Over the past few weeks, credit card stocks have been in a free fall. While much of the recent weakness can be attributed to a recent Senate vote on a proposed measure that would allow the Federal Reserve to regulate fees on credit and debit cards, in reality these stocks were already looking weak. In addition to the recent declines, some of these stocks have broken long-term support levels and are looking very unhealthy from a technical standpoint.
Bottom Line
The one thing that stands out to me in most of these charts is that even if these stocks dont continue to free fall, enough damage has been done to them that recovery is a long time coming. Stocks need a healthy consolidation to repair the damage inflicted from these high volume sell offs. When a stock tops out and enters a correction, it traps a lot of longs who were late to the party. These longs are usually eager to sell on any bounce, making it difficult for the stock to make any appreciable advance. It takes time to flush out the weak hands and let stronger hands accumulate enough shares and suck up excess supply. That is the basic function of a consolidation and the reason it is required for a sustained advance. It appears to me that these credit card stocks need much more consolidation to flush out these weak hands. The two scenarios that could unfold is a bottom in DFS and AXP that can motivate V and MA to follow them higher, or a more prolonged correction that would likely drag AXP and DFS down with V and MA.