Firstly, thanks for the reply.
Let's say there is a furniture store in the community of about a 20 thousand people, and i want to start a business where i provide custom designed furniture (and other unique features, different than the current store). Unfortunately it looks like the furniture store in the community already provides enough, and it would seem to be pointless to compete. Their prices are excessive due to the fact that they're the only suppliers in town, so I was thinking of adding some choice.
I was just wondering if it were feasible to open another furniture shop, and if i could somehow measure it quantitatively. I've already started doing some research.
ddehr026 makes a good point. You can do informal focus groups to help save money (i.e. talk to as many people in the street as you can)
Is 20K your total market area? Ask yourself this.
a) How many household is that? (Probably about 5K households, but you can get the figure from the Chamber of Commerce (or equivalent) or perhaps the Census people.
b) How many pieces of furniture on average does a household purchase in a year? (Make this part of your market research.)
c) How much of that furniture market can you hope you capture? Some people are going to buy from a department store or matter what.
d) Whatever that number is, can your store pay-off the start up costs, and then pay the rent and overhead, and then pay you enough to not starve by selling that many pieces?
This assuming the other store has rolled over and closed up at the sight of competition. However, these numbers are (relatively) easy to come up with. If your answer is "No", without the competition of the other store, then of course you have your answer. It's not a great idea.
If you get a positive answer, then you need to factor in what the other store is going to do. Chances are, they are going to cut prices to hang onto their market share. Figuring out what part of the market you going to be able to capture gets much more difficult. Plus your prices will need to be flexible to compete in a price war.
You could just check to see if the owner of the other store wants to retire? Perhaps you can buy them out?
Cheers