Would anybody be kind enough to throw some light for the timeline of each stage of the shipment? It seems it will be a touch and go for me as I have a flight to catch on the 8th of October and my estimated delivery still shows - Processing October 14-21st. Don't know whether to cancel or stick with the order.
Here's the timeline as far as I can tell (from this thread and others):
Time between "Preparing for Shipment" and "Shipped": 12 - 24 hours
Time between "Shipped" and UPS Tracking assigned: around 12 hours
Shipping Transit Time: about 6 - 7 days
For me, these numbers were right on as predicted/calculated in other threads on the MR forums: from "Preparing" to "Shipping" was about 12-14 hours, and by the time I woke up the next day, I had a tracking number from UPS. It took UPS another 8-10 hours to update my tracking and show that it's in their system, and then it was another 2 - 3 hours before it gave me an estimated date of arrival.
My phone had it's origin scan yesterday (the 25th) in ZhengZhou, and UPS is saying it will arrive on Wednesday, October 1st -- right on target (and two weeks earlier than expected!).
Once it gets moving, the process seems to go pretty quick. You will most likely have your phone before you leave on the 8th, so unless you don't get a change in status before the 30th, I wouldn't cancel it. If it looks like the timeline will be too tight, you can always join UPS MyChoice (assuming it's being shipped via UPS like most are) and set up an address to deliver to instead of the original one you gave when you placed your order; this way, your phone can either find you on the road, or be waiting with a friend once you get home.