Dish has a cable broadband bypass into our homes. And that $50 month all-inclusive package with DVR is quite a bargain BTW. I actually anticipate that as a showdown vs. this Apple package: 190 channels with a HD DVR for $50/month vs. Apples 30-40 channels (and you know they're going to leave at least 1 or 2 important to you out of their choices) for $30-$40 per month. OR, "for $10 or $20 more dollars, I can get another 150 channels" (the value reverse of the "I don't want to pay for 200 channels I never watch" argument).
Cable doesn't have to pay Cable to use the pipe, nor is Cable pinched by Cable for using the pipe.
An Apple subscription service is entirely dependent on the very same pipe owned by the competitors from which they would take all this TV business. Furthermore Apples wants their 30% right off the top AND a low price which means that the providers of content have to take a big hit to further enrich Apple. And the video side of media doesn't want to end up like their music-side cousins.
Somewhere on this site there is quote from Les Moonves about this topic from 2 or 3 years ago in which he says something along these lines: "the problem with Apple's subscription service is that they want everything." If you do some some searches you can find links showing what Apple is trying to do:
- take the 30% right off the top, pinching the partners providing the content Apple wants to sell
- take a slice of the channels commercial revenues, pinching the partners providing the content Apple wants to sell
- trade consumer data for better deals (ala Google, FaceBook).
Do searches and you find all 3 of those in play.
Easy solution: let capitalism work. Launch the service and let each channel charge whatever it wants for it's channel. If they are "too greedy" they don't make money. Then we consumers can vote with our wallets. Everyone would want to be in on that offering and we can strike the actual balance of al-a-carte between sellers & buyers. If Apple insists on it's 30% right off the top, each channel just adds that onto their pricing.
Will it ever happen? Of course not. We already have great cuts at al-a-carte in the iTunes store. The problem with that? The masses don't want to pay those prices for the individual shows enough to bring that al-a-carte "future" to replace the "as is." Instead, we delude ourselves into
- thinking there is some (legal) way to get something towards Netflix pricing for all of the first-run productions from all of the networks AND
- give Apple their 30% AND
- have the broadband providers not make up for their losses in higher broadband-only rates or tiers AND...