I say it all depends on demand for the new model. If it's selling like hot cakes, and it seems like it is, then you won't see it on the refurb website for a long time. Why sell them discounted when people are willing to pay full price for them AND actually keep them instead of returning them? Case in point: the iPhone 11. Been out for what, ten months now, yet it hasn't made it to the refurb store--not once. Why? Cause it's the hottest selling iPhone Apple makes right now. I predict the same with the 2020 Air. Also, with it's low selling price, you'd think Apple would want to clear out past year model Airs' from the refurb store first before they add the 2020's to the lot. Because once the 2020 Air hits the refurb store, no one will want to buy any other Air model they have out there. My opinion, of course.