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Fabs are eye-wateringly expensive to build and difficult to run. The reason there are so few of them is because they only work due to economies of scale—serving the needs of many customers, not just one, and the ability to shift both customers and methods as markets require. Apple owning its own fabs would allow none of this.

Apple's entire structure as a company is based on outsourcing of manufacture. Choosing literally the most fraught and expensive possible thing to in-source is not based in any kind of economic, practical, or business reality.
100% this. Apple would never recoup the cost to build a fab vs. simply paying TSMC or Samsung or Intel or whichever fab company they choose whatever premium is charged by those companies.

A few weeks ago the forums lost their mind over the rumor that Apple might use Intel as a fab for future A or M series chips using Intel’s Angstrom process nodes. (Due to most people equating anything Intel does with x86). But this is an incredibly useful strategic partnership because it provides a negotiating point against TSMC and their increasingly higher fab costs. Competition is good and we should be rooting for Intel to get its act together and for Samsung to catch up and for TSMC to keep doing its thing so that no one company can dominate the fab market.
 
Ah didn’t know that. So Apple are just wanting to spec their own components.

Apple designs and closely oversees (ie. controls) the manufacturing of their custom components rather than just buying off-the-shelf components.

It's a careful balancing act.

Sure wish they'd move towards more 3D printing and have their own factories.
 
It’s crazy but based on what I’ve seen from Apple over the last few years every major component in their products will be manufactured by them.

We’re already seeing this with the C1/C1x and N1 chips.
they don't manufacturer as they don't have the machines to do it. They only designed many components.
 
The AI induced chip shortage is shaping up to be more damaging than the covid induced chip shortage. I wonder how long before other industries like auto are hit.

Unless they shut down and reconfigure the older fab plants that produce auto chips, not much. AI companies aren't interested in older chips or chips based on older processes.

The infotainment systems, however...
 
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Eventually a company so vertically integrated like Apple will have to build their own fabs. Real men have fabs, like Jerry Sanders used to say. Their reliance on TSMC and Samsung is economically unsound.
This has worked out so well for Intel. /s
 
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Samsung has announced it will not meet demands and will jack up the price instead. So good luck to Apple relying on Samsung.

And Apple has no leverage as the AI industry pays overinflated prices for RAM modules, while Apple pays peanuts.

Micron has even announced it is quiting the consumer business as it is simply not as profitable as AI.
 
After decades of apple charging double or more for ram prices it should be criminal for them to charge even more now. They deserve to eat the costs.
 
This is an interesting time, MacOS 26.2 enables faster data transfer via thunderbolt 5 viable to the point where Mac Studios can cluster for ML tasks, while not as performant yet as a single high end Nvida Blackwell data center card, a cluster of M5 Ultras would get much closer and be much more affordable while consuming a ton of less power. If Apple can somehow finagle their way through this and get better API support for their hardware (like better attention mechanism without needing custom metal shaders, etc or maybe re-unite with Chris Lattner's new mojo language (hardware agnostic ML stacks)), they could be an AI data center leader in the space.

(I built an ML PC a few months ago with 128GB of 6000MT/s DDR5, I didn't realize it would be an investment, building that same thing now would cost substantially more. )

--

Soooo... should I buy that M4 Studio I've been diligently planing with a healthy dose of delayed gratification or risk q2 waiting for the M5?

I'm in this boat too, I've been waiting for the M5 Ultra Mac Studio as my next Mac upgrade, I priced out the M3 w/the options (256GB RAM, biggest CPU, 2TB) and it was around $7,500, which I thought for what I hoped to be a 4 - 7 year computer was just barely acceptable.

I hope the M5 still works for me even at the 96GB option when it releases.
 
“According to the report, Apple's hardware is particularly sensitive to momentary voltage spikes, which are not well accommodated by its latest chips, including the A19 and A19 Pro. This places additional pressure on memory suppliers to deliver components that perform identically across very large production runs.”

This does not make a lot of sense author. DRAM is not supplied by the same supplies as the A-series SoC.

Did Apple forget about decoupling capacitors ? Either on chip or off chip ?
 
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I predict price rises across Apples devices next year as the squeeze hits even harder. But that is what you get for Ai....
 
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I am going to ask ChatGPT where to source cheaper DRAM.

Maybe Siri can help too.

Maybe Siri combined with ChatGPT can come up with a solution. Like the DC Power Twins.
 
I am going to ask ChatGPT where to source cheaper DRAM.

Maybe Siri can help too.

Maybe Siri combined with ChatGPT can come up with a solution. Like the DC Power Twins.
ChatGPT is the “Dolly Madison” snack cake of AI. Siri is “Little Debbie”. You know….the little sister of Dolly Madison who the family keeps in the basement and never really talks about.
 
But butt... AI was gonna be our savior no...? 🥺 (🙄)

Billionaire techbros need to drop their drugs and maaaybe progress beyond the brain of a 2 year old and start thinking that there are others (🤯) in the world besides themselves and their desperate unceasing ambitions who might just also need some basic technology in their lives in the year 2025. Crazy concept I know!!
 
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It’s crazy but based on what I’ve seen from Apple over the last few years every major component in their products will be manufactured by them.

We’re already seeing this with the C1/C1x and N1 chips.
Apple does not manufacture anything. They design the chips but they use foundries (TSMC) to manufacture them. That's not going to change.
 
So if Apple charges $200 for an 8MB upgrade

1766427966515.png


In other words, instead of making 10x for memory upgrades, they're only making 5x! No way Tim can feed his kids at those prices.
 
This article from last year shows another glimpse of Apple behind the rainbow curtain

 
But butt... AI was gonna be our savior no...? 🥺 (🙄)

Billionaire techbros need to drop their drugs and maaaybe progress beyond the brain of a 2 year old and start thinking that there are others (🤯) in the world besides themselves and their desperate unceasing ambitions who might just also need some basic technology in their lives in the year 2025. Crazy concept I know!!
Why should they care? "Normal" people with consciences don't become billionaires to begin with. Even "effective altruism" is a utilitarian smokescreen to give them an excuse to avoid doing anything immediate for other people.
 
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The moment AI finds a more efficient way of working -- let's say iterative logic models that require hundreds of times less resources than large language models get to the point where they can largely displace the LLMs -- this whole bubble blows up. So it's not as though someone's going to lightly or casually take on the risk of building huge new fabs.
 
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