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I think there's a point that a lot of people are missing in terms of sales projections. A very large % of iPod sales go to existing owners either for themselves or for gifts. I just can't see nearly as many people buying iPhone as gifts with the $70/month + contract. I mean, talk about the gift that keeps on giving! It's like giving someone a pet for Christmas - the up front cost is nothing compared to the continual monetary obligation.

Also - I REALLY doubt that there are going to be any people walking around with 2 iPhones in hand. I'd say the big push isn't going to be next year - it's going to be July 2010 - i.e. when all those contracts expire and people are eligible for a new subsidized phone. (Well, or whenever you are eligible for an upgrade, I think since the iPhone plans are so d@mn expensive you'll probably be eligible after 18 months but that still leans toward 2010 being the big "re-buy" year).
 
well, that's not exactly true.

Movistar in Spain is playing the hide-and-seek game of marketing. They have said nought about hw much the tariffs or the iphone itself will cost.

Instead the put a website where you could fill in a form to request information about the iPhone as soon as it is made public.

The 300,000 pre-order number is false. It just means 300,000 people filled in such form.

Looking back at the monopolistic nature of Telefonica in spain, I'm sure the tariffs will be expensive and unrealistic, and hence out of those 300,000 insteredted, the real number of sold iphone will be, definitely, much lower indeed.

It really pisses Spaniards off when they see the ADSL or mobile tariffs Telefonica has in the UK, when compared to those they offer in their mother country.

Telefónica is just a rip-off company in Spain and all of South America.
 
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