how many....

Discussion in 'Apple Watch' started by satinsilverem2, Apr 11, 2015.

  1. satinsilverem2 macrumors 6502a

    satinsilverem2

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    Richmond, VA
    #1
    how many do you think they've sold so far. I know Tim said "great" and its only been a couple of days since the preorder but I'm a numbers person.
     
  2. AustinIllini macrumors demi-god

    AustinIllini

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  3. saving107 macrumors 603

    saving107

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    #3
    Unfortunately Tim Cook said last Sept that they have no plans to discuss numbers for the Apple Watch, so I doubt we'll be getting the same Press Release like we do for the iPhone and iPads.
     
  4. mattopotamus macrumors G5

    mattopotamus

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    #4
    really good question. Im thinking 1-1.5 million? Does that seem high or low to you guys?
     
  5. matt550 macrumors 6502

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    Jun 7, 2008
    #5
    I was wondering this also. I'm going to guess 500-750k...?
     
  6. mightyjabba macrumors 65816

    mightyjabba

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    #6
    I think that's probably really high actually. But nobody really knows.
     
  7. TrueBlou macrumors demi-god

    TrueBlou

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  8. totten76 macrumors regular

    totten76

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    #8
    Not in the millions, YET. I would say a good chance of over 500k and under 800k. Jeez these guys are about to make a ton of money
     
  9. edlex macrumors 68000

    edlex

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    #9
    They will only announce if it's a huge number most probably. Not in their best interest to announce anything short of mind blowing.
     
  10. KPOM macrumors G5

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    Oct 23, 2010
    #10
    I doubt they will release actual numbers since they have already said they won't break it out in their financial releases. However, we might be able to get a sense in July when we compare revenue in their Accessories segment, where the Watch sales will be reported. We are entering what is historically the 2 slower financial quarters (since iPhone sales usually taper off in anticipation of the new model in September), so the number crunchers will be attempting to glean as much as they can.

    Remember, it took 74 days for the first iPhone to sell 1 million. While Apple sells 200 million iPhones a year, this will appeal only to a small fraction of that customer base at first. Even 3-5% suggests they could sell 6-10 million this year.
     
  11. cosmic68 macrumors 6502

    cosmic68

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    Dec 26, 2007
    #11
    Yeah it's an interesting question. How much do they need to sell to count as a success I wonder? A quick Google threw up this:

    '10 million: Record number of iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus sold in launch weekend.'

    I would say your guess of 1 million isn't too far off?
     
  12. zacheryjensen macrumors 6502a

    zacheryjensen

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    May 11, 2009
    #12
    Some of the analyst estimates for production of stock at launch pegged 3 million units available at launch with an additional 5 million per month produced after that, but, then there was the news of production rates being halved due to poor yields at one of the factories or something.

    Still, regardless, and given the pre-order outlay, I'd guess at least 1.5 million pre-ordered. But, given the fickle nature of people and the long wait time, I wouldn't be surprised if that number churns massively over the coming weeks and is very likely why Apple will say nothing. I think part of the reason for the wonky estimated shipping dates is that they are expecting many to order, go shop, then change their minds either to a different style or just cancel entirely.

    There are so many more variables for this launch than a typical "techie" product launch that it can't really be compared to monitored in the same way. Apple Watch success will probably not be meaningfully measurable for 18 months and at least 2 more "style" releases (another Fall band series, and the following Spring series.)

    Still, I'd be surprised it it was less than a million solid pre-orders.
     
  13. Wreckus macrumors 6502a

    Wreckus

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    #13
    wonder if they will mention anything in terms of # of watches sold at their Q2 FY2015 earnings release on April 27.
     
  14. profmatt macrumors 65816

    profmatt

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    #14
    I'm not so sure it's as many as a lot of you seem to think.

    As we've discussed before, I don't know anyone who wants an Apple Watch. Maybe I'm not typical, but a lot of the people I know have iPhones and a lot have MacBooks.

    The late shipping dates might be because they're playing clever games, or it might be because they haven't made that many yet.

    I'm not knocking the watch. No-one is more excited than I am about it.

    I just wonder what the reality is. Right now.
     
  15. Mythicstatus2 macrumors regular

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    Toronto
    #15
    The initial run was estimated for 5 million according to WSJ which should include shipping from april to june.
     
  16. sulpfiction macrumors 68030

    sulpfiction

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    #16
    More then Anroid wear sold all last year combined.
     
  17. Mythicstatus2 macrumors regular

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    Mar 15, 2015
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    Toronto
    #17
    I think when they run out of the initial stock (3-5 Million) they will start to list as "out of stock' like they have for the edition models in china as well as the modern buckle bands.
     
  18. kdarling macrumors demi-god

    kdarling

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    Jun 9, 2007
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    First university coding class = 46 years ago
    #18
    Heh. If you believe people on this forum, then...

    Whatever the sales number is, about half will be returned because they were bought only as extra comparison devices!

    As in, "I didn't know which one I want, so I ordered two, and I'll figure it out when I see them."

    :rolleyes:
     
  19. Vanilla Face, Apr 11, 2015
    Last edited: Apr 11, 2015

    Vanilla Face macrumors 6502

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    Aug 11, 2013
    #19
    I don't think many people will do that. A lot of people don't have extra cash laying around to do so, and those that do could see the watch in the store. People are also limited to 2, though there are obviously ways around that.
     
  20. Geckoking macrumors member

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    Apr 11, 2015
    #20
    Do we count the scalpers also? Thats where most of the stock went...
     

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