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When can we expect pre-order dates to change?

stu.h

stu.h

macrumors 65816
Original poster
May 8, 2010
1,416
621
West Midlands, England.
Going on previous releases?

I had confirmation at 8:01 that my order was complete, so would kind of expect mine to be one of the first ordered?

I guess when it changes to 'Preparing for shipment'?
 
My guess is never. We'll get a notification that it shipped at some point.
 
My guess we will probably see updates on the 22nd or the day before..Im going on a weekend Hike this week, This will keep my mind of that watch hopefully :rolleyes:
 
Based on previous experiences, we should start seeing changes Sunday/Monday. I doubt we'll see changes on Saturday, but it's possible.

Shipping notifications should start on Wednesday.
 
They will change next Thursday ... after the first batch gets shipping notifications.
 
For those that have 4/24-5/8, there is little point in updating the estimated date. Instead, they'll just ship when they can. Some will be delighted that they're going to get the watch in advance of the date they were originally told.

Spoiler Alert: there will be many customers that do not receive their watches in advance of the date they were originally told while others are. This will lead to hurt feelings and all kinds of wackadoo theories as to why. It will be insufferable.
 
Patriot24 said:
Spoiler Alert: there will be many customers that do not receive their watches in advance of the date they were originally told while others are. This will lead to hurt feelings and all kinds of wackadoo theories as to why. It will be insufferable.
Click to expand...

haha
 
Here's a crazy idea. When the UPS/FedEx guy knocks on your door and hands you a little box from Apple, then you'll have the watch. 10,000 speculative threads on the subject won't change that fact.

In the mean time, try not to think so hard about the minutiae of the wheres and whens.

I heard Arn had to buy a new 12TB server this week just to handle the discussions about :apple:Watch delivery dates.
 
Patriot24 said:
For those that have 4/24-5/8, there is little point in updating the estimated date. Instead, they'll just ship when they can. Some will be delighted that they're going to get the watch in advance of the date they were originally told.

Spoiler Alert: there will be many customers that do not receive their watches in advance of the date they were originally told while others are. This will lead to hurt feelings and all kinds of wackadoo theories as to why. It will be insufferable.
Click to expand...

You had me at Wackadoo
 
stu.h said:
Going on previous releases?

I had confirmation at 8:01 that my order was complete, so would kind of expect mine to be one of the first ordered?

I guess when it changes to 'Preparing for shipment'?
Click to expand...

Don't want to burst your bubble but i really don't think the exact minute you ordered your watch matters, what matters is if you are in the initial batch of shipments.

After that i would expect the real factor are the logistics of getting the watch to you, people in different areas might get notification on different days just because of the difficulties involved in getting 1 million watches delivered on the same day. Of course 1 million of anything is child's play for Apple. =p

I have a 3:02 order and a 3:15 and both are on the same time frame and i would really not be surprised if the 3:15 gets the notification first, i expect i will probably get both watches on the same day or at worst a day apart.
 
Last edited:
bounou said:
Don't want to burst your bubble but i really don't think the exact minute you ordered your watch matters, what matters is if you are in the initial batch of shipments.

After that i would expect the real factor are the logistics of getting the watch to you, people in different areas might get notification on different days just because of the difficulties involved in getting 1 million watches delivered on the same day. Of course 1 million of anything is child's play for Apple. =p

I have a 3:02 order and a 3:15 and both are on the same time frame and i would really not be surprised if the 3:15 gets the notification first, i expect i will probably get both watches on the same day or at worst a day apart.
Click to expand...

Yes and no ... we have a range of delivery dates. There might be some people at the tail end of that batch that won't get it release day.

That will all be based on when the order was placed. Someone who ordered at 12:04 has a better chance in being in first batch vs 12:20.
 
/dev/toaster said:
Yes and no ... we have a range of delivery dates. There might be some people at the tail end of that batch that won't get it release day.



That will all be based on when the order was placed. Someone who ordered at 12:04 has a better chance in being in first batch vs 12:20.
Click to expand...


That assumes a FIFO system. That could be but they could also allocate based on location, proximity to distribution points, even prior Apple purchase history (think airline FF programs). Unless you work in Apple's supply chain department you don't know.
 
Wednesday the 22nd, is when those receiving on the 24th will receive an update. Could happen sooner, but I doubt it.
 
darrenpop said:
In your own opinion, which is based on nothing.
Click to expand...

Wouldn't say "nothing" is correct. It is based on the iPhone 6 pre-order which was the most recent of Apple's product launch and pre-order. The big difference between these launches is that the Apple Watch pre-order was 2 weeks before release date, instead of one.
 
bjdraw said:
Wouldn't say "nothing" is correct. It is based on the iPhone 6 pre-order which was the most recent of Apple's product launch and pre-order. The big difference between these launches is that the Apple Watch pre-order was 2 weeks before release date, instead of one.
Click to expand...

Exactly, so it's nothing like the iPhone 6 launch at all. The iPhone wasn't a new product launch, it didn't have 38 bespoke combinations, it didn't have no in store stock.

Your opinion is based on nothing but your own guesstimate, which is likely wrong.
 
darrenpop said:
Your opinion is based on nothing but your own guesstimate, which is likely wrong.
Click to expand...

Sorry, I thought it was very clear that it was my own guess. I went back and looked, wasn't able to find your guess -- that is the point of this thread isn't it, to provide our guesses?
 
frumpy16 said:
That assumes a FIFO system. That could be but they could also allocate based on location, proximity to distribution points, even prior Apple purchase history (think airline FF programs). Unless you work in Apple's supply chain department you don't know.
Click to expand...

Most ordering systems are FIFO and I don't see any reason Apple wouldn't be either. It's not like Apple is doing the distribution. They aren't sending them to stores. The carrier is doing the leg work. They pick up all the watches on pallets with the stickers already on them. They head to a plane, go to the distribution center in Anchorage and split up from there.

UPS handles an average of 15 million packages a day. The Apple watch shipments aren't going to add much more to it. It's still way less than what they can handle around Christmas which is about 28 million packages per day.

Not for nothing, but unless you work for Apple or it's supply chain you don't know either .. you are just speculating like the rest. So of course none of us actually know.
 
Apple uses your phone number as a "reference number" with the shipping companies. I am sure we will be able to enter our phone numbers into either fedex or UPS' website before we actually get a shipping notification. This is how is always works with iPhones.
 
mattopotamus said:
Apple uses your phone number as a "reference number" with the shipping companies. I am sure we will be able to enter our phone numbers into either fedex or UPS' website before we actually get a shipping notification. This is how is always works with iPhones.
Click to expand...


I thought the order number was the reference. More secure since a lot of people could know your phone # and zip code. Apple order # you'd have to get from the order email.
 
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