Top 50 Posters Extrapolated, January 2016

Doctor Q · Jan 4, 2016

This is the 26th edition of my semi-annual analysis of the MacRumors Top 50 Posters.

Previous "Top 50 Posters Extrapolated" threads:

2003 (July); 2004 (January, July); 2005 (January, July); 2006 (January, July); 2007 (January, July); 2008 (January, July); 2009 (January, July); 2010 (January, July); 2011 (January, July); 2012 (January, July); 2013 (January, July); 2014 (January, July); 2015 (January, July)

The legend of column headings follows each chart. Measurements were taken yesterday (January 3, 2016).

Chart #1: Current Top 50 Posters

Computed by Doctor Q in January 2016

Code:

                      Cur     Cur   Prev  Delta
Rank  Current Top 50  Posts   Rate  Rank  Rank
----  --------------- ------  ----  ----  -----
1    GGJstudios      43,797   0.2    1     0
2    maflynn         43,696  23.4    2     0
3    GoCubsGo        35,599   0.1    3     0
4    Applejuiced     35,337   5.6    4     0
5    Doctor Q        33,434   1.9    5     0
6    mad jew         32,195   0.0    6     0
7    mkrishnan       29,631   0.0    7     0
8    Eidorian        29,009   0.4    8     0
9    rdowns          27,108   0.8    9     0
10    robbieduncan    24,480   0.0   10     0
11    Abstract        24,240   0.1   11     0
12    jsw             22,803   0.0   12     0
13    Mr. Anderson    22,411   0.0   13     0
14    C DM            22,346  29.6   37   +23
15    Blue Velvet     21,639   0.0   14    -1
16    Hellhammer      21,564   0.1   15    -1
17    MRU             21,000  10.6   27   +10
18    alphaod         20,880   0.2   16    -2
19    Dagless         20,811   1.6   17    -2
20    SandboxGeneral  20,776   6.9   21    +1
21    Weaselboy       19,861  11.3   33   +12
22    Jaffa Cake      19,801   0.0   18    -4
23    bartelby        19,790   0.0   19    -4
24    iGary           19,583   0.0   20    -4
25    MacNut          19,421   2.0   26    +1
26    miles01110      19,265   0.0   22    -4
27    PlaceofDis      19,232   0.0   23    -4
28    iBlue           19,175   0.0   24    -4
29    edesignuk       19,103   0.0   25    -4
30    Peace           18,383   1.2   30     0
31    ~Shard~         18,380   0.0   28    -3
32    balamw          18,355   2.3   31    -1
33    Intell          18,307   0.6   29    -4
34    MacDawg         17,999   0.5   32    -2
35    dukebound85     17,585   0.5   34    -1
36    DoFoT9          17,462   0.1   35    -1
37    Nermal          17,408   0.9   36    -1
38    -aggie-         16,700   0.0   38     0
39    wdlove          16,571   0.0   39     0
40    IJ Reilly       16,248   0.0   40     0
41    WildCowboy      15,927   0.4   42    +1
42    yellow          15,921   0.0   41    -1
43    sushi           15,630   0.0   43     0
44    devilot         15,532   0.0   44     0
45    dejo            15,499   1.8   46    +1
46    ucfgrad93       15,335   4.1  ---   ---
47    twoodcc         15,248   0.1   45    -2
48    samcraig        15,197   2.2  ---   ---
49    KnightWRX       15,043   0.0   48    -2
49    Surely          15,043   0.0   47    -2

Columns:

Rank = Position in order by post count, 1 (highest) to 50.
Current Top 50 = members with the 50 currently highest post counts.
Cur Posts = # of posts by that member.
Cur Rate = average # posts per day by that member over the last 6 months.
Prev Rank = previous rank, as of 6 months ago (July 2015), or "---" for those who are new to the Top 50.
Delta Rank = change in rank, i.e., # of slots +higher or -lower in rank since 6 months ago.

Observations

C DM and MRU have moved into the Top 20.
Weaselboy's post rate is 64% higher than SandboxGeneral's, and more than double his overall average since joining, but he didn't yet pass SandboxGeneral to reach the Top 20.
ucfgrad93 and samcraig are new to the Top 50.
jav6454 (active) and r.j.s (inactive) have dropped off the Top 50.
Nobody is in 50th place since inactive users KnightWRX and Surely tied for 49th place with 15,043 posts each.

Other stats and charts

Current Top 50 Posters (Chart #1, this post)
6-Month Projected Top 50 Posters (Chart #2)
"End of Time" Top 50 Posters (Chart #3)
Currently Active Top 50 Posters (Chart #4)
Membership counts

Apple fanboy · Jan 4, 2016

Doctor Q said:
This is the 26th edition of my semi-annual analysis of the MacRumors Top 50 Posters.

Previous "Top 50 Posters Extrapolated" threads:

2003 (July); 2004 (January, July); 2005 (January, July); 2006 (January, July); 2007 (January, July); 2008 (January, July); 2009 (January, July); 2010 (January, July); 2011 (January, July); 2012 (January, July); 2013 (January, July); 2014 (January, July); 2015 (January, July)

The legend of column headings follows each chart. Measurements were taken yesterday (January 3, 2016).

