iPad How many new iPads Apple will launch this year ?

[TigeRick]

Since we know iPad Pro with M3 will most likely being launched next year, that leave us with 3 iPad series which are likely launched this year. FYI, iPad Air 5th Gen was launched on March, 2022, iPad Mini 6th was launched on September, 2021 and iPad 10th Gen was launched on October, 2022.

I am picking all three iPads cause I think it is times to move storage tier up to 128GB as base cause iPad OS 16 can utilize virtual memory swap capability and 64GB was not enough for supporting such feature...well, I am not sure about iPad 11th Gen could feature 128GB storage or not, it is entirely up to Apple

So what do you think? You have three months times to choose...😎

Below is iPad revenue table from last year until now:

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
2022	7.6	7.2	7.17	9.4	31.37
2023	6.67	5.791	?	?	12.46
% Drop Quarterly	- 12%	- 20%	- ?? %	?
% Drop Sequentially	- 29%	- 13%	- ?? %	?

 

[*~Kim~*]

I don’t think the M chips will ever go into the base iPad for as long as Apple still produce A chips for the Mini and the iPhone.

Definitely 128 base for the next gen Air and Mini, which probably in usual Apple style means 512GB will be offered but 256GB unavailable. The base iPad having the same storage as the mid tier at the moment is an oddity. Unless they move the Mini to 8GB RAM I cannot see the Mini and Air launching concurrently again, so a 6GB RAM Mini might land 6 months earlier than an Air 6. Delaying the M2 Air while bringing out an M3 Pro means there’s more chance of upgrading some users to the Pro line who would’ve bought an M2 Air in a heartbeat, but feel that the M1 might’ve been around for a bit long by then.

6GB Mini 7 is more likely than 8GB in my opinion, so as we are in July, I’ll go with Mini this year (with an A15/4/64 11th Gen) and Air next.

 

[Digitalguy]

None of the options mentioned for sure. iPad 11 is pretty much the only likely device this year, but definitely no M1, it should get A15 at best. 64GB is certain too. If any device is upgraded to 128, that's the air, likely next year.

 

[rui no onna]

None of the options mentioned for sure. iPad 11 is pretty much the only likely device this year, but definitely no M1, it should get A14 at best. 64GB is certain too. If any device is upgraded to 128, that's the air, likely next year.

The iPad mini might get an upgrade.

mini 5 2019
mini 6 2021

I doubt it’s getting A17 + 128GB though.

 

[TigeRick]

i

None of the options mentioned for sure. iPad 11 is pretty much the only likely device this year, but definitely no M1, it should get A14 at best. 64GB is certain too. If any device is upgraded to 128, that's the air, likely next year.

iPad 10th Gen already using A14 with 4+64

 

[TigeRick]

I don’t think the M chips will ever go into the base iPad for as long as Apple still produce A chips for the Mini and the iPhone.

Definitely 128 base for the next gen Air and Mini, which probably in usual Apple style means 512GB will be offered but 256GB unavailable. The base iPad having the same storage as the mid tier at the moment is an oddity. Unless they move the Mini to 8GB RAM I cannot see the Mini and Air launching concurrently again, so a 6GB RAM Mini might land 6 months earlier than an Air 6. Delaying the M2 Air while bringing out an M3 Pro means there’s more chance of upgrading some users to the Pro line who would’ve bought an M2 Air in a heartbeat, but feel that the M1 might’ve been around for a bit long by then.

6GB Mini 7 is more likely than 8GB in my opinion, so as we are in July, I’ll go with Mini this year (with an A16/4/64 11th Gen) and Air next.

The iPad mini might get an upgrade.

mini 5 2019
mini 6 2021

I doubt it’s getting A17 + 128GB though.

There is rumor that upcoming A17 will come with 8GB RAM which make perfect candidate for upcoming iPad Mini especially if you consider the lineup above:-

1. iPad Air 6th Gen with M2 and 8 GB 128-bit LPDDR5
2. iPad Mini 7th Gen with A17 and 8 GB 64-bit LPDDR5
3. iPad 11th Gen with M1 and 8 GB 128-bit LPDDR4x OR A15 and 4 GB 64-bit LPDDR4x

Apple might delay M1 with 8GB on base iPad by deploying A15 with 4 GB memory. That is as far as Apple could go cause A16 is using LPDDR5 which is more expensive than LPDDR4x.

iPad Mini seems follow iPhone SoC closely as seems on Mini 6, so there is high chance that iPad Mini 7 will use A17 with 8GB LPDDR5 memory even though it is limited to 64-bit memory bus.

