How long before a million sold?

Discussion in 'iPhone' started by rockstarjoe, Jun 29, 2007.

  1. rockstarjoe macrumors 6502a

    rockstarjoe

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2006
    Location:
    washington dc
    #1
    Anyone want to take a guess at how long it will take before a million iPhones have been sold? If there are (roughly) 2,000 AT&T and Apple stores selling it, each store would need to move 500 units. I could see that happening before next Friday. What do you think?
     
  2. psychofreak Retired

    psychofreak

    Joined:
    May 16, 2006
    Location:
    London
  3. kdarling macrumors demi-god

    kdarling

    Joined:
    Jun 9, 2007
    Location:
    Cabin by a lake
    #3
    There are rumors that there's only 250,000 units available right now.

    In any case, do those sales people work off commission? Wouldn't that be great?
     
  4. Doozy macrumors regular

    Joined:
    Oct 25, 2005
    #4
    My guess, and it is totally just a guess, but I think it will be September before they hit a million.

    In comparison, how long did it take for the zune player to sell a million.:eek:
     
  5. rockstarjoe thread starter macrumors 6502a

    rockstarjoe

    Joined:
    Jun 2, 2006
    Location:
    washington dc
    #5
    I think they have probably made more than 250,000 by now.

    AT&T employees do get a commission on sales, I think, but I don't know if / how that applies to the iPhone, since you take it home to sign up for a contract.
     
  6. retnuh730 macrumors regular

    Joined:
    Jun 19, 2007
    Location:
    Mississippi!
    #6
    I'd say anywhere between the first week if stock is good, to a month or two if not.
     
  7. carfac macrumors 65816

    carfac

    Joined:
    Feb 18, 2006
    #7
    My guess is it will start off strong, but not too overpowering. I bet in 2 weeks or so, there will be 20% return rate or so. It will not make a million until 2008 at least.
     
  8. Small White Car macrumors G4

    Small White Car

    Joined:
    Aug 29, 2006
    Location:
    Washington DC
    #8
    Pretty much! I'm guessing 2 to 4 days.

    I'd think they'll sell a half-million in real stores in under a week. If online sales match that rate you'll see a full million sold in 2-7 days.
     
  9. underwater macrumors member

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2007
    #9
    they appear to be shooting for a million unit weekend, but I'd guess it will take a week just due limits on transaction volume at stores.
     
  10. tobefirst macrumors 68040

    tobefirst

    Joined:
    Jan 24, 2005
    Location:
    St. Louis, MO
    #10
    You really think that one in every five people will return it? I'm just asking honestly.
     
  11. nbs2 macrumors 68030

    nbs2

    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2004
    Location:
    A geographical oddity
    #11
    My understanding is that the iPhone carries a rather nice commission. Discussion with some of the ATT employees conveyed that it made them hate the loss of time off from 6/15-7/15 a little less....
     
  12. Sbrocket macrumors 65816

    Sbrocket

    Joined:
    Jun 3, 2007
    Location:
    /dev/null
    #12
    Are you serious? :confused:
    That sounds like a more-than-slightly off-base prediction to me...1 return for every 5 sold?
     
  13. Project macrumors 68020

    Joined:
    Aug 6, 2005
    #13
    I think it will take a while. Perhaps a month, maybe 2

    [/b][/color]
     
  14. Virtualball macrumors 6502

    Joined:
    Jun 5, 2006
    #14
    I don't see people spending 600 on a phone they've had 6 months notice for returning it a week later...
     
  15. diamond.g macrumors 603

    diamond.g

    Joined:
    Mar 20, 2007
    Location:
    Virginia
    #15
    Well if every Mac user buys one, then not too long at all.

    Otherwise it depends. The PS3 didn't hit 1 million till a few months later.

    How many iPods do (does??) Apple sell a month? Safe guess may be about a quarter of that number.

    I wonder if it will end up like the Wii (ie impossible to find for almost a year).
     
  16. rfrankl macrumors 6502

    Joined:
    Apr 15, 2006
    #16
    As long as there is enough inventory, I see 1 million easily in the first month.
     
  17. kalisphoenix macrumors 65816

    kalisphoenix

    Joined:
    Jul 26, 2005
    #17
    A week, I hope. I even heard the groundskeepers here (University of Akron) talking about it.
     
  18. Steve1496 macrumors 6502a

    Steve1496

    Joined:
    Apr 21, 2004
    #18
    My guess is a week.

    But you know, I hope they have at least 50-100 a store. I'm number ~25 and a lot of people are getting two, just to sell on eBay. I'll be pissed if I don't get one after waiting because someone wants to sell it on eBay.

    Steve
     
  19. Mac-Addict macrumors 65816

    Mac-Addict

    Joined:
    Aug 30, 2006
    Location:
    London
    #19
    Thats still only America! When it gets to Europe in the first week or so (If its released at the same time over Europe) I can honestly see it hitting 2 to 4 million sold.
     
  20. diamond.g macrumors 603

    diamond.g

    Joined:
    Mar 20, 2007
    Location:
    Virginia
    #20
    I have the distinct feeling that the iPhone is going to turn out like the PS3 in the ebay department. I looked earlier today and people were asking for like 1300 dollars. Unless Apple is going to try to keep the supply artificially low, ebay sales won't work and you would see a mass influx of returns (with that lovely 10% penalty).
     
  21. gco212 macrumors 6502

    Joined:
    Jul 21, 2004
    #21
    Probably a month or two. It's shaping up for there to be no shortage, and Wallstreet is estimating that Apple will sell 200 to 400 thousand this weekend. Seeing as how that will take care of a lot of the initial demand, from there you can expect maybe 100 thousand or so per week for a couple months.
     
  22. carfac macrumors 65816

    carfac

    Joined:
    Feb 18, 2006
    #22
    Really, yes. I think a lot of people are gonna get it because of the hype, just to check it out. I think a lot of those people may figure oh well after a couple days... may not give the keyboard a chance, may find their IT dept says no, get the $600 buyers remorse blues, etc.

    Two days ago, I would have said even higher. But kudos to ATT for upping the EDGE bandwidth. As long as that STAYS up, sure, 20%. If that EDGE enhancement fails, or goes back down, I would say higher.
     
  23. carfac macrumors 65816

    carfac

    Joined:
    Feb 18, 2006
    #23
    I doubt there are 1 million completely MADE as of today... I doubt even 1/2 million as of today. Certainly no more than 500K.

    Talk is cheap. iPhones are NOT. I know lots of people who areTALKING about it. People who bought PS3s and XBox 360s and Wiis. Mostly what they say is, "It's cool, I can't wait to try one, but I will wait and see how it goes."

    Other than on this forum, I know no one who is going to buy one.
     
  24. stainlessliquid macrumors 68000

    Joined:
    Sep 22, 2006
    #24
    Judging by the small lines at just a few apple stores I would say it will take a long time to get to 1 million. This is nothing like a console launch where there are giant lines at every video game store in every city in every state, even consoles dont sell 1million right away. I dont think it will be very hard for people to get an iphone tomorrow or the next day, since its doubtful they will run out of stock unless apple severely limited supply.

    Plus in cities like mine nobody cares. None of my friends had even heard of the iphone when I asked them about it, and they could care less when I tried to show them. Even at college I have yet to hear a single person talking about it. It seems like Im the only one that knows it exists.
     
  25. Phobophobia macrumors 6502

    Joined:
    Dec 1, 2003
    #25
    :confused: :rolleyes: :apple:
     

Share This Page