Chart #1: Current Top 50 Posters

Computed by Doctor Q in January 2016

Code:

Cur Cur Prev Delta Rank Current Top 50 Posts Rate Rank Rank ---- --------------- ------ ---- ---- ----- 1 GGJstudios 43,797 0.2 1 0 2 maflynn 43,696 23.4 2 0 3 GoCubsGo 35,599 0.1 3 0 4 Applejuiced 35,337 5.6 4 0 5 Doctor Q 33,434 1.9 5 0 6 mad jew 32,195 0.0 6 0 7 mkrishnan 29,631 0.0 7 0 8 Eidorian 29,009 0.4 8 0 9 rdowns 27,108 0.8 9 0 10 robbieduncan 24,480 0.0 10 0 11 Abstract 24,240 0.1 11 0 12 jsw 22,803 0.0 12 0 13 Mr. Anderson 22,411 0.0 13 0 14 C DM 22,346 29.6 37 +23 15 Blue Velvet 21,639 0.0 14 -1 16 Hellhammer 21,564 0.1 15 -1 17 MRU 21,000 10.6 27 +10 18 alphaod 20,880 0.2 16 -2 19 Dagless 20,811 1.6 17 -2 20 SandboxGeneral 20,776 6.9 21 +1 21 Weaselboy 19,861 11.3 33 +12 22 Jaffa Cake 19,801 0.0 18 -4 23 bartelby 19,790 0.0 19 -4 24 iGary 19,583 0.0 20 -4 25 MacNut 19,421 2.0 26 +1 26 miles01110 19,265 0.0 22 -4 27 PlaceofDis 19,232 0.0 23 -4 28 iBlue 19,175 0.0 24 -4 29 edesignuk 19,103 0.0 25 -4 30 Peace 18,383 1.2 30 0 31 ~Shard~ 18,380 0.0 28 -3 32 balamw 18,355 2.3 31 -1 33 Intell 18,307 0.6 29 -4 34 MacDawg 17,999 0.5 32 -2 35 dukebound85 17,585 0.5 34 -1 36 DoFoT9 17,462 0.1 35 -1 37 Nermal 17,408 0.9 36 -1 38 -aggie- 16,700 0.0 38 0 39 wdlove 16,571 0.0 39 0 40 IJ Reilly 16,248 0.0 40 0 41 WildCowboy 15,927 0.4 42 +1 42 yellow 15,921 0.0 41 -1 43 sushi 15,630 0.0 43 0 44 devilot 15,532 0.0 44 0 45 dejo 15,499 1.8 46 +1 46 ucfgrad93 15,335 4.1 --- --- 47 twoodcc 15,248 0.1 45 -2 48 samcraig 15,197 2.2 --- --- 49 KnightWRX 15,043 0.0 48 -2 49 Surely 15,043 0.0 47 -2

Columns:

Rank = Position in order by post count, 1 (highest) to 50.
Current Top 50 = members with the 50 currently highest post counts.
Cur Posts = # of posts by that member.
Cur Rate = average # posts per day by that member over the last 6 months.
Prev Rank = previous rank, as of 6 months ago (July 2015), or "---" for those who are new to the Top 50.
Delta Rank = change in rank, i.e., # of slots +higher or -lower in rank since 6 months ago.

Observations

C DM and MRU have moved into the Top 20.

Weaselboy's post rate is 64% higher than SandboxGeneral's, and more than double his overall average since joining, but he didn't yet pass SandboxGeneral to reach the Top 20.

ucfgrad93 and samcraig are new to the Top 50.

jav6454 (active) and r.j.s (inactive) have dropped off the Top 50.

Nobody is in 50th place since inactive users KnightWRX and Surely tied for 49th place with 15,043 posts each.

Other stats and charts

Current Top 50 Posters (Chart #1, this post)

Coming soon: 6-Month Projected Top 50 Posters (Chart #2)

Coming soon: "End of Time" Top 50 Posters (Chart #3)

Thanks Q. Interesting reading as always. Only another 5000 posts and I'll sneak in there!
Sad to see how many active members on the list who used to post so regular have moved on.
Oh well that's life I guess.
Look forward to the rest of your stats.

o0OBillO0o · Jan 4, 2016

Great insights!

Small requests, some insights to who posts the most text (words-in-a-post, average and absolute text) and maybe a "Word cloud" to what the top fifty talk about?

This way we could know who contributes the most (in text) and what they generally contribute (talk about).

Thanks.

stridemat · Jan 5, 2016

@maflynn. Looks like you might become the all time top poster before long

Scepticalscribe · Jan 5, 2016

Doctor Q said:
This is the 26th edition of my semi-annual analysis of the MacRumors Top 50 Posters.

Previous "Top 50 Posters Extrapolated" threads:

2003 (July); 2004 (January, July); 2005 (January, July); 2006 (January, July); 2007 (January, July); 2008 (January, July); 2009 (January, July); 2010 (January, July); 2011 (January, July); 2012 (January, July); 2013 (January, July); 2014 (January, July); 2015 (January, July)

The legend of column headings follows each chart. Measurements were taken yesterday (January 3, 2016).