 

[*~Kim~*]

The iPad mini might get an upgrade.

mini 5 2019
mini 6 2021

I doubt it’s getting A17 + 128GB though.

Jumped for that as it was two generations forward from the chip in the almost two year old Mini 6, but of course that came at the expense of being throttled compared to the version in the iPhone. Perhaps an A16 with no throttling is more likely therefore; I think it depends how the Mini 6 sales fared after the Air 5 came out. If they detected customers voting with their feet, perhaps it gets the latest A chip as it would probably hold up better against the Air 6. I wouldn’t rule out the regular 15 and the Mini 7 getting one chip and the 15 Pros getting a better one.

On reflection I think I’m 66% for an unthrottled A16 and 33% for the A17.

 

[*~Kim~*]

i

iPad 10th Gen already using A14 with 4+64

It is, then again the 6th and 7th Gens used the same processor. Hopefully the 11th is an A15 and Pencil 2, but this is Apple…

 

[TigeRick]

Guys, I have added one more choice as iPad 11th Gen with A15 and 64GB storage. Have fun!😍

 

[GMShadow]

The Mini won't be until 2024 I suspect. Apple seems content to keep it around but not to update it annually, which they really only did the one time (the Mini 3 doesn't count).

 

[*~Kim~*]

Guys, I have added one more choice as iPad 11th Gen with A15 and 64GB storage. Have fun!😍

Thanks, have edited my vote (and realised I originally wrote A16 11th Gen when I meant A15!)

 

[Allen_Wentz]

I don’t think the M chips will ever go into the base iPad for as long as Apple still produce A chips for the Mini and the iPhone.

Definitely 128 base for the next gen Air and Mini, which probably in usual Apple style means 512GB will be offered but 256GB unavailable. The base iPad having the same storage as the mid tier at the moment is an oddity. Unless they move the Mini to 8GB RAM I cannot see the Mini and Air launching concurrently again, so a 6GB RAM Mini might land 6 months earlier than an Air 6. Delaying the M2 Air while bringing out an M3 Pro means there’s more chance of upgrading some users to the Pro line who would’ve bought an M2 Air in a heartbeat, but feel that the M1 might’ve been around for a bit long by then.

6GB Mini 7 is more likely than 8GB in my opinion, so as we are in July, I’ll go with Mini this year (with an A15/4/64 11th Gen) and Air next.

Your argument suggests that Apple is primarily concerned with timing. IMO chip yields are also critically relevant, with better yields (and therefore lower costs) driving what chips Apple puts where and when. Especially with something like the iPad Mini that has been unchanged for years.

Arguing in favor of timing being a strong driver, 2022 winter holiday sales seem to have been poor because of limited new product offerings (again, IMO due to chip yields and other component supply issues). IMO Apple likely will want avoid that financial embarrassment happening twice in a row and we will see a plethora of newish devices available for 2023 winter solstice holiday sales.

 

[okkibs]

The iPad Air only got the M1 chip because Apple was running out of the usual chips they put in the Air that come from the iPhone and needed all of them for the iPhone during the chip shortage back then. Apple had no choice which chip to upgrade the Air with, it was either the M1 or not upgrading the Air at all.

There is no other explanation that makes sense for why the iPad Air has the exact same performance as the iPad Pro. We all know that Apple likes to clearly separate their more expensive devices from the lower tiers. Hence the Air comes with half the amount of speakers, half the storage, a darker display, so why should it get the same power as the Pro?

They could decide to keep this up and give the Air the M2 this year and the M3 to the Pros, so that the chip would trail a year behind the Pros. But that still wouldn't be the typical product segmentation Apple is known for. I think they'll either leave it as is for another year, or simply drop the 64GiB model and offer up to 512GB. That way they don't have to discount this older model and it still looks great for the customer that you now get double the storage for the same price.

I might be wrong here though, because the M1 iMac is long overdue for a refresh and if that happens, there are just 2 products left that need the M1 so Apple would likely halt M1 production completely at this point. That would then force them again to give the iPad Air the M2 chip. And the Macbook Air M1 can just be quietly dropped at this point.

So I'd say if we see an iMac refresh this year then M1 is truly history. If they keep the iMac unchanged this year then they might as well keep the M1 in the iPad Air too.

 

[erikkfi]

Forget processors and RAM. The features I care about are:

1. 128GB storage that doesn’t require a $150 increase over whatever the base model comes with.
2. Front-facing camera on a landscape rail.

