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Honestly I would expect it to start at $1299.

Even at $1299, going to 32GB would bring you to $1699. Even if at the moment you didn't care about GPU performance, spending "only" $300 more for a base Mac Studio that gives you 50% more GPU cores, double the memory bandwidth, more ports and the possibility of future storage upgrades (even if at Apple's OEM pricing), much better cooling performance seems like really compelling reasons to do the upgrade - for future-proofing, if nothing else.
 
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I just don't think there is enough pricing headroom for an M2 Pro Mac mini with the port layout of the current Intel Space Grey model and a base Mac Studio.

Realistically, an M2 Pro mini would start at around $1499 with 16GB of RAM and 512GB of SSD. The M2 Max upgrade would be another $200 and going to 32GB would be $400 so you'd be at $2099 for a mini vs. $1999 for a Studio and you would be short two USB-C ports (4 vs. 6).

Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if the Mac Mini doesn't get any chip beyond M2. I think it will continue to be an "entry-level" product like the 24" iMac and MacBook Air. I think the M2 Pro will only be seen in the MacBook Pros.
 


Apple had a Mac Pro featuring the M1 Apple silicon chip ready to ship and launch to customers "months ago," but has ultimately decided to wait for the "M2 Extreme" Mac Pro later this year, Bloomberg's Mark Gurman has revealed.
If the M1 Mac Pro was ready months ago, and M2 chips are already in the pipeline that implies that at this point Apple is just holding out on selling them.

My guess is they wanted to give some space for the pro users to buy up M1 Ultra Mac Studio's. Spend $7-8k on a top end config, then next year release the more expandable M2 mac pro for $10k and upsell them again.
This seems plausible. 3 month wait for the Mac Studio Ultra has me contemplating cancelling and waiting for the M2 Mac Pro.
 
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If the new Mini is just a spec bump to the M2, why has it taken so long for it to come out? It should have been ready at the same time as the Air and the 13" Pro.
Because we’re in tough times.
There’s a chip shortage. It’s clear They wanted to have all of the M2 chips available for their best selling computers, the MacBook Air and Pro.
Even then, the majority of M2 MacBook Air/pro configurations are pushed out at least a month for me.
It would be even longer if they launched an M2 Mini at the same time.
we’re not in 2017 anymore where Apple could just update all of their computers all at the same time and have them all available day one
 
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Most likely because the same I/O bottleneck that limited connectivity options on all the M1 variants would have had too negative an impact on a true Pro system. It’s obvious just from the improved TB4 vs TB3 compliant ports on the M2 MBA vs M1 MBA that this has been addressed.
Pity this also means that limiting the MBA to one external monitor only was a deliberate choice and not a functional restriction like it’s predecessor.
 


Apple had a Mac Pro featuring the M1 Apple silicon chip ready to ship and launch to customers "months ago," but has ultimately decided to wait for the "M2 Extreme" Mac Pro later this year, Bloomberg's Mark Gurman has revealed.

2019-mac-pro-side-and-front.jpg

In an interview with YouTuber Max Tech, Gurman said that Apple likely held off on the M1 Mac Pro to wait for the more high-end and powerful version with the "M2 Extreme" chip set to launch later this year. Gurman predicts that a preview of the high-end Apple silicon Mac Pro will happen later this year with a launch in early 2023. Gurman notes Apple had originally planned to announce the Mac Pro during this year's WWDC but those plans obviously did not pan out.

In the interview, Gurman also said he does not expect the Mac mini, which previous rumors have indicated could get a facelift, will be redesigned. Gurman points out the similarities between the Mac mini and the Mac Studio, saying a refreshed Mac mini will simply be a spec bump to the M2 chip.

Article Link: Apple Had M1 Mac Pro Ready to Ship Months Ago, Mac Mini Redesign Unlikely
I see a new "discounted special" limited quantities M1 Mac Pro sale just over the hprizon. Nothing like building momentum.
 
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