The important part of that idea is Intel actually meeting the contracted goals. They’ve not shown any ability to perform any better than they have historically, so counting on Intel is going to remain a bad bet.
Historically? From 2000-2017 who had better fab process. Intel or TSMC?
Intel has certainly hit a deep bump in the road , but trying to cast that over the whole historical record is also a big overgeneralization of hjistory.
Apple started off the home grown with Samsung, not TSMC. Jobs asked Intel to do the work initially. ( Intel didn't really listen to what they were being asked. But asked because they did have the technical 'chops' to do the work. )
In terms of a deliberate fab contractor, Intel doesn't have much of a historical record there. That record is short with some failures and would be relatively risky. It is the
lack of history there that is problem; not a long historical record.
The story says Apple are competing, but it does not say that they’re not winning that competition, just that the rules have changed. Apple with their considerable buckets of money are still in an advantageous position.
It never really was about 'winning'. Getting a.wafer start allocation isn't a 'win' It is just paying for something. Hauwei had to get banned from TSMC to stop them from being at the front of the line. Apple didn't 'win' that. They certainly benefited from it , but they didn't 'win' it.
Apple splitting the 'regular' iPhone out into the Spring is somewhat indicative that they are not 'winning' ( in the heavily dominating sense). Missing in action. M5 Pro/Max ?
Since N3B (which hardly anyone else wanted) , they haven't be 'first'. (Mediatek shipped N4 before Apple did). AMD is rolling out 'first' on TSMC N2.
TSMC new fab process rollout has mostly shifted to Q4 timeframe in each year. That is too late to 'snag' the iPhone. Or the MBP or Fall 'dog and pony show day' Mac line up.
If 'win' is being able to brow-beat and intimidate your fab vendor into submission then Intel is less of a bad bet. They are relative 'new' ( to being a contract vendor) and need some bake-off wins (so might take a hit on price if that is co-top priority. ) .