I have a hard time believing this would be approved by anti-trust regulators unless there are safeguards so Apple doesn't keep ARM away from other companies.
This will stifle innovation... The FTC may have something to say about this
PEOPLE: PLEASE stop commenting on things where you don't know what you're talking about.
FTC would have no way to stop it.
Antitrust? Not likely to be an issue. Either it's the CPU market - in which case Intel still holds the lion's share - or it's a mobile CPU market - in which case AMD already has a dominant position. Switching ownership wouldn't change that.
I'm not sure Apple would be wise to lock others out of ARM (if they did acquire it).
Who says Apple would lock others out (aside from a few of the less well informed people here)?
Apple would presumably continue to license it - otherwise, it would be a waste of money. Competitors have other options. They might temporarily suffer a little, but they could switch to other chips.
The more logical thing is that Apple would continue to improve and market the chips, creating another cash flow stream. It would give them the flexibility to improve the designs for their own systems as well as getting revenue from others. They might conceivably raise the licensing fees slightly (but not too much or they'd lose customers). They might also create a small team to optimize chips for Apple products, but they can't leave other customers too far behind, if at all. The smartest move is to run it as a profit center and let the group maximize profits by constantly improving its products - which is what Apple excels at.
Exactly. It's naive to think that a new chip manufacturer wouldn't step in to fill the gap if Apple withheld ARM from everyone. Apple would gain nothing in the long term from this move other than maybe cheaper chips.
Apple would gain quite a bit:
1. Ability to better tailor chip designs for Apple products, possibly gaining a modest amount in performance or battery life.
2. Elimination of licensing costs for Apple chips (technically, Apple would still pay the licensing costs, but they'd roll back into the same pockets). The effect would be reduction of costs by a substantial amount.
3. Ability to ensure that Apple products can use the latest products.
Whey they do NOT gain:
1. The ability to compete with Intel for Macs. Give it up, folks. It's not going to happen any time soon. ARM chips do not have the power to handle mainstream computers. I guess it's conceivable that with Grand Central, they could design a system with 10 ARM chips that would do the work of a single i3, but I doubt if there would be any cost or performance advantage.
2. Ability to lock everyone else out. That would be just a bad move for the reasons given above.
Obviously, it has to make sense from a financial perspective. ARM's finances are not something particularly attractive now. Even at current share prices, they're trading at 10 times revenues or 80 times earnings - which is way too high. So Apple would have to be able to justify grossly overpaying in terms of the additional values listed above. From a purely financial perspective, it's a loser, but Apple has the money and may see that the added influence in the market would justify it.