I don’t think it’s that complicated 🙂 From at least sometime in 2016 or early 2017 at the latest for Mac Pro, Apple knew they were doing iMac Pro and Mac Pro (maybe 2015 for the iMac Pro).
They knew they could crank out the iMac Pro faster; it was nearly ready to go by the time they had the journalist round table about the Mac Pro in April 2017. By that point they also had a decent idea of the transition timetable for in-house CPUs.
The Mac Pro at $6k is priced pretty much right where it should be. $5k would be better and sure, $4k awesome. But Apple has a reasonably high cost structure and it’s going to be tough to get below $5k I think, even with Apple silicon.
I don’t think we’ll ever see the $3k slot box. Despite what those who want it think, the volume isn’t there imho. (iirc you don’t expect that product from Apple either?)
No, I don't think we’ll ever see a $3K slot box, Intel or AS. However, I actually think that once Intel and/or Apple embraces a higher speed interconnect using PCIe 4.0 (or 5.0), call it Thunderbolt 5, the need for anything other than the high end Mac Pro’s very small niche use cases becomes almost moot. Most users want a high powered MacBook Pro or iMac for their Pro needs, and may want and sometimes need a select few PCIe devices, mostly GPUs. There are some benefits for Apple moving to PCIe 4.0/5.0, especially storage, Afterburner and GPUs. The question is that outside of niche cases with multiple PCIe card needs, will the AS powered Macs (MBP, iMac and mini) obviate the need for external expansion options outside of storage for 4K/8K editing? All these things are so unknown right now, but the Mac Pro will live on.
I actually applaud Apple expanding the Mac Pro ecosystem and adding all the user installable parts and options, which I haven’t seen from Apple. My issue is that Apple’s gaze too often moves away and lets these things languish to the detriment of themselves. They are being really coy and I hope some candor comes when they unveil AS powered Macs and they give a bit more of a roadmap for Pros concerning the iMac Pro and Mac Pro future, just to help keep that Pro continent that Apple does really need, as acerbic and cantankerous as they can be.
I’m excited, but have a little trepidation over Apple’s past rough five or so years of non-committal commitment to the Mac. That being said, I can do 80% of what I need to do on an iPad Pro, but that last 20% is all Mac and a hard stop until iPadOS matures a bit more. Fun times lay ahead.
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No. I don't think that's how this works...
Tell me how it works...
Apple wanted to keep the numbers small to dissuade those who are too causal with $3K but then tend to complain bitterly that they dropped $3K when Apple announces the move to AS that they were cheated. They’re out there, on this very forum, and Apple made sure most wouldn’t bite, price structures notwithstanding. Hell, there was a fair number who thought $2,500 was the right price and they were apoplectic and/or moved to Windows, threatened to build a Hackintosh, etc.
That chassis isn’t done paying for itself, but it is done with any further Intel CPU updates.