Chart #1: Current Top 50 Posters

Computed by Doctor Q in January 2016

Code:

Cur Cur Prev Delta Rank Current Top 50 Posts Rate Rank Rank ---- --------------- ------ ---- ---- ----- 1 GGJstudios 43,797 0.2 1 0 2 maflynn 43,696 23.4 2 0 3 GoCubsGo 35,599 0.1 3 0 4 Applejuiced 35,337 5.6 4 0 5 Doctor Q 33,434 1.9 5 0 6 mad jew 32,195 0.0 6 0 7 mkrishnan 29,631 0.0 7 0 8 Eidorian 29,009 0.4 8 0 9 rdowns 27,108 0.8 9 0 10 robbieduncan 24,480 0.0 10 0 11 Abstract 24,240 0.1 11 0 12 jsw 22,803 0.0 12 0 13 Mr. Anderson 22,411 0.0 13 0 14 C DM 22,346 29.6 37 +23 15 Blue Velvet 21,639 0.0 14 -1 16 Hellhammer 21,564 0.1 15 -1 17 MRU 21,000 10.6 27 +10 18 alphaod 20,880 0.2 16 -2 19 Dagless 20,811 1.6 17 -2 20 SandboxGeneral 20,776 6.9 21 +1 21 Weaselboy 19,861 11.3 33 +12 22 Jaffa Cake 19,801 0.0 18 -4 23 bartelby 19,790 0.0 19 -4 24 iGary 19,583 0.0 20 -4 25 MacNut 19,421 2.0 26 +1 26 miles01110 19,265 0.0 22 -4 27 PlaceofDis 19,232 0.0 23 -4 28 iBlue 19,175 0.0 24 -4 29 edesignuk 19,103 0.0 25 -4 30 Peace 18,383 1.2 30 0 31 ~Shard~ 18,380 0.0 28 -3 32 balamw 18,355 2.3 31 -1 33 Intell 18,307 0.6 29 -4 34 MacDawg 17,999 0.5 32 -2 35 dukebound85 17,585 0.5 34 -1 36 DoFoT9 17,462 0.1 35 -1 37 Nermal 17,408 0.9 36 -1 38 -aggie- 16,700 0.0 38 0 39 wdlove 16,571 0.0 39 0 40 IJ Reilly 16,248 0.0 40 0 41 WildCowboy 15,927 0.4 42 +1 42 yellow 15,921 0.0 41 -1 43 sushi 15,630 0.0 43 0 44 devilot 15,532 0.0 44 0 45 dejo 15,499 1.8 46 +1 46 ucfgrad93 15,335 4.1 --- --- 47 twoodcc 15,248 0.1 45 -2 48 samcraig 15,197 2.2 --- --- 49 KnightWRX 15,043 0.0 48 -2 49 Surely 15,043 0.0 47 -2

Columns:

Rank = Position in order by post count, 1 (highest) to 50.
Current Top 50 = members with the 50 currently highest post counts.
Cur Posts = # of posts by that member.
Cur Rate = average # posts per day by that member over the last 6 months.
Prev Rank = previous rank, as of 6 months ago (July 2015), or "---" for those who are new to the Top 50.
Delta Rank = change in rank, i.e., # of slots +higher or -lower in rank since 6 months ago.

Observations

C DM and MRU have moved into the Top 20.

Weaselboy's post rate is 64% higher than SandboxGeneral's, and more than double his overall average since joining, but he didn't yet pass SandboxGeneral to reach the Top 20.

ucfgrad93 and samcraig are new to the Top 50.

jav6454 (active) and r.j.s (inactive) have dropped off the Top 50.

Nobody is in 50th place since inactive users KnightWRX and Surely tied for 49th place with 15,043 posts each.

Other stats and charts

Current Top 50 Posters (Chart #1, this post)

Coming soon: 6-Month Projected Top 50 Posters (Chart #2)

Coming soon: "End of Time" Top 50 Posters (Chart #3)

Only when I clicked 'reply' did the actual list of the 'top 50' show up. On the page, as a post, it cut after no 16 and did not display the full 50. Not sure whether that is what others see, or whether it is simply my computer's screen.

Anyway, thanks, @Doctor Q - for taking the time and the trouble to put all of this together. Oddly enough, I find stats such as this fascinating reading.

SandboxGeneral · Jan 5, 2016

Scepticalscribe said:
Only when I clicked 'reply' did the actual list of the 'top 50' show up. On the page, as a post, it cut after no 16 and did not display the full 50. Not sure whether that is what others see, or whether it is simply my computer's screen.

Anyway, thanks, @Doctor Q - for taking the time and the trouble to put all of this together. Oddly enough, I find stats such as this fascinating reading.

Move your cursor over the chart and then scroll; its dynamic and separate from the scrolling of the page.

MacDawg · Jan 5, 2016

Scepticalscribe said:
Only when I clicked 'reply' did the actual list of the 'top 50' show up. On the page, as a post, it cut after no 16 and did not display the full 50. Not sure whether that is what others see, or whether it is simply my computer's screen.

Anyway, thanks, @Doctor Q - for taking the time and the trouble to put all of this together. Oddly enough, I find stats such as this fascinating reading.

I see it as a scrolling window that allows you to scroll down and see the remaining users on the list

Scepticalscribe · Jan 5, 2016

SandboxGeneral said:
Move your cursor over the chart and then scroll; its dynamic and separate from the scrolling of the page.

MacDawg said:
I see it as a scrolling window that allows you to scroll down and see the remaining users on the list

Bravo, thanks to both of you, @MacDawg, and @SandboxGeneral. Much appreciated - that worked - and no, it never occurred to me that it might be a scrolling entry.

Anyway, thank you both for your replies: I can see the full page now.

ucfgrad93 · Jan 5, 2016

Doctor Q said:
This is the 26th edition of my semi-annual analysis of the MacRumors Top 50 Posters.

Previous "Top 50 Posters Extrapolated" threads:

2003 (July); 2004 (January, July); 2005 (January, July); 2006 (January, July); 2007 (January, July); 2008 (January, July); 2009 (January, July); 2010 (January, July); 2011 (January, July); 2012 (January, July); 2013 (January, July); 2014 (January, July); 2015 (January, July)

The legend of column headings follows each chart. Measurements were taken yesterday (January 3, 2016).

