15 to 20 percent
that would be a comfortable number but steve jobs is not the guy who can take us there
every time he gains a few hundred thousand users with a great product he spearheads, he loses that many just months later with another product he spearheads
it is like we have a good steve jobs and a bad steve jobs
give me the steve jobs who came out with the imac and ibook, not the steve jobs who came out with flower power and released os x six months too early
with the good steve jobs on a consistent level for several years, we could reach fifteen percent, but that is just not the nature of steve jobs now or the steve jobs who was fired from apple in the mid-80s
when business school wants to see a success, they look at bill gates...if they want to see a blunder, they look to delorean or steve jobs (both part time business phenoms who have a tendency to self destruct or lose steam at the most crucial times)
if that were not true, then why do so many posters here complain about apple inc dragging their feet on the lcd imac, small imac and ibook screens, combo drive for tibook, the g5, 1 ghz speed, os x updates, etc
it's like by the time apple delivers, we have been waiting too long and get mad at apple's ceo (and he really can't take all the blame in reality...it is like an acquaintance who once worked for ibm who switched to apple who says it's so fun working at apple because they get to try out a lot of new ideas and don't have the pressure of trying to meet deadlines as strictly as ibm or watch the bottom line like ibm, it is, like she quoted, not anything like a business
well, i guess that explains ibm being bigger than apple in the personal computer field even though apple had a six year head start on the concept...remember, ibm made adding machines, calculators, and mainframe computers with no inkling of a home machine (same goes for hp) and even when the pc giants entered the field, it was still a pet project at best
when david packard retired near monterey, i met him in the 80s at ace hardware and what he talked about was the calculator and its sales at hp, not the personal computer
windows 95 was when the pc world gained the truly unsurpassable lead in the personal computer field and before that, apple still had the chance to regain the lead...but some people still think apple can again be number one
i always make sports analogies and here is another...apple is like the san francisco giants landing contracts with great pitchers and hitters, winning their division, winning the national league pennant, but unable to clinch the big one...the world series
or apple is like the buffalo bills or minnesota vikings, both going to four super bowls each, and in eight chances, both teams not being able to win one of those matches
the reason scully couldn't recover apple's high market share was because he didn't fire steve jobs early enough and apple inc's biggest mistake was to make steve jobs the ceo after he was just the interim ceo where he should have stayed
he was hired to whip the company back into shape which is what steve jobs is good at, but his entire business history shows that he is not in it for the long term and the more reposibility he doles out to one of his projects, the better that company does
if jobs were at pixar every day and tried to be the director producer of every movie that great company puts out, he would run it into the ground
steve jobs is the world's best relief pitcher or pinch hitter, but he is not a full time ceo
so i am not saying he is bad all around, he is a short term marketing genius and a visionary for the field
[Edited by jefhatfield on 12-22-2001 at 12:38 PM]