Apple should simply allow the user to decide if they want to use the in-app purchase process (and pay a premium) or get the books, mag copies, etc in whatever way the vendor designs it.
Apple is unwilling to budge on this: It fractures the user experience and we go back to a ghetto of a myriad of vendors using a myriad of payment methods. Smaller developers will probably opt to stick with in-app purchasing, because it's easier and likely cheaper. Large dev houses will opt to roll their own, for a lower margin and their own lock-in. That wouldn't bode well for Apple; it's the larger dev houses that are going to be driving the sales of in-app items/subscriptions (with a few popular outliers that quickly become large dev houses. Like Rovio.)
Apple simply should also demand fairness -- that the customers price will be no more than the lowest in-app purchase price on any other device.
For the books business, apple already is demanding a price guarantee. They're also demanding a 30% cut. I would be terrified if they entered any other markets and pulled the same move. Here's the math:
- Apple got most book publishers to switch to the agency model: Publishers decide on the consumer-visible price of a book; distributors (Apple, Amazon, B&N, etc) get a 30% cut and cannot change the price, even for promotions.
- Apple drops the bomb about requiring in-app purchases if an app provides any sort of link to an out-of-app purchasing experience. In essence, Apple is now asking for a 30% cut of every book.
- And of course, the agency pricing model dictates that those books be sold for the same price (in-app and out of app)
Aka: screw you Amazon/B&N/etc, you can't mark up the prices of the books. If you want to sell books via your native app, you have to take your 30% cut as a publisher and turn every single penny of it over to us.
The current language simply will not fly and loss of companies like Amazon/Kindle, Barnes and Noble/Nook will essentially kill the iPad, and with it Apple. If Apple does not become reasonable in their contract terms, you will see Apple stock drop like a rock and bankruptcy soon to follow.
Doubtful. For one, Apple has enough cash on hand to last a very long time. They're also very shrewd, and only bully other businesses around when they have a successful vertical that competes (now or soon). Aka, their hope is that most users won't care, and will just switch to iBooks (and it seems very likely).
Secondly, Amazon has clout, but is unwilling to be overly aggressive to other businesses. Apple may have screwed them for now, and they're almost certainly going to drop the native app for a web app, but they're not going to give Apple the finger via press release or otherwise.
And if Apple does start to fail due to this, all they have to do is reverse the decision. They have the users to allow those businesses to jump back in without a second thought.
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