Chart #1: Current Top 50 Posters

Computed by Doctor Q in January 2016

Code:

Cur Cur Prev Delta Rank Current Top 50 Posts Rate Rank Rank ---- --------------- ------ ---- ---- ----- 1 GGJstudios 43,797 0.2 1 0 2 maflynn 43,696 23.4 2 0 3 GoCubsGo 35,599 0.1 3 0 4 Applejuiced 35,337 5.6 4 0 5 Doctor Q 33,434 1.9 5 0 6 mad jew 32,195 0.0 6 0 7 mkrishnan 29,631 0.0 7 0 8 Eidorian 29,009 0.4 8 0 9 rdowns 27,108 0.8 9 0 10 robbieduncan 24,480 0.0 10 0 11 Abstract 24,240 0.1 11 0 12 jsw 22,803 0.0 12 0 13 Mr. Anderson 22,411 0.0 13 0 14 C DM 22,346 29.6 37 +23 15 Blue Velvet 21,639 0.0 14 -1 16 Hellhammer 21,564 0.1 15 -1 17 MRU 21,000 10.6 27 +10 18 alphaod 20,880 0.2 16 -2 19 Dagless 20,811 1.6 17 -2 20 SandboxGeneral 20,776 6.9 21 +1 21 Weaselboy 19,861 11.3 33 +12 22 Jaffa Cake 19,801 0.0 18 -4 23 bartelby 19,790 0.0 19 -4 24 iGary 19,583 0.0 20 -4 25 MacNut 19,421 2.0 26 +1 26 miles01110 19,265 0.0 22 -4 27 PlaceofDis 19,232 0.0 23 -4 28 iBlue 19,175 0.0 24 -4 29 edesignuk 19,103 0.0 25 -4 30 Peace 18,383 1.2 30 0 31 ~Shard~ 18,380 0.0 28 -3 32 balamw 18,355 2.3 31 -1 33 Intell 18,307 0.6 29 -4 34 MacDawg 17,999 0.5 32 -2 35 dukebound85 17,585 0.5 34 -1 36 DoFoT9 17,462 0.1 35 -1 37 Nermal 17,408 0.9 36 -1 38 -aggie- 16,700 0.0 38 0 39 wdlove 16,571 0.0 39 0 40 IJ Reilly 16,248 0.0 40 0 41 WildCowboy 15,927 0.4 42 +1 42 yellow 15,921 0.0 41 -1 43 sushi 15,630 0.0 43 0 44 devilot 15,532 0.0 44 0 45 dejo 15,499 1.8 46 +1 46 ucfgrad93 15,335 4.1 --- --- 47 twoodcc 15,248 0.1 45 -2 48 samcraig 15,197 2.2 --- --- 49 KnightWRX 15,043 0.0 48 -2 49 Surely 15,043 0.0 47 -2

Columns:

Rank = Position in order by post count, 1 (highest) to 50.
Current Top 50 = members with the 50 currently highest post counts.
Cur Posts = # of posts by that member.
Cur Rate = average # posts per day by that member over the last 6 months.
Prev Rank = previous rank, as of 6 months ago (July 2015), or "---" for those who are new to the Top 50.
Delta Rank = change in rank, i.e., # of slots +higher or -lower in rank since 6 months ago.

Observations

C DM and MRU have moved into the Top 20.

Weaselboy's post rate is 64% higher than SandboxGeneral's, and more than double his overall average since joining, but he didn't yet pass SandboxGeneral to reach the Top 20.

ucfgrad93 and samcraig are new to the Top 50.

jav6454 (active) and r.j.s (inactive) have dropped off the Top 50.

Nobody is in 50th place since inactive users KnightWRX and Surely tied for 49th place with 15,043 posts each.

Other stats and charts

Current Top 50 Posters (Chart #1, this post)

Coming soon: 6-Month Projected Top 50 Posters (Chart #2)

Coming soon: "End of Time" Top 50 Posters (Chart #3)

As always, thanks for the work you put in to show these stats. It is very interesting to see them.

Doctor Q · Jan 5, 2016

6-Month Projections

Chart #2: 6-Month Projected Top 50 Posters

Computed by Doctor Q in January 2016

Code:

Proj  Projection      Proj    Cur   Delta
Rank  Jul 4, 2016     Posts   Rank  Rank
----  --------------- ------  ----  -----
 1    maflynn         47,987    2    +1
 2    GGJstudios      43,831    1    -1
 3    Applejuiced     36,362    4    +1
 4    GoCubsGo        35,611    3    -1
 5    Doctor Q        33,776    5     0
 6    mad jew         32,195    6     0
 7    mkrishnan       29,632    7     0
 8    Eidorian        29,087    8     0
 9    C DM            27,764   14    +5
10    rdowns          27,252    9    -1
11    robbieduncan    24,480   10    -1
12    Abstract        24,251   11    -1
13    MRU             22,939   17    +4
14    jsw             22,803   12    -2
15    Mr. Anderson    22,411   13    -2
16    SandboxGeneral  22,042   20    +4
17    Weaselboy       21,926   21    +4
18    Blue Velvet     21,646   15    -3
19    Hellhammer      21,579   16    -3
20    Dagless         21,101   19    -1
21    alphaod         20,915   18    -3
22    Jaffa Cake      19,803   22     0
23    bartelby        19,790   23     0
24    MacNut          19,778   25    +1
25    iGary           19,583   24    -1
26    miles01110      19,265   26     0
27    PlaceofDis      19,232   27     0
28    iBlue           19,175   28     0
29    edesignuk       19,103   29     0
30    balamw          18,780   32    +2
31    Peace           18,598   30    -1
32    Intell          18,418   33    +1
33    ~Shard~         18,389   31    -2
34    MacDawg         18,090   34     0
35    dukebound85     17,678   35     0
36    Nermal          17,573   37    +1
37    DoFoT9          17,479   36    -1
38    Rogifan         16,836  ---   ---
39    Scepticalscribe 16,763  ---   ---
40    -aggie-         16,700   38    -2
41    wdlove          16,571   39    -2
42    IJ Reilly       16,256   40    -2
43    ucfgrad93       16,089   46    +3
44    WildCowboy      16,003   41    -3
45    yellow          15,921   42    -3
46    dejo            15,819   45    -1
47    sushi           15,630   43    -4
48    samcraig        15,596   48     0
49    devilot         15,532   44    -5
50    twoodcc         15,262   47    -3

