year.

 

[magbarn]

The impact on resale won’t be big initially. Once Apple stops releasing new macOS versions for intel machines in maybe as short as 2-3 years is when you’re going to see a bigger impact.

 

[zehcnassurfero]

Depends on how it is going to be the new MacBook Pro 13” with ARM processor, depends if Apple changes the design finally

 

[Cosmo M3]

The impact on resale won’t be big initially. Once Apple stops releasing new macOS versions for intel machines in maybe as short as 2-3 years is when you’re going to see a bigger impact.

this is the most practical answer

 

[Supra Mac]

Starting from $1299, on sale at retailers new for being previous model to $1099. Open boxes going for $1000. Anyone looking for used is probably looking to save another $100-$200 on top of that so could be $800-$900 used prices by Q1 next year.

 

[PatrickCocoa]

The impact on resale won’t be big initially. Once Apple stops releasing new macOS versions for intel machines in maybe as short as 2-3 years is when you’re going to see a bigger impact.

Apple will be releasing new macOS versions for intel machines for a minimum of 6 to 7 years from now.

Apple will stop releasing new hardware using intel within 2 years from now.

From https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2020/06/apple-announces-mac-transition-to-apple-silicon/: "Apple plans to ship the first Mac with Apple silicon by the end of the year and complete the transition in about two years. Apple will continue to support and release new versions of macOS for Intel-based Macs for years to come, and has exciting new Intel-based Macs in development."

 

[magbarn]

Apple will be releasing new macOS versions for intel machines for a minimum of 6 to 7 years from now.

Apple will stop releasing new hardware using intel within 2 years from now.

From https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2020/06/apple-announces-mac-transition-to-apple-silicon/: "Apple plans to ship the first Mac with Apple silicon by the end of the year and complete the transition in about two years. Apple will continue to support and release new versions of macOS for Intel-based Macs for years to come, and has exciting new Intel-based Macs in development."

Can you give an official Apple source for the 6-7 years? You've been here long enough to see how quickly PPC users were dumped so I don't think you should be so optimistic.
"Years to come" is way too ambiguous!

Apple could've at least said "We plan on releasing MacOS with native Intel support all the way for the next 5 years until 11.4!" BUT they didn't say that...

 

[matram]

I think no one really knows, but 6-7 years would be consistent with Apples definition of Vintage and Obsolete products.

I assume all high level functionality in the OS is independent of Arm / Intel and has been for some time and therefore it would be little work for Apple to continue to support Intel.

But I assume there will be new HW functionality on Apple Silicon. Of course only Arm Macs will get OS support for such new functionality.

I also believe we will see lower priority on fixing driver issues specefic to Intel. I believe we are already seeing that effect in Catalina, where Apple is very slow in fixing kernel issues and the like.

 

[FuNGi]

Gah. I didn’t even think about that. I purchased a 2020 13” MBP to replace my old 2013 15” rMBP. Apple is giving me $370 for the old machine as a trade in. I figured if I waited another year it would be obsolete (like the 2012 rMBP) and I’d get nothing for it. I do hope they continue updates for the intel Macs for 6-7 years.

 

[throAU]

Short answer: No.

We have no clue what the new machines will perform like yet.

 

[involuntarheely]

considering the price of some very dated used macbooks today, I'd say you're safe.
especially lower-end models tend to keep their value longer. understandably I'd say people might just buy new if faced with the idea of spending >$1500