There are some variables between China and the United States that make it less clear-cut than “a few months there means a few months here.” China locked people in their homes and fought hard to restrict COVID-19 to the Hubei province to the extent possible. As for the U.S., the virus is already widespread in multiple highly populated states, and good luck convincing the federal government to ever dare try locking residents in their homes. State governments, far more strapped for cash than the federal government, have been forced to take the initiative on COVID-19 in the face of a federal government that didn’t start caring until far too late.
Given the factors unique to the U.S., I’d hazard a guess that it’ll take somewhere around 6 months at least to either fully adjust to a new normal or return to an old normal…and that could be optimistic. The disease’s spread outside densely populated areas is going to be slow but especially painful, I fear, owing to the state of rural health care in the United States.
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If we were actually testing people at the rate other countries are, we’d most likely have far more confirmed cases. It’s a shame that the federal government is more concerned with controlling the narrative than gathering accurate information.
The Ohio Department of Health estimates that as many as 100,000 Ohioans could be carrying the virus.