Columns:

Proj Rank = Projected position in order by post count, 1 (highest) to 50.
Projection Jul 4, 2016 = members with the 50 highest projected post counts based on current post count and rate for the last 6 months.
Proj Posts = projected # of posts by that member.
Cur Rank = current rank, as of January 2016 (see Chart #1 above), or "---" for those who are not in the current Top 50.
Delta Rank = projected change in rank, i.e., # of slots +higher or -lower in rank over the next 6 months.

Observations

maflynn is projected to take over the top spot from GGJstudios.
Applejuiced is projected to take the #3 spot from GoCubsGo.
Rogifan AND Scepticalscribe are projected to join the Top 50.
KnightWRX and Surely are projected to drop off the list.
By the projection, alphaod will be the only member with over 20,000 posts but not in the Top 20.
The inactive bot named MacBytes is not included, but would rank #43 right now and would be projected at #46 in 6 months.
In a Top 100, arn would rank #60 right now and would be projected at #63 in 6 months.

Scepticalscribe · Jan 5, 2016

Doctor Q said:
6-Month Projections

Chart #2: 6-Month Projected Top 50 Posters

Computed by Doctor Q in January 2016

Code:

Proj Projection Proj Cur Delta Rank Jul 4, 2016 Posts Rank Rank ---- --------------- ------ ---- ----- 1 maflynn 47,987 2 +1 2 GGJstudios 43,831 1 -1 3 Applejuiced 36,362 4 +1 4 GoCubsGo 35,611 3 -1 5 Doctor Q 33,776 5 0 6 mad jew 32,195 6 0 7 mkrishnan 29,632 7 0 8 Eidorian 29,087 8 0 9 C DM 27,764 14 +5 10 rdowns 27,252 9 -1 11 robbieduncan 24,480 10 -1 12 Abstract 24,251 11 -1 13 MRU 22,939 17 +4 14 jsw 22,803 12 -2 15 Mr. Anderson 22,411 13 -2 16 SandboxGeneral 22,042 20 +4 17 Weaselboy 21,926 21 +4 18 Blue Velvet 21,646 15 -3 19 Hellhammer 21,579 16 -3 20 Dagless 21,101 19 -1 21 alphaod 20,915 18 -3 22 Jaffa Cake 19,803 22 0 23 bartelby 19,790 23 0 24 MacNut 19,778 25 +1 25 iGary 19,583 24 -1 26 miles01110 19,265 26 0 27 PlaceofDis 19,232 27 0 28 iBlue 19,175 28 0 29 edesignuk 19,103 29 0 30 balamw 18,780 32 +2 31 Peace 18,598 30 -1 32 Intell 18,418 33 +1 33 ~Shard~ 18,389 31 -2 34 MacDawg 18,090 34 0 35 dukebound85 17,678 35 0 36 Nermal 17,573 37 +1 37 DoFoT9 17,479 36 -1 38 Rogifan 16,836 --- --- 39 Scepticalscribe 16,763 --- --- 40 -aggie- 16,700 38 -2 41 wdlove 16,571 39 -2 42 IJ Reilly 16,256 40 -2 43 ucfgrad93 16,089 46 +3 44 WildCowboy 16,003 41 -3 45 yellow 15,921 42 -3 46 dejo 15,819 45 -1 47 sushi 15,630 43 -4 48 samcraig 15,596 48 0 49 devilot 15,532 44 -5 50 twoodcc 15,262 47 -3

Columns:

Proj Rank = Projected position in order by post count, 1 (highest) to 50.

Projection Jul 4, 2016 = members with the 50 highest projected post counts based on current post count and rate for the last 6 months.

Proj Posts = projected # of posts by that member.

Cur Rank = current rank, as of January 2016 (see Chart #1 above), or "---" for those who are not in the current Top 50.

Delta Rank = projected change in rank, i.e., # of slots +higher or -lower in rank over the next 6 months.

Observations

maflynn is projected to take over the top spot from GGJstudios.

Applejuiced is projected to take the #3 spot from GoCubsGo.

Rogifan AND Scepticalscribe are projected to join the Top 50.

KnightWRX and Surely are projected to drop off the list.

By the projection, alphaod will be the only member with over 20,000 posts but not in the Top 20.

The inactive bot named MacBytes is not included, but would rank #43 right now and would be projected at #46 in 6 months.

In a Top 100, arn would rank #60 right now and would be projected at #63 in 6 months.

Very nice job with the number-crunching @Doctor Q; as always, extremely interesting to read.