None of the many (many) iPads in the current lineup meet these two simple requirements.

 

[sailingHobbit]

I hope we see the mini 7 this year but unfortunately the current rumours expect it to launch in 2024.
128 GB base storage would be the least. 64 GB is just ridiculous. But I expect they will put the A16 in the mini and reserver the A17 for the pro iPhones.

 

[culo77]

I do not think we will see the iPad mini 7 this year. iOS17 still did not take care of the UI scaling which to me shows their view of the mini and where it sits in their priorities.

I highly doubt the base iPad will get a M chip, they would never allow it to ear into their Air sales. That would go against their policy of marketing the “just $80 more upgrade” through the whole line.

I can see them sticking to the 64gb option still, it will send all of us through the roof. I just hate that they do this just to mentally make people pay more for a 256. It is starting to leave a bad stain on the brand to me.

 

[Allen_Wentz]

I can see them sticking to the 64gb option still, it will send all of us through the roof. I just hate that they do this just to mentally make people pay more for a 256. It is starting to leave a bad stain on the brand to me.

Yet many folks buying an iPad Mini for a child probably prefer cheaper and have no issues with 64 GB. What most folks making your type of comment really want is 256 at 64 prices.

 

[luigismalucelli]

The iPad lineup has similar pricing for almost similar products. There's an iPad for each pocket depth but it's messy and makes you always jump to the next category and you're never satisfied

We should have only 3 iPads in 2023:


iPad SE (old design)
basically 9th gen with A16

iPad (A-series chip)
- 8"(mini) and 11" (90hz miniLED)
- A16
- 8GB RAM
- 128, 256, 512GB
- $399 - $649

iPad Pro (M-series chip)
- 11" and 13" (LTPO OLED)
- M2
- 16GB RAM
- 256GB to 1TB
- $699 - $1799

 

[Digitalguy]

The iPad lineup has similar pricing for almost similar products. There's an iPad for each pocket depth but it's messy and makes you always jump to the next category and you're never satisfied

We should have only 3 iPads in 2023:


iPad SE (old design)
basically 9th gen with A16

iPad (A-series chip)
- 8"(mini) and 11" (90hz miniLED)
- A16
- 8GB RAM
- 128, 256, 512GB
- $399 - $649

iPad Pro (M-series chip)
- 11" and 13" (LTPO OLED)
- M2
- 16GB RAM
- 256GB to 1TB
- $699 - $1799

none of that is happening this year

 

[TigeRick]

https://forums.macrumors.com/threads/next-generation-ipad-air-with-spec-bump-reportedly-in-development.2396160/

Well, at least we know Apple is actively developing iPad Air sixth Gen , still no timings though...

 

[DeepSix]

Still waiting for the 52” ipad

 

[Rafterman]

none of that is happening this year

I agree. 2024 for new iPads.

 

[Yebubbleman]

The mini is the only unpredictable model at this point. The iPad Pro launches when there's a new M-series chip to throw into it. It already has M2, and M3 isn't out yet (and it very unlikely won't be the first Apple product to receive it). The iPad Air, since being resurrected as a model in the lineup in 2019, follows a predictable year-and-a-half upgrade cycle, pegging it for a fall release. The standard iPad has been on a strict every-fall cycle since the 7th Generation iPad came out in fall 2019. So, those two are pretty safe bets for the fall. The iPad mini comes out infrequently. Rumors peg a model to come out in 2024, but not one this year. So, it's possible that there will be a new version to come out next fall; but this fall is probably unlikely.

 

[luigismalucelli]

none of that is happening this year

yeah, maybe I wrote it badly, english is not my first language sorry.

that's what I wish the line up would be

 

[Richard8655]

The iPad lineup has similar pricing for almost similar products. There's an iPad for each pocket depth but it's messy and makes you always jump to the next category and you're never satisfied

We should have only 3 iPads in 2023:


iPad SE (old design)
basically 9th gen with A16

iPad (A-series chip)
- 8"(mini) and 11" (90hz miniLED)
- A16
- 8GB RAM
- 128, 256, 512GB
- $399 - $649

iPad Pro (M-series chip)
- 11" and 13" (LTPO OLED)
- M2
- 16GB RAM
- 256GB to 1TB
- $699 - $1799

Only correction I'd make to this list is that the SE (base) is a new design with the 10th gen. But I'm usually more than happy with the regular (SE) iPads for the value and best bang for the buck. But you're absolutely right, Apple structures these confusing tiers to get you to want better and better, and not feel worse and left behind. A lot of marketing and psychology.