First Week Apple Watch Sales

Discussion in 'Apple Watch' started by ghsNick, Mar 6, 2015.

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How Many Apple Watches Will Be Sold In The First Week?

  1. Under 1 Million

    14 vote(s)
    29.2%
  2. 1,000,000 -2,000,000

    17 vote(s)
    35.4%
  3. 2,000,001 - 3,000,000

    5 vote(s)
    10.4%
  4. 3,000,001 - 4,000,000

    6 vote(s)
    12.5%
  5. 4,000,001 - Plus

    6 vote(s)
    12.5%
  1. ghsNick macrumors 68030

    ghsNick

    Joined:
    May 25, 2010
    #1
    How many watches do you think Apple will sell in the first week?

    I'm going with 3,000,001 - 4 million...let's see what happens!
     
  2. ghsNick thread starter macrumors 68030

    ghsNick

    Joined:
    May 25, 2010
    #3
    If under 1 million are sold I'll be VERY surprised.
     
  3. BvizioN macrumors 601

    BvizioN

    Joined:
    Mar 16, 2012
    Location:
    Manchester, UK
  4. Piggie macrumors G3

    Piggie

    Joined:
    Feb 23, 2010
    #5
    Agreed.

    I have always said, I felt there will be a MAHOOSIVE initial wave of, OMG I must have it, I've seen in in the press and in Vogue, and OMG I want it soooo bad buyers.

    However.

    I have also said, I do feel this will die off rather more sharply than other products, due to either lack of interest, it's only version 1, why do I need one I have a phone, It's too limited at the moment. Type of customers.

    I'm not saying sales will dry up, just that sales will dip more, and it will be just a slow burn over the rest of the year, as more apps are shown and perhaps tick more people's "I could find that useful" box's

    A lot of this of course hangs in the balance of what we see on Monday as that's going to be key in the "Can I be bothered / what can it actually do"
     
  5. kdarling macrumors P6

    kdarling

    Joined:
    Jun 9, 2007
    Location:
    First university coding class = 47 years ago
    #6
    Apple is rumored to have ordered up 5 to 6 million for the first quarter.

    That's about 500K a week on average, but one could expect the most sales during the first week, so I'm thinking at least a million, with a big drop off after that.

    This makes historical sense for a new product. For example, the iPad only sold about 3 -5 million for each of its first few quarters.
     
  6. KPOM macrumors G5

    Joined:
    Oct 23, 2010
    #7
    Whatever the number, I don't think we are going to know, as Apple doesn't intend to provide sales figures.
     
  7. Cashmonee macrumors 6502a

    Cashmonee

    Joined:
    May 27, 2006
    #8
    If the sales are good, Apple will say after the first weekend or week. I know in the earnings they aren't going to break it out, but if it makes a splash, you will hear a number from Apple either the first or second Monday after launch. If you hear no numbers at all, Apple risks the watch being labeled a bust. They are now in a position where if a product doesn't break records at launch, it is a bust in the eyes of many (not myself).

    I think it will be a little above 1 million in the first week as long as that many hit stores. I do think Apple will ensure there are supply constraints, for the reasons I stated above. They can't afford for people to be able to easily get one Sunday after the launch, and not report gigantic numbers.
     
  8. KPOM macrumors G5

    Joined:
    Oct 23, 2010
    #9
    But no one knows what "gigantic numbers" means. The iPad 4 was in abundant supply on launch weekend. There were almost no lines, yet it was the most successful iPad launch ever. Is 1 million on launch weekend a success? It took the original iPhone 74 days to hit 1 million.
     
  9. Cashmonee macrumors 6502a

    Cashmonee

    Joined:
    May 27, 2006
    #10
    Judging by predictions from analysts, the supply chain saying at least 5 million for Q1, if Apple comes in under a million in week one, it will be disappointing to most. This is billed as the next big Apple hit in a post iPhone era. Now I am not saying it is fair or correct, just reality. People will take no numbers to mean the are disappointing numbers. I think Apple knows exactly how many will sell, and that the number will be below what many have predicted and are trying to guard against the perception of failure. Honestly, I believe Apple realistically sees this falling in between the Apple TV and iPad in sales, closer to Apple TV.
     
  10. Flow39 macrumors 68000

    Flow39

    Joined:
    Sep 7, 2014
    Location:
    At the Apple Store
    #11
    I'm saying over 1 million, but pushing 2 million by the end of the launch week.
     

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