Doctor Q · Jan 5, 2016

"End of Time" Top 50 Posters

Chart #3: "End of Time" Top 50 Posters

Computed by Doctor Q in January 2016

Code:

Proj  Projection      Weighted  Cur   Delta  Last  Delta
Rank  End of Time       Rate    Rank  Rank   EOT    EOT
----  --------------  --------  ----  -----  ----  -----
 1    maflynn           24.37     2     +1     1      0
 2    C DM              23.97    14    +12     2      0
 3    Scepticalscribe   14.35   ---    ---     7     +4
 4    Newtons Apple     14.19   ---    ---     5     +1
 5    Rogifan           12.04   ---    ---     3     -2
 6    Weaselboy         11.89    21    +15     4     -2
 7    eyoungren         11.66   ---    ---    12     +5
 8    Apple fanboy       9.83   ---    ---    13     +5
 9    MRU                9.17    17     +8    14     +5
10    SandboxGeneral     9.09    20    +10     6     -4
11    JayLenochiniMac    8.68   ---    ---    10     -1
12    I7guy              7.69   ---    ---   ---    ---
13    mattopotamus       7.51   ---    ---    15     +2
14    sunking101         7.28   ---    ---   ---    ---
15    The Doctor11       7.11   ---    ---   ---    ---
16    Applejuiced        6.81     4    -12    11     -5
17    Altemose           6.60   ---    ---     8     -9
18    Meister            6.32   ---    ---   ---    ---
19    Max(IT)            6.22   ---    ---    47    +28
20    Huntn              6.15   ---    ---    18     -2
21    KPOM               5.96   ---    ---    17     -4
22    Armen              5.82   ---    ---   ---    ---
23    lordofthereef      5.65   ---    ---    29     +6
24    Michael Goff       5.59   ---    ---    25     +1
25    tiggger            5.32   ---    ---    42    +17
26    Gav2k              5.26   ---    ---    48    +22
27    batting1000        5.26   ---    ---    34     +7
28    Tech198            5.03   ---    ---    35     +7
29    Traverse           4.95   ---    ---   ---    ---
30    Night Spring       4.84   ---    ---    24     -6
31    HenryDJP           4.43   ---    ---   ---    ---
32    ucfgrad93          4.41    46    +14    23     -9
33    cynics             4.31   ---    ---    28     -5
34    OllyW              4.29   ---    ---    26     -8
35    Renzatic           4.10   ---    ---    27     -8
36    Intell             4.05    33     -3    16    -20
37    Technarchy         3.91   ---    ---   ---    ---
38    kdarling           3.85   ---    ---    20    -18
39    jamezr             3.81   ---    ---   ---    ---
40    The Game 161       3.79   ---    ---   ---    ---
41    samcraig           3.66    48     +7    21    -20
42    apolloa            3.64   ---    ---   ---    ---
43    Julien             3.61   ---    ---   ---    ---
44    AppleScruff1       3.44   ---    ---    22    -22
45    T5BRICK            3.40   ---    ---   ---    ---
46    Jessica Lares      3.33   ---    ---    31    -15
47    AustinIllini       3.30   ---    ---   ---    ---
48    firedept           3.30   ---    ---   ---    ---
49    spinedoc77         3.27   ---    ---   ---    ---
50    Fishrrman          3.13   ---    ---   ---    ---

Columns:

Proj Rank = Projected position in order by post count, 1 (highest) to 50.
Projection End of Time = members with the 50 highest projected post counts as time goes to infinity, based on a computed post rate.
Weighted Rate = # posts per day by that member as a cascading weighted average, giving 50% weight to the most recent 6 months, 25% to the previous 6 months, 12.5% to the previous 6 months, and so on, with adjustments made based on the length of membership.
Cur Rank = current rank as of January 2016 (Chart 1), or "---" for those who are not in the current Top 50.
Delta Rank = projected change in rank, i.e., # of slots +higher or -lower in rank from now until the end of time.
Last EOT = rank in End of Time projections from 6 months ago (July 2015, Chart #3), or "---" for those who were not in the previous End of Time Top 50.
Delta EOT = change in rank from End of Time projection 6 months ago to End of Time projection now.

These are the true "top posters" at MacRumors since they currently make the most posts over any given time period.

Observations

Only 9 of 50 members in the Top 50 End of Time are among the current Top 50 posters, showing the major difference between post count and post rate.
maflynn and C DM are clear leaders over all other forum members, with maflynn having a slight edge, but a fluctuation in either post rate could easily switch the lead. On average, they each make one post per hour, around the clock.
Compared with the End of Time projections from 6 months ago, the users in slots 3 through 7 have stayed bascially the same, but with a change in order, as Newtons Apple edged out Rogifan and Weaselboy, and Scepticalscribe passed all three. SandboxGeneral, formerly number 6, has maintained the 9 posts/day rate required to be in the Top 10 End of Time.
eyoungren, Apple fanboy, and MRU move in lockstep. Formerly #12, #13, and #14, they are now #7, #8 and #9, pushing JayLenochiniMac out of the Top 10.
Of users in the End of Time list from 6 months ago, Max(IT) has moved up the most (28 slots). Previously near the very bottom of the list, he's now in the Top 20.
Gav2k moved up 22 slots, just missing the Top 25.
The largest drop (22 slots) was AppleScruff1, making only 326 posts in the last 6 months (weighted post rate 3.44), compared with 901 in the previous 6 months (weighted post rate 5.12). Intell and samcraig each dropped 20 slots.
If you don't have at least 3 comments to make each day, you won't make the list. The minimum post rate required for the End of Time Top 50 has increased from 2.78 posts/day to 3.13 posts/day.
Only one member with a weighted post rate over 3 posts/day missed the End of Time Top 50. That was shandyman, with a rate of 3.06 posts/day.
The longest memberships among the End of Time Top 50 belong to users who joined in 2005: Weaselboy (January), MRU (August), and OllyW (October).
Newtons Apple continues to be the Top 50 End of Time member with the shortest forum membership: 21.8 months.
If we expanded the list to the Top 100 End of Time, arn would be #90. I'd be #56.

