As I said earlier, Epic’s endgame is to be able to get their own game store onto iOS where they can keep 100% of IAP revenue, as well as host other developers’ apps and charge them a cut.
In this regard, there is no deal or compromise that would have made both parties happy. Not forgetting that Epic violated the App Store rules first, so there is no reason for Apple to come to a settlement with them.
The best Apple can probably do here is continue to keep Fortnite off iOS so that no matter what happens, at least Epic will not be around to enjoy the fruits of any labour it does reap. As for the rest, well, if it’s one thing I have come to realise, it’s that we humans are pretty short-sighted when it comes to predicting unforeseen consequences (and I don’t just mean Apple).
Or do you think Apple will just sit idly by, watch their IAP profits plunge, and do absolutely nothing to make up for the shortfall in other areas? I am not worried about IAP revenue going away for Apple. I am more intrigued by what will succeed it, and I suspect it won’t be pretty.