mobilehaathi · Jan 5, 2016

Given the very large number of top 50 posters with 0 mean posts per day, I wonder if you'd consider tracking the top 50 posters who also have a mean posts per day greater than 0. Well, more like greater than 0.01 (or some small threshold), since anyone who has posted at least once will have a nonzero mean.

Scepticalscribe · Jan 5, 2016

mobilehaathi said:
Given the very large number of top 50 posters with 0 mean posts per day, I wonder if you'd consider tracking the top 50 posters who also have a mean posts per day greater than 0. Well, more like greater than 0.01 (or some small threshold), since anyone who has posted at least once will have a nonzero mean.

There are a number of names in the Top 50 whom I have never seen online; but it is equally clear that - at some stage - a number of them were extraordinarily prolific posters in the early days. For a variety of reasons, many of them have left or are no longer actively involved in the community.

However, I am a lot more familiar with the names on the second and third lists - most of whom I recognise.

Doctor Q · Jan 5, 2016

o0OBillO0o said:
Small requests, some insights to who posts the most text (words-in-a-post, average and absolute text) and maybe a "Word cloud" to what the top fifty talk about?

I don't have a way to measure post size or capture text statistics, but I can say what I've observed informally: that the top posters aren't merely firing off trivial posts all day. They spend more total time at the site and post a mixture of short comments and longer comments that they've put quite a bit of thought into. I'm a good example. I'm quick with a joke, but I sometimes spend hours composing an important post. Not to mention threads like this, where I spend a couple of days preparing a few posts.

When the user named mad jew was the top poster, he was almost always helping other users by giving technical advice in his posts. I don't know how he did it, but we sure appreciated it. What we appreciate now is how engaged our top posters are with our corner of the online community, and how willing they are to discuss just about anything with anybody.

mobilehaathi said:
Given the very large number of top 50 posters with 0 mean posts per day, I wonder if you'd consider tracking the top 50 posters who also have a mean posts per day greater than 0. Well, more like greater than 0.01 (or some small threshold), since anyone who has posted at least once will have a nonzero mean.

Good idea. I'll collect what I need to post that list.

MacNut · Jan 5, 2016

Scepticalscribe said:
There are a number of names in the Top 50 whom I have never seen online; but it is equally clear that - at some stage - a number of them were extraordinarily prolific posters in the early days. For a variety of reasons, many of them have left or are no longer actively involved in the community.

However, I am a lot more familiar with the names on the second and third lists - most of whom I recognise.

I'm the reverse, there are a lot of new names I have never heard of. But those "old timers" are people I chatted with regularly. I guess that's what happens when you have been here 14 years.

Doctor Q · Jan 5, 2016

Chart #4: Currently Active Top 50 Posters

These users have posted in the last 6 months.

Computed by Doctor Q in January 2016

Code:

Rank  Active Top 50    Cur Posts
----  ---------------  ---------
 1    GGJstudios        43,797
 2    maflynn           43,696
 3    GoCubsGo          35,599
 4    Applejuiced       35,337
 5    Doctor Q          33,434
 6    mkrishnan         29,631
 7    Eidorian          29,009
 8    rdowns            27,108
 9    Abstract          24,240
10    C DM              22,346
11    Blue Velvet       21,639
12    Hellhammer        21,564
13    MRU               21,000
14    alphaod           20,880
15    Dagless           20,811
16    SandboxGeneral    20,776
17    Weaselboy         19,861
18    Jaffa Cake        19,801
19    MacNut            19,421
20    Peace             18,383
21    ~Shard~           18,380
22    balamw            18,355
23    Intell            18,307
24    MacDawg           17,999
25    dukebound85       17,585
26    DoFoT9            17,462
27    Nermal            17,408
28    IJ Reilly         16,248
29    WildCowboy        15,927
30    dejo              15,499
31    ucfgrad93         15,335
32    twoodcc           15,248
33    samcraig          15,197
34    jav6454           14,908
35    Sun Baked         14,827
36    Rogifan           14,746
37    yg17              14,660
38    gnasher729        14,542
39    AidenShaw         14,361
40    kdarling          13,772
41    arn               13,441
42    Scepticalscribe   13,269
43    Consultant        13,265
44    OllyW             13,253
45    Macman45          13,076
46    CanadaRAM         12,419
47    nagromme          12,350
48    Lord Blackadder   12,048
49    wrldwzrd89        11,970
50    Chundles          11,885

Columns:

Rank = Position in order by post count, 1 (highest) to 50.
Active Top 50 = members with the 50 currently highest post counts among those who have posted in the last 6 months.
Cur Posts = # of posts by that member.

SkyBell · Jan 5, 2016

Doctor Q said:
I don't have a way to measure post size or capture text statistics, but I can say what I've observed informally: that the top posters aren't merely firing off trivial posts all day. They spend more total time at the site and post a mixture of short comments and longer comments that they've put quite a bit of thought into. I'm a good example. I'm quick with a joke, but I sometimes spend hours composing an important post. Not to mention threads like this, where I spend a couple of days preparing a few posts.

When the user named mad jew was the top poster, he was almost always helping other users by giving technical advice in his posts. I don't know how he did it, but we sure appreciated it.

I do sorely miss mad jew. He had some of the best posts I've ever seen, and so many of them. Actually, there's a number of posters on that list I miss that have come and gone, some of them within my own length of membership.

It's nearly unbelievable to me that this September will be my 10th year at MR; there's been a lot of change, a lot of turmoil as well as a lot of great memories and events in that decade. This top 50 list will always be one of my favorites. Just like MacNut (14 years on here! Crazy stuff

) said, there's a good number of names on the list, and especially the end of time list, that I don't know at all. I guess this community is too big now to really know all the posters, even if they are prolific ones. I wonder how many members there are now compared to when I joined in 2006? Anyway, I'm also not as big a part here as I once was. If I had kept up my posting in recent years to the levels of my first couple years, I would probably myself be somewhere on that list.

But I guess only the members of true posting prestige make the cut.

Still glad be here. Best wishes to all those on the list and of mention, and thanks @Doctor Q to for putting this together once again; your tireless (tired?) efforts are not in vain.

Doctor Q · Jan 5, 2016

SkyBell said:
I wonder how many members there are now compared to when I joined in 2006?

If we count forum registrations, there were 82,813 when you joined in September 2006, and now there are 1,011,525. So about 92% of current members joined after you did, and 99% joined after I did (September 2002).

maflynn · Jan 6, 2016

Thanks Q, those statistics are informative and entertaining

Scepticalscribe · Jan 6, 2016

SkyBell said:
I do sorely miss mad jew. He had some of the best posts I've ever seen, and so many of them. Actually, there's a number of posters on that list I miss that have come and gone, some of them within my own length of membership.

It's nearly unbelievable to me that this September will be my 10th year at MR; there's been a lot of change, a lot of turmoil as well as a lot of great memories and events in that decade. This top 50 list will always be one of my favorites. Just like MacNut (14 years on here! Crazy stuff ) said, there's a good number of names on the list, and especially the end of time list, that I don't know at all. I guess this community is too big now to really know all the posters, even if they are prolific ones. I wonder how many members there are now compared to when I joined in 2006? Anyway, I'm also not as big a part here as I once was. If I had kept up my posting in recent years to the levels of my first couple years, I would probably myself be somewhere on that list.

But I guess only the members of true posting prestige make the cut. Still glad be here. Best wishes to all those on the list and of mention, and thanks @Doctor Q to for putting this together once again; your tireless (tired?) efforts are not in vain.

Re prolific posters, it is entirely possible that you won't spot them if you don't hang out where they do.

On principle - a principle I may have to temporarily suspend as I am contemplating purchasing an iPhone sometime later this year - I stay well away from the iPhone sub-fora, and the iWatch stuff, not to mention Apple TV.

That means that I am not remotely familiar with anything that goes on in those exceedingly busy sections of the forum.

On a separate matter, @Doctor Q - - and fantastic work producing these endlessly fascinating statistics - a matter I know I have raised this before. What are the percentage breakdowns of members and number of posts? I seem to recall reading ages ago that around 90% of the membership make a angle post, or post fewer than ten posts.

Anyway, I'd be curious to see what the breakdowns are in the various membership categories; I'd imagine that it is like one of those demographic models shaped a bit like a triangle.

rhett7660 · Jan 6, 2016

maflynn said:
Thanks Q, those statistics are informative and entertaining

You are >-----< that close to taking over the top spot!!! Holy smokes that is a lot of posts!

@Doctor Q

Excellent job as always with putting these charts together! Always fun to read through.

maflynn · Jan 6, 2016

rhett7660 said:
You are >-----< that close to taking over the top spot!!! Holy smokes that is a lot of posts!

@Doctor Q

Excellent job as always with putting these charts together! Always fun to read through.

Yeah, evidently I don't have a life, but strangely I do. Most of my activities are in the morning, and as the day wears on my interaction decreases to the point where I'm rarely online at night.

Apple fanboy · Jan 6, 2016

maflynn said:
Yeah, evidently I don't have a life, but strangely I do. Most of my activities are in the morning, and as the day wears on my interaction decreases to the point where I'm rarely online at night.

Top spot couldn't go to a nicer chap!
Is there a prize?
I bet we could russle you up a nice MR hat or t-shirt!

Scepticalscribe · Jan 6, 2016

rhett7660 said:
You are >-----< that close to taking over the top spot!!! Holy smokes that is a lot of posts!

@Doctor Q

Excellent job as always with putting these charts together! Always fun to read through.

Agreed. And yes, that is quite a lot of posts. An astonishing amount of posts, to be honest.

maflynn said:
Yeah, evidently I don't have a life, but strangely I do. Most of my activities are in the morning, and as the day wears on my interaction decreases to the point where I'm rarely online at night.

I find that it - participation - ebbs and flows, and life commitments can either curtail, inhibit or enhance one's rate of participation. There was a time when I almost entirely dropped out of MR for several months - as a result of one particular posting where I worked abroad for over two years. Other positions have left me with more time. These days, I am active and participate more than I ever thought would have been the case.

Apple fanboy said:
Top spot couldn't go to a nicer chap!
Is there a prize?
I bet we could russle you up a nice MR hat or t-shirt!

Perhaps, a polo shirt, nice and black.

Top 50 Posters Extrapolated, January 2016

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